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Iran 23:06 - Jun 24 with 740 viewsLeoMuff

Interim intelligence reports suggest nuclear programme only set back a few months by bombing, enrichment and equipment largely undamaged.

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Iran on 23:28 - Jun 24 with 655 viewsStokieBlue

The White House has cancelled the classified briefing on the bombing of the Iranian nuclear sites they were scheduled to give to Congress today.

It's not gone down well, avoiding their legal obligations etc.

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Iran on 09:48 - Jun 25 with 381 viewsGuthrum

Bomb damage assessment is notoriously tricky without access to the target. Plus we (obviously) don't know the sources, level, completeness, or even accuracy of this leaked document.

Trump's opponents will jump on this to lambast him - and what he says is notoriously often divorced from reality - but the President is likely to be better-briefed* than anyone else.

I would suggest that what we've heard so far are two ends of a spectrum of early analysing processes which are by no means yet finished.





* That's not the same as him having absorbed or accurately comprehended the information, let alone what he chooses to broadcast in public.

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Iran on 10:48 - Jun 25 with 290 viewsDevereuxxx

The problem with this sort of intelligence report is that it's an estimate built on an estimate. The information they have to go off will be based on modelling, and unless they have on-ground source data, the actual scale of damage is very difficult to assess.

And that gives space for the US government to say that the damage was significant and critical. Because neither the public or the news media have the information to argue otherwise, apart from the intelligence report which is largely vague anyway.
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