| Run-In Simplified 20:25 - Apr 4 with 2438 views | unstableblue |
CURRENT LEAGUE TABLE
Ipswich P 40 GD 33 Pts 87
Leeds P 40 GD 44 Pts 86
Leicester P 39 GD 42 Pts 85
RUN-IN SEQUENCE (league position of opponent)
1) Sat 6th
12.30 Norwich (6th) v Ipswich
15:00 Coventry (7th) v Leeds
15:00 Leicester v Brum (20)
2) Tues 9th April
19:45 Millwall (19th) v Leicester
20:00 Leeds v Sunderland (13th)
Weds 10th April
19:45 Ipswich v Watford (14th)
3) Fri 12th April
20:00 Plymouth (21) v Leicester
Sat 13th April
12:30 Leeds v Blackburn (17)
15:00 Ipswich v Boro (9th)
4) Sat 20th April
12.30 Leicester v West Brom (5th)
Mon 22nd
20:00 Boro (9th) v Leeds
5) Tues 23rd April
20:00 Leicester v Southampton (4th)
6) Fri 26th
20:00 QPR (16th) v Leeds
Sat 27th April
20:00 Hull v Ipswich
Mon 29th
20:00 PNE (8th) v Leicester
7) Tues 30th April
20:00 Coventry (7th) v Ipswich
8) Sat 4th May
12.30 Ipswich v Huddersfield (22nd)
12.30 Leeds v Southampton (4th)
12.30 Leicester v Blackburn (17th) [Post edited 5 Apr 19:45]
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| With regards the above listening to the 72 on R5 on 20:33 - Apr 4 with 2356 views | unstableblue |
I’ve simplified the run-in fixtures above, opinion on result removed and final table from original thread.
Listening to the lads on The 72 talking about the auto promotion race. In summary:
Leeds and Ipswich have momentum and positivity in the fan base
Leicester fans are not backing in the same way, and the financial issues are affecting.
Leicester players are watching the table.
But Leicester have 3 winnable games next - win those after the Norwich win and that could build the movement to then go on a run.
Leeds have the easiest run-in and Farke know what he’s doing.
Saints are pivotal as playing our rivals, but they are no longer chasing points.
Ipswich are playing a lot of play-off challengers - Hull no longer? | |
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| With regards the above listening to the 72 on R5 on 20:58 - Apr 4 with 2247 views | SWBlue22 |
| With regards the above listening to the 72 on R5 on 20:33 - Apr 4 by unstableblue |
I’ve simplified the run-in fixtures above, opinion on result removed and final table from original thread.
Listening to the lads on The 72 talking about the auto promotion race. In summary:
Leeds and Ipswich have momentum and positivity in the fan base
Leicester fans are not backing in the same way, and the financial issues are affecting.
Leicester players are watching the table.
But Leicester have 3 winnable games next - win those after the Norwich win and that could build the movement to then go on a run.
Leeds have the easiest run-in and Farke know what he’s doing.
Saints are pivotal as playing our rivals, but they are no longer chasing points.
Ipswich are playing a lot of play-off challengers - Hull no longer? |
Run in simplified. One game at a time. |  | | |
| Run-In Simplified on 08:20 - Apr 5 with 1726 views | Yppswyche |
Would be interesting to see this with opponents form table position rather than league table position |  | | |
| Run-In Simplified on 09:39 - Apr 5 with 1559 views | Ryorry |
Quite apart from all that, 12.30pm non-derby games seriously p me off. Bloody Sky.  |  |
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| Run-In Simplified on 09:48 - Apr 5 with 1524 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Run-In Simplified on 08:20 - Apr 5 by Yppswyche |
Would be interesting to see this with opponents form table position rather than league table position |
Obviously the form table will change as the fixtures progress (as will the actual table but less so). It also depends on how long form covers (the 10-game table will differ a lot from the 6-match one). There is also home form against away form too. However, using the 6-match one:
1) Sat 6th
12.30 Norwich (4th) v Ipswich (1st)
15:00 Coventry (10th) v Leeds (2nd)
15:00 Leicester (15th) v Brum (19th)
2) Tues 9th April
19:45 Millwall (13th) v Leicester
20:00 Leeds v Sunderland (21st)
Weds 10th April
19:45 Ipswich v Watford (18th)
3) Fri 12th April
20:00 Plymouth (24th) v Leicester
Sat 13th April
12:30 Leeds v Blackburn (17th)
15:00 Ipswich v Boro (3rd)
