| Good Covid News 06:44 - Jan 15 with 2567 views | ElderGrizzly |
Corner being turned...
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| Good Covid News on 07:29 - Jan 15 with 1524 views | 26_Paz |
You think that little bump early jan is Christmas? |  |
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| Good Covid News on 08:49 - Jan 15 with 1385 views | lowhouseblue |
| Good Covid News on 07:29 - Jan 15 by 26_Paz |
You think that little bump early jan is Christmas? |
i assume the big spurt is the new variant, the general fall is a combination of tier 4 followed by lockdown plus an element of the new variant burning itself out. as you say the small january quickening is mixing over christmas. |  |
| And so as the loose-bowelled pigeon of time swoops low over the unsuspecting tourist of destiny, and the flatulent skunk of fate wanders into the air-conditioning system of eternity, I notice it's the end of the show |
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| Good Covid News on 08:51 - Jan 15 with 1365 views | 26_Paz |
| Good Covid News on 08:49 - Jan 15 by lowhouseblue |
i assume the big spurt is the new variant, the general fall is a combination of tier 4 followed by lockdown plus an element of the new variant burning itself out. as you say the small january quickening is mixing over christmas. |
That’s what I thought, cheers. Interesting about burning out though, hadn’t thought of that [Post edited 15 Jan 2021 8:52]
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| Good Covid News on 08:54 - Jan 15 with 1343 views | GlasgowBlue |
Who has hacked EG’s account?  |  |
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| Good Covid News on 08:57 - Jan 15 with 1335 views | lowhouseblue |
| Good Covid News on 08:51 - Jan 15 by 26_Paz |
That’s what I thought, cheers. Interesting about burning out though, hadn’t thought of that [Post edited 15 Jan 2021 8:52]
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the areas of kent which had the new variant early and saw dramatic rises in cases are interesting. their numbers started to fall quite rapidly a few weeks ago. i assume that amongst those who were out and about and at risk of catching, it had infected a high enough proportion to slow itself down. | |
| And so as the loose-bowelled pigeon of time swoops low over the unsuspecting tourist of destiny, and the flatulent skunk of fate wanders into the air-conditioning system of eternity, I notice it's the end of the show |
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| Good Covid News on 08:57 - Jan 15 with 1322 views | IpswichKnight |
I did say earlier this week that the Zoe data was saying this was happening. |  | | |
| Good Covid News on 08:58 - Jan 15 with 1310 views | hype313 |
R number is apparently 0.6 across the UK too. |  |
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| Good Covid News on 09:10 - Jan 15 with 1275 views | 26_Paz |
| Good Covid News on 08:57 - Jan 15 by lowhouseblue |
the areas of kent which had the new variant early and saw dramatic rises in cases are interesting. their numbers started to fall quite rapidly a few weeks ago. i assume that amongst those who were out and about and at risk of catching, it had infected a high enough proportion to slow itself down. |
Really interesting, thanks | |
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| Grizzers will be along.... on 09:13 - Jan 15 with 1273 views | Bloots |
....in a minute to debunk this data.
Oh hang on..... |  |
| TWTD Leadership Group/Elite Level Supporter/Anti-Bullying Crusader |
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| Good Covid News on 09:17 - Jan 15 with 1256 views | StokieBlue |
Excellent.
Although it does tend to prove that we need to stick in at least tier 4 until enough people are vaccinated as otherwise it will surge again.
Deaths are still very high but that should start to decline looking at the trends there.
SB |  |
| Avatar - IC410 - Tadpoles Nebula |
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| Good Covid News on 09:20 - Jan 15 with 1245 views | Ace_High1 |
| Good Covid News on 09:17 - Jan 15 by StokieBlue |
Excellent.
Although it does tend to prove that we need to stick in at least tier 4 until enough people are vaccinated as otherwise it will surge again.
Deaths are still very high but that should start to decline looking at the trends there.
SB |
Yes but great to see some positive trends in the data.
As you say death rates will sadly be very high for the next 2-3 weeks but lets hope this is the beginning of the end (of the virus/restrictions) and as every week passes more people are vaccinated and we are making progress. |  | | |
| Good Covid News on 09:20 - Jan 15 with 1245 views | gainsboroughblue |
| Good Covid News on 09:17 - Jan 15 by StokieBlue |
Excellent.
Although it does tend to prove that we need to stick in at least tier 4 until enough people are vaccinated as otherwise it will surge again.
Deaths are still very high but that should start to decline looking at the trends there.
SB |
Absolutely. I think this stop-start tiering/locking down is more detrimental to people's confidence that we will come out of this than one full concentrated effort at really stamping the numbers down. |  |
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| Good Covid News on 09:28 - Jan 15 with 1214 views | StokieBlue |
| Good Covid News on 09:20 - Jan 15 by Ace_High1 |
Yes but great to see some positive trends in the data.
As you say death rates will sadly be very high for the next 2-3 weeks but lets hope this is the beginning of the end (of the virus/restrictions) and as every week passes more people are vaccinated and we are making progress. |
Yes, it's very good news.
