 | Forum Thread | Points needed for survival at 13:59 1 Jan 2025
I've run 20,000 simulations of my shot-based model. 35 points gives a greater than 60% chance of survival. So hoping for at least 20 points in second half of season! |
 | Forum Thread | Any chance we'll install another big screen to show VAR decisions? at 15:14 6 Jun 2024
With one of the improvements suggested for VAR relying on fans being able to see a big screen, i.e. "where possible, an enhanced offering of big screen replays to include all VAR interventions", what's the likelihood of getting another big screen at PR so that replays can be seen by the whole ground? It's likely to make the VAR experience even more difficult to interpret for areas of the stadium that can't see the big screen (like SAR3 where I sit), but I remember MA said there weren't any other areas of PR suitable for another screen. |
 | Forum Thread | How many points needed for top 2? at 09:42 15 Apr 2024
This is an update from my model (20k simulations, team ratings based on goals and shots for and against). 2 wins gives a 92% chance of promotion. A win and a draw is 56%. Town are in an amazing position. |
 | Blog | Desperate Data – the Extreme Numbers That Defined Ipswich Town’s Dismal Season at 23:02 2 Jun 2017
Think Ipswich Town’s 2016/17 Championship record redefined tedium? Think again. Despite a low mid-table finish, set against a background of increasing supporter discontent at insipid management and directionless ownership – Town actually topped (or tailed) the league for many key attributes. Not the characteristics of a mundane team. |
 | Blog | Sam Allardyce – The Sensible Choice? at 22:50 21 Jul 2016
My view of Sam Allardyce is heavily influenced by the most exciting match I’ve ever watched. Ipswich’s 5-3 (AET) defeat of Bolton in a play-off semi-final second leg in May 2000. |
 | Blog | Championship – Half-Term Report at 13:00 28 Dec 2015
What with Christmas and Sky Sports' scheduling it’s difficult to keep up with the Championship at the moment, but a quick glance at the table shows 23 games played - the halfway point. |
 | Blog | Reasons to Be Cheerful at 19:07 3 Dec 2015
In my last blog I bemoaned Mick McCarthy’s pass completion stats – where his teams are consistently poor - this time I’m looking at shots on target to try and evaluate performance. Apologies if it gets a bit geeky. |
 | Blog | Mick McCarthy’s Magic Method at 09:04 24 Nov 2015
In the modern football world, most match reports are adorned by a plethora of stats that may (or may not) tell us something extra about the relative performance of each team – eg BBC reports show shots, shots on target, possession and fouls. |
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