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If we take 45 points as being a minimum to hit 21st or above then that's another 30 points.
If we draw a blank at Boro then that leaves us with 21 games to get those points ie 1.4 points a game.
A tally that would have us in 11th place were we to have achieved that average in the first half of the season. You can change the variables but another 30 points over 22 games - as opposed to 15 over 24 games so far, looks to be a fair bench mark.
Wen need something from two thirds of the final games.
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How many points to stay up ? on 22:48 - Dec 26 with 891 views
We need one more point than the 3 teams below us at the end of the season. The teams directly above us have an advantage at the moment, but we also have to play them. If we can close that gap sooner rather than later (our next two home games are crucial to get wins from) then we still have a chance, whatever the end total is.