| This is a proper testing ambition 08:08 - May 13 with 708 views | StokieBlue |
They are planning to test everyone in Wuhan in a 10 day period. That's either 11m tests of 6-8m tests depending on whether it's the whole city or just those who haven't already been tested.
For scale, the US has tested around 9m people in total thus far according to the White House.
There are doubts on whether it can be done but it's certainly an ambitious target.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-52629213
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| Avatar - IC410 - Tadpoles Nebula |
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| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:11 - May 13 with 699 views | Warkystache |
Shame they weren't more on the ball when they released the bloody thing in the first place back in 2019. |  |
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| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:23 - May 13 with 656 views | BanksterDebtSlave |
| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:11 - May 13 by Warkystache |
Shame they weren't more on the ball when they released the bloody thing in the first place back in 2019. |
Are you actually allowed to use that ball related phrase on here? |  |
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| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:31 - May 13 with 648 views | bluelagos |
I heard yesterday that we had done some community testing (40k tests) and the rate of infection from that was (from memory) 5 to 10% had been infected.
It did suggest we are highly vulnerable if a second wave comes, which is quite depressing. Was on the radio rather than an article so cant link it.
Most encouraging was that we are actually community testing at last though. |  |
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| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:34 - May 13 with 646 views | StokieBlue |
| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:31 - May 13 by bluelagos |
I heard yesterday that we had done some community testing (40k tests) and the rate of infection from that was (from memory) 5 to 10% had been infected.
It did suggest we are highly vulnerable if a second wave comes, which is quite depressing. Was on the radio rather than an article so cant link it.
Most encouraging was that we are actually community testing at last though. |
5% to 10% seems to be the infection level coming out of most studies (a German one in a highly infected town found 10% to 15% and that was supposed to be a hotspot).
Some people who are absolutely certain they have already had it are going to be quite surprised when they are able to get tested and it comes back negative.
It also highlights why many measures need to remain in place if 9 out of 10 people you pass in the street haven't had it yet.
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| Avatar - IC410 - Tadpoles Nebula |
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| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:45 - May 13 with 626 views | bluelagos |
| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:34 - May 13 by StokieBlue |
5% to 10% seems to be the infection level coming out of most studies (a German one in a highly infected town found 10% to 15% and that was supposed to be a hotspot).
Some people who are absolutely certain they have already had it are going to be quite surprised when they are able to get tested and it comes back negative.
It also highlights why many measures need to remain in place if 9 out of 10 people you pass in the street haven't had it yet.
SB |
It does totally discredit any suggestion that herd immunity (take it on the chin style) is a credible strategy going forward. If you need 60% for HI that would mean an awful lot more deaths.
The current strategy doesnt seem clear to me to be honest. Wait for testing capacity so we can test and trace, but return to work before that is ready? Am I missing something? | |
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| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:48 - May 13 with 614 views | Pinewoodblue |
| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:34 - May 13 by StokieBlue |
5% to 10% seems to be the infection level coming out of most studies (a German one in a highly infected town found 10% to 15% and that was supposed to be a hotspot).
Some people who are absolutely certain they have already had it are going to be quite surprised when they are able to get tested and it comes back negative.
It also highlights why many measures need to remain in place if 9 out of 10 people you pass in the street haven't had it yet.
SB |
A friend, lives North East, is taking part in a test they are planning to test 100,000 selected randomly..
You can find regular updates on one test here
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditio
Suppose all theses tests count towards the figures on testing. |  |
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| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:55 - May 13 with 600 views | StokieBlue |
| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:45 - May 13 by bluelagos |
It does totally discredit any suggestion that herd immunity (take it on the chin style) is a credible strategy going forward. If you need 60% for HI that would mean an awful lot more deaths.
The current strategy doesnt seem clear to me to be honest. Wait for testing capacity so we can test and trace, but return to work before that is ready? Am I missing something? |
Herd immunity isn't even proven to be viable yet but either way unless we continue to live the way we have for the last two months for the foreseeable future then significant future deaths seem unavoidable given the low penetration in the community.
Realistically we need to do a lot of random testing (another poster has pointed out this is starting) to get a feel of how many cases there are still circulating as it that is low then perhaps the lockdown has lowered the number of cases to a point where it can be managed.
We aren't returning to work for scientific reasons. We are returning to work for economic and social reasons - people were starting to ignore the lockdown and that would have increased over time. I guess it's better to try and return people in a managed way to a more "normal" life but it's been very poorly communicated and organised.
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| Avatar - IC410 - Tadpoles Nebula |
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| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:55 - May 13 with 597 views | bluelagos |
That will over time also give us clarity on the rate of fall (or rises) too. | |
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| This is a proper testing ambition on 09:09 - May 13 with 576 views | Marshalls_Mullet |
They have had about 12 months to get to this stage... |  |
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| This is a proper testing ambition on 11:16 - May 13 with 517 views | StokieBlue |
Thanks - that's been clarified by them since I heard it on the radio last night and from the article I posted.
Much more realistic as you say.
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| Avatar - IC410 - Tadpoles Nebula |
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| This is a proper testing ambition on 11:20 - May 13 with 513 views | ElephantintheRoom |
| This is a proper testing ambition on 08:34 - May 13 by StokieBlue |
5% to 10% seems to be the infection level coming out of most studies (a German one in a highly infected town found 10% to 15% and that was supposed to be a hotspot).
Some people who are absolutely certain they have already had it are going to be quite surprised when they are able to get tested and it comes back negative.
It also highlights why many measures need to remain in place if 9 out of 10 people you pass in the street haven't had it yet.
SB |
To be sure of infection rates you need a reliable antibody test.
And in the absence of one that actually works that is still guesswork and bending stats to fulfil the objective of a study. |  |
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