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Thread | How do we workout the odds on football.
at 19:23 19 Jun 2019
How do we price up a football match.
It's done by using 100 % method & how we feel the punter will bet.
First if we think Ipswich ( of course they will win) will win.
Say we place Ipswich to win away at evens that's 50% of the market bet.
To draw 2/1 that will be 33.33% of the market
Home win 5/1 that will be 16.67% of the market.
This is known as a 'fair book'.
How do we get odds we look at prior form, statistics, historical precedents, expert opinions & any number of such factors that could impact the event, following this research & analysis,the bookmaker will be left with what they seem to be the most accurate possible true odds of any outcome occurring. If we had odds of 4/6, 6/4 and 4/1, we would expect to take 120 pounds at 4/6 60 pounds, 6/4 40 pounds and 20 pounds at 4/1, in that case, we would only ever need to payout 100 pounds of the total 120 pounds in stakes.
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Thread | Thank you Frankie!!
at 15:48 19 Jun 2019
Just saved us bookies paying out a fortune on Magical not winning!! |
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Thread | 2.10 Thirsk 7f 19th June- horse Luzum
at 11:47 19 Jun 2019
3.20 Beverly 14th May 5f race
Finished 6th
Led, ridden along 2f out, soon headed & gradually weakened.
7.40 The 28th May 6f race
Finished 2nd
Chased Leader, headed halfway, ridden along 2f out, driven out over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong
2.10 Thirsk yesterday 7f race
Finished 1st
Prominent, reced keenly, ridden to lead 2f out, driven & kept on final furlong to win by 1/2 a length.
Breeding
Half-sister to Listed- place 7f Courageous out of 7f winning half-sister Listed winner Silk Petal.
People who knew had massive bets on this horse yesterday. |
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Thread | Ipswich Town average scored/conceded per game 2013-14 to 2018-19
at 11:15 5 Jun 2019
2018/19 scored average 0.79 - conceded 1.67
2017-18 scored 1.24 - conceded 1.30
2016-2017 scored average 1.04 - conceded 1.24
2015-16 scored average 1.15 - conceded 1.11
2014-15 scored average 1.54 - conceded 1.21
2013-14 scored average 1.30 - conceded 1.17
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Thread | Record of teams playing in a new division
at 09:41 5 Jun 2019
1999-2000 to 2018-19
Relegated from Championship to League One
Average points 67
Average finishing position 11
Won division 6
Gained promotion 13
Suffered relegation 4 |
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Thread | How much have we missed Waghorn this season
at 13:06 26 Apr 2019
Season 17/18
Goals 16
Assists 11 1st
Free kick scored 2/11 1st
Scoring frequency (in minutes) 217 1st
Total shots per game 1.9 1st
Big chances created 7 1st
Key passes per game 1.5 1st
Accurate passes per game 1.2 (27%) 1st
This season
Sears/ Edwards 6
Assists Sears 4 1st
Free kicks scored 0
Scoring frequency (in minutes) Sears 310 1st
Total shots per game Judge 1.3 1st
Big chances created Pennington & Jackson 2 each
Key passes per game Judge 1.4 per game 1st
Accurate passes per game Skuse 31.9 (80%) 1st |
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Thread | Ipswich Town 18/19 & 17/18
at 11:31 26 Apr 2019
18/19
Goals
Sears 6
Edwards 6
Quaner 3
17/18
Goals
Waghorn 16
Garner 10
Celina 7
18/19 free kick goals this season 0- Alan Judge 0/8
17/18 free kick goals 3 - 2/11-Waghorn & Celina 1 - 1/6. |
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Thread | Ipswich & Huddersfield
at 11:15 26 Apr 2019
A pound win double return 966.00 lol.
Thousand pound bet on Liverpool odds 1/12 return 1083.33. |
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Thread | Ipswich Town stats this season
at 10:50 26 Apr 2019
Last time Ipswich won by more than one goal was 45 league games ago.
Last time Ipswich kept a clean sheet 17 games.
Last time Ipswich won successive games was 56 games.
To win to nil was 17 games ago.
Staked a pound on every single league game this season you would be down -30.15.
Scored in both halves 18 games ago.
