| US election megathread 03:24 - Sep 23 with 162937 views | SpruceMoose |
Seeing as we are approaching the presidential debates, and with the actual election being only 42 days away, maybe we could keep this as a US election megathread for those on here who are interested? One location for all the discussion would prevent multiple threads clogging up the board for those who don't care to get involved?
Personally, the reality of having to experience this election in the near future is stressful AF so if anyone else wants to get stressed together... Jump on board.
Now, insert all the usual caveats about polling here but...it's looking positive that we will be rid of Trump come 2021, much to the disappointment of a couple of posters on here. 538 are well respected in the field of poll analysis so what they announce should be taken seriously.
Of course their analysis doesn't take account of any election fraud, Russian interference, voter suppression etc. But it's positive news none the less. Once Trump is gone, we can work on Johnson. Decent people of the world... Unite!
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ [Post edited 23 Sep 2020 3:32]
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| Pronouns: He/Him/His.
"Imagine being a heterosexual white male in Britain at this moment. How bad is that. Everything you say is racist, everything you say is homophobic. The Woke community have really f****d this country." | | Poll: | Selectamod |
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| US election megathread on 21:17 - Nov 4 with 1407 views | Mercian |
Biden is now odds on to take Pennsylvania. He has all but declared victory. |  | | |
| US election megathread on 21:18 - Nov 4 with 1397 views | reusersfreekicks |
| US election megathread on 21:17 - Nov 4 by Mercian |
Biden is now odds on to take Pennsylvania. He has all but declared victory. |
Where did you hear this? |  | | |
| US election megathread on 21:19 - Nov 4 with 1397 views | ElderGrizzly |
| US election megathread on 21:17 - Nov 4 by Mercian |
Biden is now odds on to take Pennsylvania. He has all but declared victory. |
A proper President’s speech
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| US election megathread on 21:25 - Nov 4 with 1365 views | The_Romford_Blue |
| US election megathread on 21:17 - Nov 4 by Mercian |
Biden is now odds on to take Pennsylvania. He has all but declared victory. |
He’s literally been odds on for Pennsylvania the whole time
I know cos I’ve backed trump for it at 7/4 |  |
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| US election megathread on 21:36 - Nov 4 with 1318 views | The_Romford_Blue |
Hi mate. Hope all is well.
Interesting that the lead for trump is bigger in PA than had been expected at this stage. Trumps odds for it are gradually shortening too. 5/4 from 7/4 now.
Would never have thought at 3am this morning when trump was looking like winning outright that trump could win PA but it all be over by then in favour of Biden. Although.. plenty did guess the courts would have to be used to settle it in the end as Donald goes kicking and screaming | |
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| US election megathread on 21:38 - Nov 4 with 1311 views | jeera |
Michigan has just turned a dark shade of blue.
That and Wisconsin are darker blues.
Why's that then please, someone? |  |
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| US election megathread on 21:40 - Nov 4 with 1305 views | Turkish |
| US election megathread on 21:38 - Nov 4 by jeera |
Michigan has just turned a dark shade of blue.
That and Wisconsin are darker blues.
Why's that then please, someone? |
NBC, who have been very cautious have just "called" those to JB |  | | |
| US election megathread on 21:41 - Nov 4 with 1292 views | jeera |
| US election megathread on 21:40 - Nov 4 by Turkish |
NBC, who have been very cautious have just "called" those to JB |
So they might still be contentious? | |
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| US election megathread on 21:42 - Nov 4 with 1290 views | ElderGrizzly |
| US election megathread on 21:41 - Nov 4 by jeera |
So they might still be contentious? |
Only in Trump’s head.
Go to CNN for a lot better analysis than NBC | | | |
| US election megathread on 21:43 - Nov 4 with 1283 views | Turkish |
| US election megathread on 21:41 - Nov 4 by jeera |
So they might still be contentious? |
Your guess is as good as mine. NBC's "statto" has been really good. don't think they'd go all-in unless they're sure | | | |
| US election megathread on 21:44 - Nov 4 with 1277 views | jeera |
| US election megathread on 21:42 - Nov 4 by ElderGrizzly |
Only in Trump’s head.
Go to CNN for a lot better analysis than NBC |
Surely if it's accurate then it's near as dammit over?
Biden still looking ahead Nevada and Arizona; would just one of those do?
I drove myself mad staring at it all earlier and took myself away from it in the end. | |
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| US election megathread on 21:44 - Nov 4 with 1272 views | wkj |
| US election megathread on 21:36 - Nov 4 by The_Romford_Blue |
Hi mate. Hope all is well.
Interesting that the lead for trump is bigger in PA than had been expected at this stage. Trumps odds for it are gradually shortening too. 5/4 from 7/4 now.
Would never have thought at 3am this morning when trump was looking like winning outright that trump could win PA but it all be over by then in favour of Biden. Although.. plenty did guess the courts would have to be used to settle it in the end as Donald goes kicking and screaming |
As I tried to explain last night in the chat room, Trymp never actually looked like winning anything, electoral maps are deceptive without deep diving the stats. Conversely, Joe never looked in control either, though about 1am I saw Biden's path to the Whitehouse clearer than I saw Trump's. |  |
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| US election megathread on 21:46 - Nov 4 with 1267 views | ElderGrizzly |
| US election megathread on 21:44 - Nov 4 by jeera |
Surely if it's accurate then it's near as dammit over?
