| 1st half of the season: An analysis 15:30 - Dec 31 with 2910 views | quantfootball |
Hi all,
I had done some analysis on the first 23 games of the season, looking at our underlying metrics and it ended up becoming an interesting piece. I've been given permission to post a link to the substack I uploaded it to:
https://footballquant.substack
thanks |  | | |  |
| 1st half of the season: An analysis on 18:57 - Jan 7 with 267 views | Meadowlark |
Good work, but I still think we should shoot more! |  | | |
| 1st half of the season: An analysis on 19:45 - Jan 7 with 229 views | itfcserbia |
| 1st half of the season: An analysis on 10:31 - Jan 2 by DJR |
One thing that I believe xG fails to take into account is the likelihood of the person in question making the most of a chance.
For example, Harry Kane is more likely to score a 0.5 chance than many other strikers.
In our case, I do wonder if part of the problem is that quite a few of our players don't seem to have that killer instinct when in a possible goal-scoring position. That is clearly not true of Clarke or Philogene but there are others who seem rather goal shy.
By way of example, Wes Burn put away the chance against Coventry in a way that might be expected of him but I could imagine that if that chance had fallen to certain others, they might not have even hit the target. [Post edited 2 Jan 10:32]
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Certain others, lol
Great text btw, and it aged well over the festive period, some of the teams around us starting to be found out.
As for xG, Charlton and Leicester games summed it well. We'll be alright.
COYB |  |
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