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R rate- It’s gone up again in Germany! 19:53 - Jun 21 with 931 viewsblueprint

Now 2.88 from 1.79 yesterday.
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R rate- It’s gone up again in Germany! on 20:02 - Jun 21 with 899 viewsThisIsMyUsername

Low cases + localised outbreaks = high effect on R number.

This type of headline is not helpful, given it is clearly designed to suggest a reflection of the country as a whole.

Poll: Which of these events will happen the soonest?

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R rate- It’s gone up again in Germany! on 20:11 - Jun 21 with 851 viewsblueprint

R rate- It’s gone up again in Germany! on 20:02 - Jun 21 by ThisIsMyUsername

Low cases + localised outbreaks = high effect on R number.

This type of headline is not helpful, given it is clearly designed to suggest a reflection of the country as a whole.


Yet if it happened here this board would be all over it.
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R rate- It’s gone up again in Germany! on 21:12 - Jun 21 with 711 viewsSwansea_Blue

R rate- It’s gone up again in Germany! on 20:02 - Jun 21 by ThisIsMyUsername

Low cases + localised outbreaks = high effect on R number.

This type of headline is not helpful, given it is clearly designed to suggest a reflection of the country as a whole.


Is it national number? If it is, it is what it is. That's how this thing works, through local spreading. We had a hotspot in London at the start and now there are smaller hotspots in the NW and N Wales. If it's a national number then it's relevant, as long as it's being compared to a previous national number. But yes, you need the regional detail to understand why it's going up/down.

Poll: So then cake aficionados, which is your favourite part of Battenberg?

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R rate- It’s gone up again in Germany! on 21:14 - Jun 21 with 701 viewsElderGrizzly

R rate- It’s gone up again in Germany! on 21:12 - Jun 21 by Swansea_Blue

Is it national number? If it is, it is what it is. That's how this thing works, through local spreading. We had a hotspot in London at the start and now there are smaller hotspots in the NW and N Wales. If it's a national number then it's relevant, as long as it's being compared to a previous national number. But yes, you need the regional detail to understand why it's going up/down.


It is a national number, but apparently Only 5,000 active cases in Germany and this outbreak added 1,000 in 3 days. Nearly 650 from one factory of 1000 people

That’s why the number is so high.
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R rate- It’s gone up again in Germany! on 08:20 - Jun 22 with 454 viewsElephantintheRoom

I think you can relax on this one - the R number is utterly meaningless.

If you look for covid you will find it - if you actually have an effective track and trace you will find more.

Germany are doing both - so when they find it the R rate will go up - in local flare ups they expect to be able to control

In this country where we dont look for it and dont have a credible track and trace the R number will be low.... but 1000 people giving to 1000 more will have an R number of 1 - and 2 people giving it 4 people will have an R number of 2. Therein lies the nonsense of the media fixation with R numbers spoon fed to them by dishonest politicians.

Blog: Wing Wonders (Part Two)

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