| PPG so far 13:05 - Feb 22 with 1769 views | ashtonscoffeecup |
Based on 31 games this season these are the following facts.
Home games - 2.19 PPG (7 games left to play - 15.33)
Away games - 1.27 PPG (8 games left to play - 10.16)
using that as a sign of how the remaining games will go we are on for a finish of 79 points. now, of course, these figures could end up being wildly out (one way or another)
but based on that 79 points, we'll fall short of 1st/2nd but some distance.
agree?
and btw, that away ppg is shocking isnt it
[Post edited 22 Feb 13:25]
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| PPG so far on 22:19 - Feb 22 with 237 views | ashtonscoffeecup |
| PPG so far on 22:01 - Feb 22 by Blue_Heath |
79 points sounds about right given where we are at, I don't seeing us getting over 80. May only take 72 points for a play off place. Yes the away form is killing us and will ultimately be our downfall in the play offs as 79 points likely gives us away leg first which for us is a disadvantage. |
my worry is, based on the away form, we could rock up to wembley and put in a leicester/oxford/millwall/sheff utd/wrexham performance | | | |
| PPG so far on 22:22 - Feb 22 with 226 views | ashtonscoffeecup |
| PPG so far on 20:34 - Feb 22 by DJR |
If we win on Tuesday, our away PPG for the last three away games will be 2, and for the last four games will be 1.5, both better than our average this season.
I'm a glass half-full kinda guy.
[Post edited 22 Feb 20:38]
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admire it but at the same time scratch my head at it | | | |
| PPG so far on 00:38 - Feb 23 with 176 views | armchaircritic59 |
| PPG so far on 20:34 - Feb 22 by DJR |
If we win on Tuesday, our away PPG for the last three away games will be 2, and for the last four games will be 1.5, both better than our average this season.
I'm a glass half-full kinda guy.
[Post edited 22 Feb 20:38]
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Well, I like your positivity, I hope it's rewarded. I wouldn't want to put a mortgage on it, but here's to you being right! | | | |
| PPG so far on 00:47 - Feb 23 with 171 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| PPG so far on 22:19 - Feb 22 by ashtonscoffeecup |
my worry is, based on the away form, we could rock up to wembley and put in a leicester/oxford/millwall/sheff utd/wrexham performance |
Wembley isn't an away fixture, though. Whilst it isn't a home one either, we would have 40K+ fans supporting us instead of around 1-2K (or even 25K at home).
The OP's stats would have us on 79.5 pts at the end of the season so 80+ is far from impossible based on previous form to date. The highest placed team we have left to play away from home is Derby in 8th so it would be reasonable to say we have played tougher away matches than those we have left.
In our first 10 matches we got 13 points (1.3 ppg).
Our next 10 we got 21 pts (2.1 ppg).
The third block of 10 had us get 20 pts (2 ppg).
We had a poor start to the season but got a lot better. Saturday was disappointing (but Wrexham are 6th). There is no reason to expect us to drop away from where we are. However, we do need to get better if we will challenge for the top two. 2 ppg from here would take us to 84 points and that probably wouldn't be enough. (Coventry would need 20 pts from 13 to beat that; Boro 23 from 13.) |  |
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| PPG so far on 08:00 - Feb 23 with 90 views | DJR |
| PPG so far on 00:38 - Feb 23 by armchaircritic59 |
Well, I like your positivity, I hope it's rewarded. I wouldn't want to put a mortgage on it, but here's to you being right! |
Me neither having been at the vast majority of away games this season.
I just keep hoping that we will start to show some consistency away from home.
Indeed, it ought to be easier for us than it has been because the onus on the home team is generally to take the game to us, thus opening up more possibility of counter-attack than when at home. [Post edited 23 Feb 8:01]
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| PPG so far on 08:02 - Feb 23 with 80 views | DJR |
| PPG so far on 22:22 - Feb 22 by ashtonscoffeecup |
admire it but at the same time scratch my head at it |
I suppose a lot is resting on "if we win on Tuesday". 
Lose that and our task will become much more difficult. | | | |
| PPG so far on 08:30 - Feb 23 with 66 views | Blue_Uprising |
I still think we will be able to replicate our form of the last 16 games (before Wrexham game) for the final 16.
Leaving us on 85pts and in my view right on the bubble (last game of the season tension) for automatics.
Matching that form allows us to lose 3 games (including Wrexham). 2 more now.
Logically it’s should not matter where the losses fall. Psychologically as a fan I would have liked as many of those potential losses to stay ‘in the bank’ for as long as possible. So conceding a loss from a winning position is really gutting.
Psychologically for the players, maybe for once and all this season, the Wrexham result really galvanises them. Here’s hoping! |  | | |
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