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Covid cases in England falling for the 3rd week running 17:57 - Nov 4 with 2192 viewsGlasgowBlue

The first two weeks were put down to the schools being off, but they've been back 4 days and 88K (10.4%) more tests were processed than last Thursday. English patients in hospital have also dropped very slightly, although admissions remain high.



That's twice since June that we've hit the 50,000 a day mark yet seen cases drop off again.

Obviously the vaccine is working and the booster jabs are taking effect but is there another explanation for a constant fall in cases.

Up here we have been stubbornly stuck at around 2.5 - 3K cases a day since early September. No big spikes and no big drops.


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Covid cases in England falling for the 3rd week running on 13:23 - Nov 5 with 360 viewsElderGrizzly

Covid cases in England falling for the 3rd week running on 18:16 - Nov 4 by StokieBlue

The government dashboard says nearly 38000 cases today and 214 deaths.

Edit: I see your data was for England specifically. If we do look at the UK as a whole though we are running at >700 deaths for the last 3 days.

SB
[Post edited 4 Nov 2021 18:20]


Deaths are up about 20% aren't they? Which I assume is the flow through from high cases over the last 3 to 6 weeks.

We should be watching hospitalisations and deaths right now as the trigger for any new restrictions though.
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Covid cases in England falling for the 3rd week running on 13:31 - Nov 5 with 339 viewsgordon

Covid cases in England falling for the 3rd week running on 18:44 - Nov 4 by WD19

Cool your jets. The various population surveillance studies running are seeing some of the highest levels of prevalence experienced since the start of the pandemic.

And staff in the DoH have cancelled their Christmas…..


Yup, ONS estimates are 1/50 in England, 1/40 in Wales, 1/65 in NI, 1/80 in Scotland over the last week, these are thought to be more accurate than the daily reports, & these are rates are v v high.
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Covid cases in England falling for the 3rd week running on 13:49 - Nov 5 with 323 viewsEireannach_gorm

Covid cases in England falling for the 3rd week running on 12:11 - Nov 5 by Steve_M

Interesting Twitter thread here, waning immunity after two injections is definitely a thing with nasty consequences:





Things would be far worse without the vaccines but it also demonstrates that covid can not just be put behind us because people are bored of it.


Agree with you there. Ireland has one of the highest vaccinated rate in Europe and one of the highest incident rates. Covid-19 cases here have gone through the roof because people feel protected and don't take enough precautions.

https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=s92000003&areas=n92

Seems it's only England that is bucking the current trend.
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Covid cases in England falling for the 3rd week running on 14:20 - Nov 5 with 289 viewsSteve_M

Covid cases in England falling for the 3rd week running on 13:49 - Nov 5 by Eireannach_gorm

Agree with you there. Ireland has one of the highest vaccinated rate in Europe and one of the highest incident rates. Covid-19 cases here have gone through the roof because people feel protected and don't take enough precautions.

https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=s92000003&areas=n92

Seems it's only England that is bucking the current trend.


Probably because of the UK's early vaccination success, so it we're slightly ahead of the rest of Europe here. It's in the full thread that the same happened in Israel.

All of which is a reminder about cherry picking data at particular times, and people have done so on covid from all sorts of angles, when the longer term trends are more telling - for both good and ill.

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Covid cases in England falling for the 3rd week running on 14:21 - Nov 5 with 288 viewsEireannach_gorm

So that virus incident rate is rising in Eastern Europe and Ireland.

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Covid cases in England falling for the 3rd week running on 19:09 - Nov 5 with 252 viewsGlasgowBlue

Covid cases in England falling for the 3rd week running on 13:49 - Nov 5 by Eireannach_gorm

Agree with you there. Ireland has one of the highest vaccinated rate in Europe and one of the highest incident rates. Covid-19 cases here have gone through the roof because people feel protected and don't take enough precautions.

https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=s92000003&areas=n92

Seems it's only England that is bucking the current trend.


England really is bucking the trend. Another big drop in positive cases today.

English cases are now down 36% from their October peak on an "any day" basis, or 22% on a rolling 7 day average basis.

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