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A little look at how tough our December has been 14:43 - Dec 24 with 2251 viewsMullet



As you can see the league position hasn't changed at all for any club. Such is the ferocious pace we've all kept up. It looks like it's the GD taking a hammering yesterday that's made the table look much worse than it is.

5th in terms of 6 game form, but taking the same amount of points as Leeds in 3rd tells it's own story. Watford sneak into 4th spot for those wondering.

Despite losing only 3 times this season, our comparative away form has really hurt is. Yesterday means an away GD of -3 and only 8pts taken on the road. Norwich pip us with a slightly better GD.

Leicester's away form is currently 2nd in the table over the last 6 with away fixtures. They've taken 13 pts and a +4 GD. Suddenly Boxing Day looks like a good way to set the narrative for everyone else. We should expect to lose based on these stats, perpetuating the "bubble burst" stuff. However, Leeds and Saints have taken the same amount of points as us in the last 6 games - 13. Again yesterday's game skews it to send Leeds top on GD.

Given how we seemed to have the hardest run of the top 4 when I looked at it previously (see below) this actually gives me some heart. This was always going to be a rough patch and yet we've barely losing much ground at all. In a season where 3 or 4 teams are breaking all sorts of records and we are right up there, taking anything Boxing Day and assuming we overcome QPR will be phenomenal.

Run in towards absurdity by Mullet 17 Nov 2023 20:29
With the international break giving us a much-needed rest, I thought I’d look at the upcoming fixtures for us and the rest of the top 4. It’s pretty clear that our season has exceeded all expectations so far. Joint top as it stands, goals aplenty at Portman Rd and a sense that we aren’t even the team hoped to be when the summer gave us a chance to catch out breath this summer.

With the parachute teams sitting comfortably at the top of the table, to see us elbowing our way into their midst has almost been the stuff of Football Manager. Instead, we’ve had the emergence of previously second choice keeper Hladky pulling off the kind of saves every week which has kept all but one side in the division, at arm’s length.

Leicester: 1st place (current form 7th)

https://www.twtd.co.uk/images/news/15085_g.jpg

Looking almost as invincible as a bemulleted Ian Marshall in the earliest months of the season. The relatively recent Premier League Champions have taken to the second tier with all the intent and advantage you’d expect of a side harnessing the vast resources found at the King Power.

It might be wholly inaccurate and uncharitable to call their manager and approach Pep-lite, but it’s clearly working. That said, they recently find themselves way off top spot form. What might give their fans hope is that their 2023 run-in sees them facing teams with equivalently stuttering form and fortunes. Ipswich probably standout as their toughest fixture at the minute, with it being one of their 5 away games. They’ll be relieved to see that their game with Plymouth is at home so their journey times are relatively short too.

If Leicester can’t revive their form in this tranche of games, then they never will. Any idea they might drop out of the top two would hinge on an almighty collapse it seems. I’d be amazed if they don’t give themselves a little bit of headroom at the top of the table as 2024 dawns.

Leeds: 3rd (current form 1st)

https://www.twtd.co.uk/images/news/15086_g.jpg

You’d be forgiven for thinking Leeds topped any kind of table in existence if you took all of your football insight solely from inference via social media. Their fans can rightly be proud at how good they have been heading into the break, but it still sees them with several points to catch us and Leicester from 3rd. To do so they’d have to be utterly dominant for several games before they host us right before Christmas.

Judging by the cost of tickets we’re likely pay up there, you’d expect Leeds to buy big in January regardless of where they finish the calendar year. The rapidly righting of the now buoyant Boro under Carrick, and the prospect of “new manager bounce” (and local derby of sorts) against Rotherham, look to be two of the more interesting early hurdles as they look to play catch up.

Given that most of the teams they are due to play are currently in better form than their league positions suggest. For the Whites to continue on their rise they’ll be hoping that more of their opponents than not, have finished with their upturns in fortune.

Southampton 4th (current form 3rd)

https://www.twtd.co.uk/images/news/15087_g.jpg

Southampton look more like the side the football world expected when they came down, rather than the disorganised embarrassment of riches we beat at St Mary’s earlier in the season. Excellent form has seen the legendary Russy Martin keep his job and his critics at bay.

Coming out of the respite with a trip to Huddersfield, as Town fans will know, it’s not a place to produce great football in bad conditions. Following that they have their first of five home games against Liam Manning’s new club Bristol. The former Town man will be looking to transform the form of a side no longer producing the quality of football expected in the West country.

Watford and Blackburn look to be sterner tests for the Saints given their recent form looks the most impressive out the opponents they’re due to face. Given they are just a point away from Leeds and 2 above PNE, Saints fans surely expect their side to at the very least create a pronounced gap within playoff places for Christmas.


Ipswich 2nd (current form 2nd)

https://www.twtd.co.uk/images/news/15088_g.jpg

It’s really hard to be objective about us right now. We seem certain to finish in the playoffs as things stand and that in itself is phenomenal going. We’ve been the unknown quantity all season and just as the rest of the league seem to be taking note, it’s fitting that our run in seems the same.

A real cross-section of the league and one home game more than the away ones makes it really hard to read the future. That isn’t something that seemingly phases our tactical savant. With the big test against his old friend Carrick, an in-form and confident Leeds as well as Leicester you could argue that the prospect of a first derby comes as light relief for McKenna.

