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Act today or people will die - the numbers behind the virus spread 09:34 - Mar 13 with 445 viewsDurovigutum

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd
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Act today or people will die - the numbers behind the virus spread on 09:45 - Mar 13 with 391 viewsGuthrum

The problem with drawing conclusions about the success or failure of different approaches to C-19 is that the scenario has not yet played itself out. The Chinese tactics appear to be keeping rates down (tho much higher in absolute terms than many other places). But the lockdown cannot be cotinued indefinitely (even in China). What happens when it is lifted?

Moreover, the Chinese lockdown is limited to one region of the country, which can be economically supported by the rest. If entire countries are locked down, where does the support come from?

Good Lord! Whatever is it?
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Act today or people will die - the numbers behind the virus spread on 11:15 - Mar 13 with 308 viewsRyorry

Act today or people will die - the numbers behind the virus spread on 09:45 - Mar 13 by Guthrum

The problem with drawing conclusions about the success or failure of different approaches to C-19 is that the scenario has not yet played itself out. The Chinese tactics appear to be keeping rates down (tho much higher in absolute terms than many other places). But the lockdown cannot be cotinued indefinitely (even in China). What happens when it is lifted?

Moreover, the Chinese lockdown is limited to one region of the country, which can be economically supported by the rest. If entire countries are locked down, where does the support come from?


He also seems very blase that a vaccine will be developed. From what I read a few days ago, there's no absolute certainty that it can/will be, and that the best that can be hoped for is one in maybe 9-12 months' time.

Not sure if I'm right here, but seems to me there was never any hope of containing it once it had spread beyond China, considering how the common cold & mutating 'flu varieties are endemic + 21stC global travel. You could maybe draw parallels with isolated tribes in remote regions being wiped out by the common cold because they'd never previously encountered it.

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