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Forum
Thread
Points needed for survival
at 13:59 1 Jan 2025

I've run 20,000 simulations of my shot-based model. 35 points gives a greater than 60% chance of survival. So hoping for at least 20 points in second half of season!

Forum
Thread
Any chance we'll install another big screen to show VAR decisions?
at 15:14 6 Jun 2024

With one of the improvements suggested for VAR relying on fans being able to see a big screen, i.e. "where possible, an enhanced offering of big screen replays to include all VAR interventions", what's the likelihood of getting another big screen at PR so that replays can be seen by the whole ground?

It's likely to make the VAR experience even more difficult to interpret for areas of the stadium that can't see the big screen (like SAR3 where I sit), but I remember MA said there weren't any other areas of PR suitable for another screen.
Forum
Thread
How many points needed for top 2?
at 09:42 15 Apr 2024

This is an update from my model (20k simulations, team ratings based on goals and shots for and against). 2 wins gives a 92% chance of promotion. A win and a draw is 56%. Town are in an amazing position.

Forum
Thread
Dark Swans - new book with ITFC connections
at 14:02 29 Mar 2023

Shameless plug, but I published my first book, Dark Swans, on Amazon today. It's a techno-thriller set in York and North Yorkshire (and a small bit in Norfolk). It's not directly Ipswich related, but there are a few oblique ITFC references. It's available in ebook and paperback format. If you like it, I'd be grateful for a review. Thanks.

https://www.amazon.co.uk/Dark-Swans-techno-thriller-Stephen-Jackson-ebook/dp/B0B
Blog
Desperate Data – the Extreme Numbers That Defined Ipswich Town’s Dismal Season
at 23:02 2 Jun 2017

Think Ipswich Town’s 2016/17 Championship record redefined tedium? Think again. Despite a low mid-table finish, set against a background of increasing supporter discontent at insipid management and directionless ownership – Town actually topped (or tailed) the league for many key attributes. Not the characteristics of a mundane team.
Blog
Sam Allardyce – The Sensible Choice?
at 22:50 21 Jul 2016

My view of Sam Allardyce is heavily influenced by the most exciting match I’ve ever watched. Ipswich’s 5-3 (AET) defeat of Bolton in a play-off semi-final second leg in May 2000.
Blog
Championship – Half-Term Report
at 13:00 28 Dec 2015

What with Christmas and Sky Sports' scheduling it’s difficult to keep up with the Championship at the moment, but a quick glance at the table shows 23 games played - the halfway point.
Blog
Reasons to Be Cheerful
at 19:07 3 Dec 2015

In my last blog I bemoaned Mick McCarthy’s pass completion stats – where his teams are consistently poor - this time I’m looking at shots on target to try and evaluate performance. Apologies if it gets a bit geeky.
Blog
Mick McCarthy’s Magic Method
at 09:04 24 Nov 2015

In the modern football world, most match reports are adorned by a plethora of stats that may (or may not) tell us something extra about the relative performance of each team – eg BBC reports show shots, shots on target, possession and fouls.
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