4) Sat 20th April
Leicester v West Brom (5th)
Mon 22nd
Boro (3rd) v Leeds
5) Tues 23rd April
Leicester v Southampton (14th)
6) Sat 27th April
15:00 Hull (20th) v Ipswich
15:00 PNE (8th) v Leicester - Draw
15:00 QPR (7th) v Leeds - Draw
7) Tues 30th April
15:00 Coventry (10th) v Ipswich - Loss
8) Sat 4th May
12.30 Ipswich v Huddersfield (23rd)
12.30 Leeds v Southampton (14th)
12.30 Leicester v Blackburn (17th) |  |
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| Run-In Simplified on 10:12 - Apr 5 with 1450 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Run-In Simplified on 09:48 - Apr 5 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Obviously the form table will change as the fixtures progress (as will the actual table but less so). It also depends on how long form covers (the 10-game table will differ a lot from the 6-match one). There is also home form against away form too. However, using the 6-match one:
1) Sat 6th
12.30 Norwich (4th) v Ipswich (1st)
15:00 Coventry (10th) v Leeds (2nd)
15:00 Leicester (15th) v Brum (19th)
2) Tues 9th April
19:45 Millwall (13th) v Leicester
20:00 Leeds v Sunderland (21st)
Weds 10th April
19:45 Ipswich v Watford (18th)
3) Fri 12th April
20:00 Plymouth (24th) v Leicester
Sat 13th April
12:30 Leeds v Blackburn (17th)
15:00 Ipswich v Boro (3rd)
4) Sat 20th April
Leicester v West Brom (5th)
Mon 22nd
Boro (3rd) v Leeds
5) Tues 23rd April
Leicester v Southampton (14th)
6) Sat 27th April
15:00 Hull (20th) v Ipswich
15:00 PNE (8th) v Leicester - Draw
15:00 QPR (7th) v Leeds - Draw
7) Tues 30th April
15:00 Coventry (10th) v Ipswich - Loss
8) Sat 4th May
12.30 Ipswich v Huddersfield (23rd)
12.30 Leeds v Southampton (14th)
12.30 Leicester v Blackburn (17th) |
Splitting home and away and still based on 6 matches. Colour coding for which club has the easiest (GREEN) to most difficult (RED) fixture in each section based entirely on current form:
1) Sat 6th
12.30 Norwich (1st) v Ipswich (4th) RED
15:00 Coventry (8th) v Leeds (1st) ORANGE
15:00 Leicester (9th) v Brum (23rd) GREEN
2) Tues 9th April
19:45 Millwall (15th) v Leicester (7th) ORANGE (nothing between this and our fixture on form)
20:00 Leeds (2nd) v Sunderland (21st) GREEN
Weds 10th April
19:45 Ipswich (3rd) v Watford (13th) ORANGE
3) Fri 12th April
20:00 Plymouth (24th) v Leicester (7th) GREEN
Sat 13th April
12:30 Leeds (2nd) v Blackburn (16th) ORANGE
15:00 Ipswich (3rd) v Boro (10th) RED
4) Sat 20th April
Leicester (9th) v West Brom (6th) RED (matching this up with our fixture v Coventry)
Mon 22nd
Boro (14th) v Leeds (1st) GREEN
5) Tues 23rd April
Leicester (9th) v Southampton (5th) GAME IN HAND BUT DIFFICULT ONE AS WE SAW FOR OURSELVES
6) Sat 27th April
15:00 Hull (20th) v Ipswich (4th) GREEN
15:00 PNE (5th) v Leicester (7th) RED
15:00 QPR (12th) v Leeds (1st) ORANGE
7) Tues 30th April
15:00 Coventry (8th) v Ipswich (4th) ORANGE
8) Sat 4th May
12.30 Ipswich (3rd) v Huddersfield (17th) GREEN
12.30 Leeds (2nd) v Southampton (5th) RED
12.30 Leicester (9th) v Blackburn (16th) ORANGE
Leicester have 4 H matches left compared to Leeds and Ipswich 3 each. On the ratings for each set of fixtures:
Ipswich and Leicester have 2 of each colour, Leeds have 2 green, 3 orange and 1 red. Really nothing in it on that analysis.
Town have the toughest fixture of everyone this weekend. I think we all knew that anyway. | |
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| With regards the above listening to the 72 on R5 on 10:33 - Apr 5 with 1392 views | Europablue |
| With regards the above listening to the 72 on R5 on 20:33 - Apr 4 by unstableblue |
I’ve simplified the run-in fixtures above, opinion on result removed and final table from original thread.
Listening to the lads on The 72 talking about the auto promotion race. In summary:
Leeds and Ipswich have momentum and positivity in the fan base
Leicester fans are not backing in the same way, and the financial issues are affecting.
Leicester players are watching the table.
But Leicester have 3 winnable games next - win those after the Norwich win and that could build the movement to then go on a run.
Leeds have the easiest run-in and Farke know what he’s doing.
