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Weather heads up. 18:39 - Jul 9 with 12903 viewsBanksterDebtSlave

Forecast models are regularly showing up to 44°C for next weekend. Dangerous heat.

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Weather heads up. on 22:18 - Jul 9 with 2372 viewsBlueBadger

Weather heads up. on 19:40 - Jul 9 by Trequartista

Forecasting models strike again.


Experts, eh?

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Weather heads up. on 22:34 - Jul 9 with 2327 viewsNthsuffolkblue

Weather heads up. on 22:18 - Jul 9 by BlueBadger

Experts, eh?


To be fair, this is the extreme of a range of possible models. The fact it is a possibility should raise alarm bells. However, I wonder what the actual probability is. I am certainly hoping it turns out to be much lower. We do not have sufficient air conditioning or provision to cope with this. It would lead to significant loss of life I would imagine.

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Weather heads up. on 22:46 - Jul 9 with 2307 viewsjeera

Weather heads up. on 22:34 - Jul 9 by Nthsuffolkblue

To be fair, this is the extreme of a range of possible models. The fact it is a possibility should raise alarm bells. However, I wonder what the actual probability is. I am certainly hoping it turns out to be much lower. We do not have sufficient air conditioning or provision to cope with this. It would lead to significant loss of life I would imagine.


We're not kitted out at all are we.

Not for any extremes one way or the other.

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Weather heads up. on 22:55 - Jul 9 with 2300 viewsazuremerlangus

I’m off on a beekeeping course next weekend - a bit warm for all that extra clobber.

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Weather heads up. on 22:58 - Jul 9 with 2288 viewsNthsuffolkblue

Weather heads up. on 22:55 - Jul 9 by azuremerlangus

I’m off on a beekeeping course next weekend - a bit warm for all that extra clobber.


Could forego the clobber and investigate whether bee stings contribute to a cooling sensation. Or hope that they postpone the course!

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Weather heads up. on 23:13 - Jul 9 with 2260 viewsgiant_stow

Fascinating thread. Thanks!

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Weather heads up. on 23:49 - Jul 9 with 2213 viewsfloridablue

Evening here in the swamps of Florida and my lounge wall stat shows 94f!! OK, haven't run my a/c all day,( been out,) and now back home with my ceiling fan full pelt and patio doors wide open. Yesterday I was helping out at a fellow Brits home who earlier this year converted part of their house into long term rental (single lady) and the electric bill is $420... for one month, that's $5,000 a year!!!
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Weather heads up. on 23:53 - Jul 9 with 2200 viewsStNeotsBlue

I am willing to bet the top 7 inches of my knob that it won't get to 44°c in the UK in the next week. Not so sure I'd put the same bet on in 10 years time.
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Weather heads up. on 00:15 - Jul 10 with 2159 viewsStochesStotasBlewe

Weather heads up. on 23:53 - Jul 9 by StNeotsBlue

I am willing to bet the top 7 inches of my knob that it won't get to 44°c in the UK in the next week. Not so sure I'd put the same bet on in 10 years time.


There are pumps you can buy to increase your shortage of inches old fruit.

There is a distinct lack of regular, steady, precipitation in these parts which is also a a bit of concern for me as well as the longer periods of higher temperatures we are now seeing. Rainfall is heavier and in shorter bursts when it comes and ultimately runs off as opposed to filtering into the ground.
Predicting that fairly early leaf fall/autumn like conditions to plant life will occur this year.

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Weather heads up. on 06:18 - Jul 10 with 2067 viewsChondzoresk

This guy is the leading amateur weather forecaster. It's absolutely frightening if this weather model is correct. 43 degrees for East anglia next Sunday, but he doubts it will happen with this extremity. Hot yes....

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Weather heads up. on 06:54 - Jul 10 with 2050 viewsChurchman

Weather heads up. on 06:18 - Jul 10 by Chondzoresk

This guy is the leading amateur weather forecaster. It's absolutely frightening if this weather model is correct. 43 degrees for East anglia next Sunday, but he doubts it will happen with this extremity. Hot yes....



The BBC weather dudes are showing up to 31c (about 92f in real money) next weekend. That’s warm. Fine if you are under a brolly sitting in a beach bar with a good book in Gran Canaria, not so good here.

Weather is so unpredictable here, thanks to a maritime climate/Gulf Stream. Long May it stay so. Interestingly London is on the same degree of latitude as Moscow.
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Weather heads up. on 12:42 - Jul 10 with 1910 viewsBanksterDebtSlave

Weather heads up. on 23:53 - Jul 9 by StNeotsBlue

I am willing to bet the top 7 inches of my knob that it won't get to 44°c in the UK in the next week. Not so sure I'd put the same bet on in 10 years time.


Well this could get interesting!

