I've done the sums... by
Kropotkin123 4 May 20:30Hmmm, your math isn't mathing for me...
https://i.ibb.co/58SgDZ2/ptsprojection.png
The first assumes 2 points down and 2 defeats up each year. Then it is translated into 38 games
The second assumes a percentage decrease and increase each year. When rounded, this gives different figures across 46 games. But is the same across 38 games.
2024/2025 - 78 points and 7 defeats
Edit: Could also be an exponential decrease. I'm not sure how to math that.