Saints are pivotal as playing our rivals, but they are no longer chasing points.
Ipswich are playing a lot of play-off challengers - Hull no longer? |
The only other thing to add is that our goal difference effectively means we need an extra point than our rivals.
The Ipswich specific issue is whether Morsy can avoid 2 yellows in 6 games. | | | |
| Run-In Simplified on 10:41 - Apr 5 with 1364 views | nrb1985 |
Whatever way you cut it, our run in is pretty miserable albeit slightly better than Leicester's.
Almost everyone has something to play for and Watford are now resurgent and still have year 2 parachute players. Unlucky not to beat Leeds the other night.
If we could somehow just get a win of any kind tomorrow, even a "nob end" in 90th minute to quote Warnock, then I think we might have a good chance to ride that momentum through to the end though.
It will take one almighty to effort to get us over the line but I put nothing passed this Coach or Team. Slightly odds against for now though IMO. [Post edited 5 Apr 10:43]
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| With regards the above listening to the 72 on R5 on 10:54 - Apr 5 with 1284 views | BluJu |
| With regards the above listening to the 72 on R5 on 10:33 - Apr 5 by Europablue |
The only other thing to add is that our goal difference effectively means we need an extra point than our rivals.
The Ipswich specific issue is whether Morsy can avoid 2 yellows in 6 games. |
"..whether Morsy can avoid 2 yellows in 6 games"
5 games really. Who cares if he gets booked against Huddersfield?
You see, there's always a bright side! |  | | |
| With regards the above listening to the 72 on R5 on 11:08 - Apr 5 with 1230 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| With regards the above listening to the 72 on R5 on 10:33 - Apr 5 by Europablue |
The only other thing to add is that our goal difference effectively means we need an extra point than our rivals.
The Ipswich specific issue is whether Morsy can avoid 2 yellows in 6 games. |
The Leeds specific issue is whether Sommerville can avoid injury or a red card in those same matches.
The Leicester specific issue is whether a referee will fall for any more Dewsbury-Hall dives in the area. | |
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| With regards the above listening to the 72 on R5 on 11:43 - Apr 5 with 1135 views | yorkshireblue |
| With regards the above listening to the 72 on R5 on 10:54 - Apr 5 by BluJu |
"..whether Morsy can avoid 2 yellows in 6 games"
5 games really. Who cares if he gets booked against Huddersfield?
You see, there's always a bright side! |
Depends if we have nay more games after Huddersfield... |  | | |
| With regards the above listening to the 72 on R5 on 13:17 - Apr 5 with 951 views | BluJu |
| With regards the above listening to the 72 on R5 on 11:43 - Apr 5 by yorkshireblue |
Depends if we have nay more games after Huddersfield... |
Oh stop it. Got to think positively.
No no no don't let the thoughts in... [fingers in ears] | | | |
| Run-In Simplified on 13:34 - Apr 5 with 875 views | buoyant |
| Run-In Simplified on 10:12 - Apr 5 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Splitting home and away and still based on 6 matches. Colour coding for which club has the easiest (GREEN) to most difficult (RED) fixture in each section based entirely on current form:
1) Sat 6th
12.30 Norwich (1st) v Ipswich (4th) RED
15:00 Coventry (8th) v Leeds (1st) ORANGE
15:00 Leicester (9th) v Brum (23rd) GREEN
2) Tues 9th April
19:45 Millwall (15th) v Leicester (7th) ORANGE (nothing between this and our fixture on form)
20:00 Leeds (2nd) v Sunderland (21st) GREEN
Weds 10th April
19:45 Ipswich (3rd) v Watford (13th) ORANGE
3) Fri 12th April
20:00 Plymouth (24th) v Leicester (7th) GREEN
Sat 13th April
12:30 Leeds (2nd) v Blackburn (16th) ORANGE
15:00 Ipswich (3rd) v Boro (10th) RED
4) Sat 20th April
Leicester (9th) v West Brom (6th) RED (matching this up with our fixture v Coventry)
Mon 22nd
Boro (14th) v Leeds (1st) GREEN
5) Tues 23rd April
Leicester (9th) v Southampton (5th) GAME IN HAND BUT DIFFICULT ONE AS WE SAW FOR OURSELVES
6) Sat 27th April
15:00 Hull (20th) v Ipswich (4th) GREEN
15:00 PNE (5th) v Leicester (7th) RED
15:00 QPR (12th) v Leeds (1st) ORANGE
7) Tues 30th April
15:00 Coventry (8th) v Ipswich (4th) ORANGE
8) Sat 4th May
12.30 Ipswich (3rd) v Huddersfield (17th) GREEN
12.30 Leeds (2nd) v Southampton (5th) RED
12.30 Leicester (9th) v Blackburn (16th) ORANGE
Leicester have 4 H matches left compared to Leeds and Ipswich 3 each. On the ratings for each set of fixtures:
Ipswich and Leicester have 2 of each colour, Leeds have 2 green, 3 orange and 1 red. Really nothing in it on that analysis.