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[Post edited 10 Jul 2022 12:44]

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Weather heads up. on 17:31 - Jul 10 with 1807 viewsCheltenham_Blue

Weather heads up. on 12:42 - Jul 10 by BanksterDebtSlave

Well this could get interesting!

Edit....just so you know, Junior, Miss and Grandma Slave are now discussing your appendage.
[Post edited 10 Jul 2022 12:44]


Yeah, but who is he borrowing 2 of those inches from?

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Weather heads up. on 21:01 - Jul 10 with 1725 viewsLeistonBlue

Do we reckon if these temps reach or even come close to these forecasts that the Wimbledon friendly could be in any doubt? Just in these days of player safety and all that.. always seems hotter in the big smoke as well
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Weather heads up. on 21:21 - Jul 10 with 1703 viewsNthQldITFC

Weather heads up. on 21:01 - Jul 10 by LeistonBlue

Do we reckon if these temps reach or even come close to these forecasts that the Wimbledon friendly could be in any doubt? Just in these days of player safety and all that.. always seems hotter in the big smoke as well


I skimmed it earlier and I think the more extreme model runs of yesterday are falling away a bit. Still likely to be very hot though. Remember that the model runs quoted are not forecasts but represent a range of possible outcomes. As we get closer to the day the uncertainties diminish, the model runs tend to get closer together and you can start to talk in terms of an actual forecast.

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Weather heads up. on 21:34 - Jul 10 with 1670 viewsBanksterDebtSlave

Weather heads up. on 21:21 - Jul 10 by NthQldITFC

I skimmed it earlier and I think the more extreme model runs of yesterday are falling away a bit. Still likely to be very hot though. Remember that the model runs quoted are not forecasts but represent a range of possible outcomes. As we get closer to the day the uncertainties diminish, the model runs tend to get closer together and you can start to talk in terms of an actual forecast.


Although the Country file week ahead forecast strongly hinting that the record of 38.7 degrees is under threat.
[Post edited 10 Jul 2022 22:22]

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Weather heads up. on 21:35 - Jul 10 with 1669 viewsBanksterDebtSlave

Weather heads up. on 21:01 - Jul 10 by LeistonBlue

Do we reckon if these temps reach or even come close to these forecasts that the Wimbledon friendly could be in any doubt? Just in these days of player safety and all that.. always seems hotter in the big smoke as well


Recent evidence suggests the roads will melt so.....

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Weather heads up. on 22:09 - Jul 10 with 1614 viewsN2_Blue

Weather heads up. on 21:34 - Jul 10 by BanksterDebtSlave

Although the Country file week ahead forecast strongly hinting that the record of 38.7 degrees is under threat.
[Post edited 10 Jul 2022 22:22]


UK record is 38.7 not 39.7.

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Weather heads up. on 22:21 - Jul 10 with 1570 viewsBent_double

Weather heads up. on 21:34 - Jul 10 by BanksterDebtSlave

Although the Country file week ahead forecast strongly hinting that the record of 38.7 degrees is under threat.
[Post edited 10 Jul 2022 22:22]


That's next weekend - temperatures this week in the high 20s/low 30s, then extremely high temperatures into next weekend and possibly following week.

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Weather heads up. on 22:23 - Jul 10 with 1567 viewsBanksterDebtSlave

Weather heads up. on 22:09 - Jul 10 by N2_Blue

UK record is 38.7 not 39.7.


Yep, just corrected that.

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Weather heads up. on 22:25 - Jul 10 with 1566 viewsBanksterDebtSlave

Weather heads up. on 22:21 - Jul 10 by Bent_double

That's next weekend - temperatures this week in the high 20s/low 30s, then extremely high temperatures into next weekend and possibly following week.


The thread has been about next weekend.

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Weather heads up. on 22:32 - Jul 10 with 1552 viewsNthQldITFC

Weather heads up. on 06:18 - Jul 10 by Chondzoresk

This guy is the leading amateur weather forecaster. It's absolutely frightening if this weather model is correct. 43 degrees for East anglia next Sunday, but he doubts it will happen with this extremity. Hot yes....



I had to watch that with the sound off, and as a result I didn't understand it.

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Weather heads up. on 22:51 - Jul 10 with 1514 viewsjeera

Weather heads up. on 22:32 - Jul 10 by NthQldITFC

I had to watch that with the sound off, and as a result I didn't understand it.


Is it ok to point out he looks a bit like Ipswich Crazy?

Edit: I'm going to watch it with the sound on and see how it goes.

[Post edited 10 Jul 2022 22:52]

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Weather heads up. on 09:18 - Jul 11 with 1400 viewsBent_double

Weather heads up. on 22:25 - Jul 10 by BanksterDebtSlave

The thread has been about next weekend.


oh yeah, so it is...

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Weather heads up. on 09:24 - Jul 11 with 1393 viewsWallingford_Boy

Not quite, but 35 in Wallytown.... plenty hot enough!

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