The excellent Experimental361 has updated his 'trend' data for the top 4 leagues over the past 3 seasons which shows whether a club is over or under achieving through the metrics of goals scored against expected goals scored and goals conceded against expected goals conceded.
I know you can overanalyse things you can see with your eyes, and things like xG aren't always the best measures of certain situations but the Town one here backs up what has been pretty obvious to everyone. Essentially, for this season and the last, we overachieved for the first part, then promptly slid down into underachieving. The same thing has happened again with the same manager twice.
It also shows just how awful we were in the relegation season, consistently failing to meet a pretty dismal expected goal difference bar.
I guess this sort of thing is missing from Evans' folder of 'facts' that means Lambert should stay.
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