I’d fully expect the gap between us and Leeds to close a little as the transfer window opens. However, the idea that they might leapfrog us would need to see us buried in festive misery. Whilst our fortunes and expectations might need time to catch each other up, it will be fascinating to see which places Ashton is shopping in.

Whatever happens it looks like an exciting slugfest at the top of the table is impossible to avoid. You can guarantee that at least one set of fans will be waking up next year shakier and feeling sick at the thought of another game so soon. Football. Bloody hell.


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A little look at how tough our December has been on 14:48 - Dec 24 with 2197 viewsxrayspecs

Our recent away form (8/18) includes trips to Leeds, Boro, WBA and Watford, plus Rotherham who are strong at home. Not sure we can expect 2ppg from those games.

For the season overall we are ranked second.

https://www.soccerstats.com/homeaway.asp?league=england2
[Post edited 24 Dec 2023 17:33]
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A little look at how tough our December has been on 14:50 - Dec 24 with 2181 viewsMullet

A little look at how tough our December has been on 14:48 - Dec 24 by xrayspecs

Our recent away form (8/18) includes trips to Leeds, Boro, WBA and Watford, plus Rotherham who are strong at home. Not sure we can expect 2ppg from those games.

For the season overall we are ranked second.

https://www.soccerstats.com/homeaway.asp?league=england2
[Post edited 24 Dec 2023 17:33]


Yep, don't think many teams will get a tougher run than that and be looking to get promotion.

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A little look at how tough our December has been on 14:53 - Dec 24 with 2164 viewsxrayspecs

A little look at how tough our December has been on 14:50 - Dec 24 by Mullet

Yep, don't think many teams will get a tougher run than that and be looking to get promotion.


We have no right to be competing with Leicester, Leeds and Southampton, so to be in the mix at halfway in the season, let alone being seven points ahead of third, is remarkable.
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A little look at how tough our December has been on 15:30 - Dec 24 with 2041 viewsbilllm

A little look at how tough our December has been on 14:48 - Dec 24 by xrayspecs

Our recent away form (8/18) includes trips to Leeds, Boro, WBA and Watford, plus Rotherham who are strong at home. Not sure we can expect 2ppg from those games.

For the season overall we are ranked second.

https://www.soccerstats.com/homeaway.asp?league=england2
[Post edited 24 Dec 2023 17:33]


Put it in perspective,
Need 3 points tomorrow,
We can do it
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A little look at how tough our December has been on 17:22 - Dec 24 with 1866 viewsCheltenham_Blue

A little look at how tough our December has been on 15:30 - Dec 24 by billlm

Put it in perspective,
Need 3 points tomorrow,
We can do it


Tomorrow?

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A little look at how tough our December has been on 19:07 - Dec 24 with 1669 viewsSwansea_Blue

A little look at how tough our December has been on 17:22 - Dec 24 by Cheltenham_Blue

Tomorrow?


I wouldn’t turn it down. 3 points tomorrow and scrape a draw* Leicester and that’s a good return from 1 game.


We won’t - they’ll hammer us if we take the same approach as at Leeds.

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A little look at how tough our December has been on 19:18 - Dec 24 with 1641 viewsNthsuffolkblue

So over 10 games Leicester have gained 4 points on us, Leeds 5 and Southampton 6. However, over the last 6, Leicester have gained 3, Leeds 0 and Southampton 1. Additionally in those 6 matches we have played 3rd, 7th and 11th away from home (actually 2nd, 3rd and 4th in the form table).

If we lose tomorrow those stats will take a hit unless Preston and Swansea take points off the other two. We will still be second, though.

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A little look at how tough our December has been on 18:52 - Dec 25 with 1283 viewsMullet

A little look at how tough our December has been on 19:18 - Dec 24 by Nthsuffolkblue

So over 10 games Leicester have gained 4 points on us, Leeds 5 and Southampton 6. However, over the last 6, Leicester have gained 3, Leeds 0 and Southampton 1. Additionally in those 6 matches we have played 3rd, 7th and 11th away from home (actually 2nd, 3rd and 4th in the form table).

If we lose tomorrow those stats will take a hit unless Preston and Swansea take points off the other two. We will still be second, though.


It's sort of unexpected. Both the result at Leeds which probably stings more, but also the fact they haven't caught us.

Even two defeats on the bounce doesn't do enough for them to overtake us. With the fixtures changing in terms of "difficulty" and us having what you'd consider a relatively easier start to 2024, Saints have had a relatively easy run and made hay and Leeds seem to think they're already up bizarrely.

This window is again lining up to be as contentious and important as 2000/2014 isn't it?

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A little look at how tough our December has been on 14:38 - Dec 26 with 798 viewsNthsuffolkblue

A little look at how tough our December has been on 18:52 - Dec 25 by Mullet

It's sort of unexpected. Both the result at Leeds which probably stings more, but also the fact they haven't caught us.

Even two defeats on the bounce doesn't do enough for them to overtake us. With the fixtures changing in terms of "difficulty" and us having what you'd consider a relatively easier start to 2024, Saints have had a relatively easy run and made hay and Leeds seem to think they're already up bizarrely.

This window is again lining up to be as contentious and important as 2000/2014 isn't it?


That was a long season that 2000/14 one!

(I do know what you mean really.)

I think last season's January window was vitally important too. If we can do business half as well as last season we should do well.

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