which states "win at home and draw away" to amass enough points to practically guarantee promotion (which is not far off, 92 points would have achieved top two places in all but one of the last 10 seasons).
How are we doing?
Home: 12 points from 15 is a pretty good record, we have the best points-per-game home record in the Championship (2.40), with only Watford coming anywhere close (2.33). We're as good at home as Norwich are on the road (also 2.40 ppg) which is where they're really strong.
Away: 7 points from 18, or 7 from 6 if we're requiring draws. 1.17ppg puts us bang mid-table, joint 12th. Some teams, like Norwich and Middlesbrough (2.00) are raking it in away, which gives them more leeway to lose at home.
So, at home we are -3 on target and away we are +1, giving us -2 overall. Thus it is vitally important that we maintain Portman Road as a fortress for as much of the rest of the season as possible.