Town have the toughest fixture of everyone this weekend. I think we all knew that anyway. |
I'd say Cov away is a RED |  |
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| Run-In Simplified on 14:16 - Apr 5 with 765 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Run-In Simplified on 13:34 - Apr 5 by buoyant |
I'd say Cov away is a RED |
Based on current form, West Brom at home is trickier for Leicester than Cov away is for us. That said, it could be argued that they are close enough to both be orange. I think the overall point is that on current form, we have very similar difficulty fixtures left.
Another way to look at it would be to group them into top 4, 5-8, 9-12, etc. I might have a quick look at that too. | |
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| Updated above with latest Sky dates for Town, Leeds and Leicester - pin it Phil! on 14:24 - Apr 5 with 741 views | unstableblue |
The automatic rivals are beginning to play at different days and times consistently now [Post edited 5 Apr 14:26]
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| I think the next two games for us and Leicester are key on 14:31 - Apr 5 with 694 views | unstableblue |
| Run-In Simplified on 10:41 - Apr 5 by nrb1985 |
Whatever way you cut it, our run in is pretty miserable albeit slightly better than Leicester's.
Almost everyone has something to play for and Watford are now resurgent and still have year 2 parachute players. Unlucky not to beat Leeds the other night.
If we could somehow just get a win of any kind tomorrow, even a "nob end" in 90th minute to quote Warnock, then I think we might have a good chance to ride that momentum through to the end though.
It will take one almighty to effort to get us over the line but I put nothing passed this Coach or Team. Slightly odds against for now though IMO. [Post edited 5 Apr 10:43]
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Norwich (a) and Watford (h) is hard
Brum (h) and Millwall (a) is medium
Hopefully the impact of the two newish managers at those Leicester opponents can galvanise.
As I already stated if we falter and Leicester get two wins on the bounce to build on Norwich, and go on a run, we're in a different place.
4 points seems a good return. 6 and Leicester wobble, we'd be cooking on gas. | |
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| Run-In Simplified on 14:33 - Apr 5 with 679 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Run-In Simplified on 14:16 - Apr 5 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Based on current form, West Brom at home is trickier for Leicester than Cov away is for us. That said, it could be argued that they are close enough to both be orange. I think the overall point is that on current form, we have very similar difficulty fixtures left.
Another way to look at it would be to group them into top 4, 5-8, 9-12, etc. I might have a quick look at that too. |
Doing that gives using a rainbow of WHITE vs top 3 through RED to VIOLET (bottom 3):
1) Sat 6th
12.30 Norwich (1st) v Ipswich (4th) WHITE
15:00 Coventry (8th) v Leeds (1st) ORANGE
15:00 Leicester (9th) v Brum (23rd) VIOLET
2) Tues 9th April
19:45 Millwall (15th) v Leicester (7th) GREEN
20:00 Leeds (2nd) v Sunderland (21st) INDIGO
Weds 10th April
19:45 Ipswich (3rd) v Watford (13th) GREEN
3) Fri 12th April
20:00 Plymouth (24th) v Leicester (7th) VIOLET
Sat 13th April
12:30 Leeds (2nd) v Blackburn (16th) BLUE
15:00 Ipswich (3rd) v Boro (10th) YELLOW
4) Sat 20th April
Leicester (9th) v West Brom (6th) RED
Mon 22nd
Boro (14th) v Leeds (1st) GREEN
5) Tues 23rd April
Leicester (9th) v Southampton (5th) RED
6) Sat 27th April
15:00 Hull (20th) v Ipswich (4th) INDIGO
15:00 PNE (5th) v Leicester (7th) RED
15:00 QPR (12th) v Leeds (1st) YELLOW
7) Tues 30th April
15:00 Coventry (8th) v Ipswich (4th) ORANGE
8) Sat 4th May
12.30 Ipswich (3rd) v Huddersfield (17th) BLUE
12.30 Leeds (2nd) v Southampton (5th) RED
12.30 Leicester (9th) v Blackburn (16th) BLUE
Totals
LEEDS: W0 R1 O1 Y1 G1 B1 I1 V0
LEICESTER: W0 R3 O0 Y0 G1 B1 I0 V2
IPSWICH: W1 R0 O1 Y1 G1 B1 I1 V0
I don't know what any of that means except we have the most difficult fixture on Saturday and after that Leicester have the most difficult and the easiest ones (all of them on paper only). [Post edited 5 Apr 15:07]
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