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Thread | Grand National
at 11:37 6 Apr 2019
Tiger Roll is 9lb higher than last year.
Tiger Roll will be the shortest-priced winner in exctally 100 years following Poethlyn's victory at 11-4 in 1919, but 5 horses sent off 6-1 or shorter in the last 20 years were all beaten.
It's therefore little wonder that 5 of the last 7 winners were priced at 66-1, 33-1 (twice) and 25-1 (twice), with One For Arthur and Tiger Roll giving punters a little bit of much-needed solace in the last 2 years. Tiger Roll carries 11st 5lbs this year, 13 of the last 19 winners carried between 10st 6lbs and 11st. |
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Thread | Bolton
at 10:44 6 Apr 2019
Against the bottom eight Bolton have a W6 D5 L2. |
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Thread | Grand National Postive & Negative Trends
at 18:14 5 Apr 2019
Postive Trends
Age: 8 of the last 14 winners were aged 9 or 10 (4 apeice),
With all 6 exceptions just one year either side of that.
The 3 8-year- old winners- Many Clouds, One For Arthur & Tiger Roll- have come in the last 4 years
Experience: The last 5 winners had run between 10 & 16 times over fences, making it 7 in 10 years.
Weight/BHA Ratings: 13 of the last 19 winners carried between 10st 6lb & 11st.
5 of the last 10 winners were running off marks from 148 to 150.
Stamina: The last 15 winners had been first or second in a Chase over at least 3m 1 1/2f.
Rule The World is the only winner since 1970 who hadn't won over at least 3m.
Recent Form: 9 of the last 10 winners had finished third or better in at least one of their previous 3 runs.
Key Trial : 2 of the last 4 Irish-trained winners had finished first or second in the previous year's Irish National.
Negative Trends:
Age: No horse ages 7 or younger has done the business since 1940, with 22 falling in the last 10 years. At the other end of the scale,those aged 12 or older are 0/41 in the same timeframe,with no teenager having won since 1923.
Weight/BHA Ratings: 5 of the last 13 winners carried 11st or more. Auroras Encore is the only winner to carry less than 10st 6lb since Bindaree in 2002.In addition, just 2 winners in the last decade were rated below 148 from 123 to try.
Trainer: Nicky Henderson has never won the National and is 0/11 since 2009,with none finishing in the first 4 & only 3 getting round. He runs Valtor this year.
Layoff: Horses off the track for 3 months or more are 0/81 in the last 10 years.
Conculision: Vintage Clouds & Lake View Lad, 2 nine-year olds who finished second and third in the Ultima last month,are both fairly strong on the stats, as is Tiger Roll's stablemate Jury Duty.
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Thread | Football form
at 13:22 26 Mar 2019
Huddersfield lost 17 of last 19
Fulham lost 11 of last 12
Yeovil lost 10 of last 12
Bolton lost 10 of last 13
Maidstone lost 10 of last 13
Berwick lost 10 of last 13
Ouenn of the South lost last 7
Braintree lost 8 of last 10
Walsall lost 8 of last 11
St Johnstone lost 8 of last 11
QPR lost 8 of last 11
Ayr lost 8 of last 11
Alloa lost 7 of last 8
Wycombe lost 6 of last 7
Man City won 16 of last 18
Celtic won 14 of last 17
Sunderland unbeaten for 16
Luton won 9 of last 12
Barnsley unbeaten for 14
Bury unbeaten for 14
Lincoln unbeaten for 13
Norwich won last 6
Tranmere won last 6
Sheffield Utd won 7 of last 9
Preston won 7 of last 10
Liverpool unbeaten for 10
Sheffield Wed unbeaten for 10
Dunfermline won last 5
Over 1.5 goals as a percentage
PL 80
Ch 74
L1 75
L2 71
EC 70
SP 71
SC 71
SL1 83
SL2 78
Home/Away/Draw percentages
PL H 48 D 19 A 33
Ch H 43 D 30 A 27
L1 H 41 D 27 A 32
L2 H 44 D 26 A 30
EC H 41 D 26 A 33
SP H 44 D 21 A 35
SCH H 39 D 28 A 33
SL1 H 46 D 21 A 33
SL2 H 46 D 17 A 37
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