Biden still looking ahead Nevada and Arizona; would just one of those do?
I drove myself mad staring at it all earlier and took myself away from it in the end. |
Biden needs both of those, if he doesn’t get Georgia or Pennsylvania.
Nevada won’t call until 5pm UK time tomorrow. Arizona should be today | | | |
| US election megathread on 21:47 - Nov 4 with 1261 views | The_Romford_Blue |
| US election megathread on 21:44 - Nov 4 by wkj |
As I tried to explain last night in the chat room, Trymp never actually looked like winning anything, electoral maps are deceptive without deep diving the stats. Conversely, Joe never looked in control either, though about 1am I saw Biden's path to the Whitehouse clearer than I saw Trump's. |
Tbh I meant in reference to the betting market but yes you did point that out yesterday too. It’s hard keeping track of it all. | |
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| US election megathread on 21:47 - Nov 4 with 1263 views | Funge |
| US election megathread on 21:44 - Nov 4 by jeera |
Surely if it's accurate then it's near as dammit over?
Biden still looking ahead Nevada and Arizona; would just one of those do?
I drove myself mad staring at it all earlier and took myself away from it in the end. |
Alright Jeers.
Biden currently 1.12 with Betfair Exchange, and Trump is at 9.0
Or, in old money, Biden is 1/8 on to win from here, Trump is 8/1 against. |  | | |
| US election megathread on 21:48 - Nov 4 with 1255 views | jeera |
| US election megathread on 21:43 - Nov 4 by Turkish |
Your guess is as good as mine. NBC's "statto" has been really good. don't think they'd go all-in unless they're sure |
Ok thanks.
Fell asleep and just woke up and went straight to the map to see those had turned. | |
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| US election megathread on 21:49 - Nov 4 with 1245 views | jeera |
| US election megathread on 21:47 - Nov 4 by Funge |
Alright Jeers.
Biden currently 1.12 with Betfair Exchange, and Trump is at 9.0
Or, in old money, Biden is 1/8 on to win from here, Trump is 8/1 against. |
Hello mate.
All looking promising at the moment then.
The world needs this. | |
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| US election megathread on 21:49 - Nov 4 with 1234 views | wkj |
| US election megathread on 21:46 - Nov 4 by ElderGrizzly |
Biden needs both of those, if he doesn’t get Georgia or Pennsylvania.
Nevada won’t call until 5pm UK time tomorrow. Arizona should be today |
If GA does flip then SURELY Trump will be powerless with litigation, would the republicans with a shred of sense actually back his foolish endeavour. Assuming he did succeed in the courts, which is a big assumption, surely any political party moderate would be scared sh*tless to the long standing stain on the party for saying the democratic process doesn't work. | |
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| US election megathread on 21:53 - Nov 4 with 1210 views | ElderGrizzly |
| US election megathread on 21:49 - Nov 4 by wkj |
If GA does flip then SURELY Trump will be powerless with litigation, would the republicans with a shred of sense actually back his foolish endeavour. Assuming he did succeed in the courts, which is a big assumption, surely any political party moderate would be scared sh*tless to the long standing stain on the party for saying the democratic process doesn't work. |
He’s already lost twice in court and he’s asking again on the same issue. He won’t win the case and his surrogates have said as much.
The recount in Wisconsin shouldn’t be a threat as Biden is over 20,000 ahead. Will hold up any official declaration though I guess | | | |
| US election megathread on 21:56 - Nov 4 with 1187 views | wkj |
| US election megathread on 21:53 - Nov 4 by ElderGrizzly |
He’s already lost twice in court and he’s asking again on the same issue. He won’t win the case and his surrogates have said as much.
The recount in Wisconsin shouldn’t be a threat as Biden is over 20,000 ahead. Will hold up any official declaration though I guess |
PA could be sticky as they have a "second chance" voting system for soiled ballots that was passed late. If the counties were not consistent in handling that process, and given the sudden implementation of it that is quite likely, PA could be a long fought battle. This is why GA and MI need to flip to kneecap Trump's litigation thoroughly. | |
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| US election megathread on 22:00 - Nov 4 with 1167 views | ElderGrizzly |
| US election megathread on 21:56 - Nov 4 by wkj |
PA could be sticky as they have a "second chance" voting system for soiled ballots that was passed late. If the counties were not consistent in handling that process, and given the sudden implementation of it that is quite likely, PA could be a long fought battle. This is why GA and MI need to flip to kneecap Trump's litigation thoroughly. |
This is big. It could all be over very soon.
They were previously waiting until Thursday 5pm (UK)
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| US election megathread on 22:00 - Nov 4 with 1160 views | Mercian |
| US election megathread on 21:56 - Nov 4 by wkj |
PA could be sticky as they have a "second chance" voting system for soiled ballots that was passed late. If the counties were not consistent in handling that process, and given the sudden implementation of it that is quite likely, PA could be a long fought battle. This is why GA and MI need to flip to kneecap Trump's litigation thoroughly. |
Michigan has been called. | | | |
| US election megathread on 22:03 - Nov 4 with 1148 views | ElderGrizzly |
| US election megathread on 22:00 - Nov 4 by Mercian |
Michigan has been called. |
It has for Biden.
Trump however has just claimed it for himself
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