I have had a look at our historical record against every team that we would currently face in League One next year and determined the result by the most frequent outcome between the teams historically.
The stats I found are clearly up to a few years ago, so I have guessed the Burton one from memory.
TEAM Home Away
Reading W L
Bolton W D
Sunderland W L
Charlton W L
Peterborough D L
Doncaster W D
Blackpool W/D W
Wycombe D* D*
Fleetwood D* D*
Coventry W L
Southend W L
Burton W W/D
Scunthorpe W D
Accrington D* D*
Plymouth W L
Walsall W W
Rochdale D* D*
Gillingham W/D D
Bristol Rovers W L
Lincoln D* D*
Mansfield W W/L
Bury W W
Forest Green D* D*
*We have not played in the league (during the years I checked) so have assumed draws at home and away.
I have awarded 3 points for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a defeat as you’d expect.
Where the most frequent outcome as W or D I have awarded a draw to be negative and where it was W or L, I have given this a draw also.
This gives the following record:
HOME P 23 W 14 D 9 L 0 Pts 51
AWAY P 23 W 3 D 12 L 8 Pts 21
TOTAL P 46 W 17 D 21 L 8 Pts 72
That would put us 5th last year, 7th the year before that, 8th the year before that, 5th the year before that and 7th the year before that.
40% chance of the playoffs and about a 12.5% chance of us getting through to Wembley from there, given our dismal record of 1 progression in 8 at the semi-final stage!
So basically, we are going to have a decent season, might sneak in the playoffs, Portman Road will be a fortress and don't bother going away! Lol
[Post edited 6 Feb 2019 11:43]
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