Probably still realistically looking at April at the earliest before any restrictions can be meaningfully eased though.
The vaccine progress has actually been rather good, lets hope the government keep on top of it.
SB | |
| Avatar - IC410 - Tadpoles Nebula |
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| Good Covid News on 09:32 - Jan 15 with 1201 views | ElderGrizzly |
| Good Covid News on 09:20 - Jan 15 by Ace_High1 |
Yes but great to see some positive trends in the data.
As you say death rates will sadly be very high for the next 2-3 weeks but lets hope this is the beginning of the end (of the virus/restrictions) and as every week passes more people are vaccinated and we are making progress. |
Read an ‘expert’ yesterday say that for every 100,000 cases now, we should expect around 750 deaths a few weeks later.
Lets hope the cases keep falling | | | |
| Good Covid News on 09:33 - Jan 15 with 1193 views | StokieBlue |
| Good Covid News on 08:58 - Jan 15 by hype313 |
R number is apparently 0.6 across the UK too. |
Really? That's very low, much lower than was expected with the new variant. Just shows that unfortunately we need to restrictions if we have any chance of controlling the R.
Seems at odds to what they were saying 3 days ago which was between 1 and 1.4 across the country.
This was from 3 minutes ago and says it's shrinking and possibly 0.9 but not as low as 0.6 (it's not been that low for ages).
https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/uk-news/r-value-now-below-one-19630210
Either way, anything below 1 is great news.
SB | |
| Avatar - IC410 - Tadpoles Nebula |
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| Good Covid News on 09:34 - Jan 15 with 1186 views | 26_Paz |
| Good Covid News on 09:28 - Jan 15 by StokieBlue |
Yes, it's very good news.
Probably still realistically looking at April at the earliest before any restrictions can be meaningfully eased though.
The vaccine progress has actually been rather good, lets hope the government keep on top of it.
SB |
If things carry on looking good maybe some minor easing of restrictions in March I’m thinking | |
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| Good Covid News on 09:34 - Jan 15 with 1191 views | ElderGrizzly |
| Good Covid News on 09:28 - Jan 15 by StokieBlue |
Yes, it's very good news.
Probably still realistically looking at April at the earliest before any restrictions can be meaningfully eased though.
The vaccine progress has actually been rather good, lets hope the government keep on top of it.
SB |
Agree.
We need those vulnerable to have the second doses of vaccine before anything is lifted as one dose of Pfizer only gets you to 52% efficacy (after 2 weeks). 2nd dose takes you to 95%
https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4826 [Post edited 15 Jan 2021 9:35]
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| Good Covid News on 09:40 - Jan 15 with 1169 views | GeoffSentence |
| Good Covid News on 09:28 - Jan 15 by StokieBlue |
Yes, it's very good news.
Probably still realistically looking at April at the earliest before any restrictions can be meaningfully eased though.
The vaccine progress has actually been rather good, lets hope the government keep on top of it.
SB |
The roll out of vaccinations is just about the one thing that this government has done in a timely fashion in this pandemic.
Everything else, from not locking down until after Cheltenham was done, to putting the latest round of restrictions in place sometime after it became obvious theywe re needed, has been on the drag. |  |
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| Good Covid News on 09:42 - Jan 15 with 1162 views | StokieBlue |
| Good Covid News on 09:34 - Jan 15 by 26_Paz |
If things carry on looking good maybe some minor easing of restrictions in March I’m thinking |
What would you call "minor easing"?
SB | |
| Avatar - IC410 - Tadpoles Nebula |
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| Good Covid News on 09:43 - Jan 15 with 1156 views | StokieBlue |
Ah, that makes more sense.
It still seems above 1 in quite a few areas outside the SE.
SB | |
| Avatar - IC410 - Tadpoles Nebula |
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| Good Covid News on 09:44 - Jan 15 with 1147 views | ElderGrizzly |
| Good Covid News on 09:42 - Jan 15 by StokieBlue |
What would you call "minor easing"?
SB |
Check with Arthur Scargill | | | |
| Good Covid News on 09:47 - Jan 15 with 1130 views | clive_baker |
It's almost like closing schools makes a difference |  |
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| Good Covid News on 09:50 - Jan 15 with 1116 views | catch74 |
| Good Covid News on 08:57 - Jan 15 by lowhouseblue |
the areas of kent which had the new variant early and saw dramatic rises in cases are interesting. their numbers started to fall quite rapidly a few weeks ago. i assume that amongst those who were out and about and at risk of catching, it had infected a high enough proportion to slow itself down. |
Or the schools closed and there weren’t thousands of kids with no symptoms spreading it? |  |
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| Good Covid News on 09:50 - Jan 15 with 1111 views | 26_Paz |
| Good Covid News on 09:42 - Jan 15 by StokieBlue |
What would you call "minor easing"?
SB |
Depends what the numbers are looking like at the time but maybe extend bubbles a little bit. If it’s really going well and the weather is decent maybe even beer gardens. | |
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