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They seem very reluctant to take that advice for various reasons (some of which are definitely valid and need to be considered) but the modelling from SAGE and others pretty much says it's impossible to get the R below 1 with the schools open with the new variant (which adds ~0.4 to the baseline R).
"They found that the only scenario that reduced the peak intensive care burden below the levels of the first wave was to impose the tier 4 system across England after Boxing Day and close schools until the end of January, as well as vaccinating 2 million people a week."
Also noticed this morning that The Mail, The Express and the Telegraph have chosen not to lead on Covid where everyone else has decided to go with it as their main story.
I guess they don't want to upset their friends too much.
Government being advised that schools should be closed in January on 23:39 - Dec 28 by J2BLUE
Could we not close them now for a month and extend the end of term by a fortnight so they only lose two weeks? Might not be popular with kids or teachers but would still give them a month off in the summer and maybe they could fast track exam results etc?
Not sure how feasible it would be. Easy for me to say as I have no kids but we are in critical times and we need to take the hit.
For me the biggest issue isn’t schools, it’s people mixing outside of schools. My eldest is at school and there’s not been 1 case there at all and only a handful of isolated people self isolating after possible contact outside of school it’s been very well managed.
Me and my partner are prioritising his learning so have met as fewer people as possible since summer and try to get click and collects where possible. We know plenty of others not doing the same and still mixing house holds even now!