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The path ahead, updated post-Preston 17:01 - Oct 7 with 786 viewsJimInGreensboro

Post-Preston, based on ten-year averages in the Championship, here’s what we would need to do the rest of the way to reach the play-offs or earn automatic promotion:

Play-offs: 1.314 points per match from the remaining 35 matches.
• That's 46 more points for a total of 74 (ten-year playoff average)
• Example: win 13, draw 7, lose 15 (worst case scenario)

Automatics: 1.771 ppm.
• That's 62 more points from 35 matches for a total of 90 (ten-year automatic promotion average)
• Ex: win 18, draw 8, lose 9

Goal differentials notwithstanding.

We are presently on a 2.545 point per match pace and have 17 home matches and 18 away matches remaining.
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The path ahead, updated post-Preston on 17:32 - Oct 7 with 579 viewsDilithium85

Seeing the statistics like that makes promotion seem far more achievable.
This gives me a strange optimistic feeling
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