| Current xG graph 16:22 - Jan 23 with 4021 views | ArnieM |
This has been borrowed from Tractor-Boys forum poster…I don’t think he’ll mind me post8n* it on here. And I hope TWTD don’t either… makes interesting reading.
Just wanted to share this, it's the current xG graph for league 1 (xG for minus xG against). xG being expected goals, it's the best metric to analyse the amount and quality of chances a team has produced. It shows how dominant Ipswich have been this year, Town are at the top of the for and against charts, by a decent amount. I think it really backs up how we have really wasted chances, but also, have not been anywhere near clinical enough at the back.
I think that is why the bookies still back us, and think that is why McKenna has brought in two new strikers. However I think he is wary of making changes at the back, though I think it's the bigger issue.
I also think it shows that the team have not necessarily been playing poorly or playing the wrong style. They have had the most chances to score out of any team in the league by same way and have failed to convert enough. They have also had the least chances against them, but have conceded too many times when they shouldn't have.
Tippy tappy gives you extra possession, which you could argue limits the other team's time on the ball and opportunities to score. On the flip side you could say that it is slower to move the ball forward, allowing opposition teams a chance to organise at the back better, and also overloads their half, giving them a better chance of counter attacking football, which is usually more fruitful considering the extra space and defensive disorganisation it often creates.
Hope this link to the image works…
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| Current xG graph on 14:50 - Jan 24 with 534 views | King_ding_a_lin_g |
| Current xG graph on 14:33 - Jan 24 by Herbivore |
I'm no mathematician, but doesn't the line move up and down in relation to the y axis? |
I just thought that one team's positive xG is another's minus xG.. and therefore if you have a line plotting net xG (Y-axis) across the season (X-axis), including all teams... it would be zero every week and therefore flat.
Maybe it doesn't work like that! [Post edited 24 Jan 2023 15:06]
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| Current xG graph on 15:30 - Jan 24 with 490 views | SamWhiteUK |
| Current xG graph on 06:42 - Jan 24 by bobbyramsey |
Even I understand this, it would be great to have one of these updated weekly? |
I can try :) |  | | |
| Current xG graph on 15:38 - Jan 24 with 484 views | SamWhiteUK |
| Current xG graph on 08:05 - Jan 24 by Herbivore |
The x axis is number of games isn't it? It's tracking xG over the course of the season to date. Agree a bar chart would work better though. |
That would only work if the graph were for one team. This clearly isn't, as more than one team are labelled :) | | | |
| Current xG graph on 16:32 - Jan 24 with 429 views | Herbivore |
| Current xG graph on 15:38 - Jan 24 by SamWhiteUK |
That would only work if the graph were for one team. This clearly isn't, as more than one team are labelled :) |
Hang on, I'm talking about the graphs from Joe's post that are just about Town aren't they? |  |
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| Current xG graph on 16:34 - Jan 24 with 419 views | Herbivore |
| Current xG graph on 14:50 - Jan 24 by King_ding_a_lin_g |
I just thought that one team's positive xG is another's minus xG.. and therefore if you have a line plotting net xG (Y-axis) across the season (X-axis), including all teams... it would be zero every week and therefore flat.
Maybe it doesn't work like that! [Post edited 24 Jan 2023 15:06]
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Sorry, I was on about the ones Joe posted. Just looked at the graph in the OP and totally get why it's confusing. It seems to be teams on the x axis ranked from worst xG difference to best as far as I can tell. It's not the best. | |
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| Current xG graph on 16:43 - Jan 24 with 403 views | positivity |
| Current xG graph on 16:34 - Jan 24 by Herbivore |
Sorry, I was on about the ones Joe posted. Just looked at the graph in the OP and totally get why it's confusing. It seems to be teams on the x axis ranked from worst xG difference to best as far as I can tell. It's not the best. |
it's not even that, or it'd be an ever increasing graph left to right
my only guess is that it's in reverse order of league position a few weeks ago, it's baffling... |  |
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| Current xG graph on 17:33 - Jan 24 with 352 views | Herbivore |
| Current xG graph on 16:43 - Jan 24 by positivity |
it's not even that, or it'd be an ever increasing graph left to right
my only guess is that it's in reverse order of league position a few weeks ago, it's baffling... |
Very good point! | |
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