How would people feel about a midtable finish this season? by OriginalMarkyP 27 Sep 2021 11:31
Statistically speaking, if we were to finish 8th or 9th based on where we are now that would be a pretty good rest of the season performance.

Portsmouth finished 8th on 72pts last season in what was by most accounts a pretty poor league and not as competitive as this year's competition. We were of course 9th on 69pts.

So to match Portsmouth last season we'd need 65 pts from our remaining 38 games...bearing in mind we arguably haven't played any of the league's big hitters yet (Sunderland, Wigan, Wycombe, Portsmouth, Rotherham, Accrington etc).

That's 1.7 pts per game from now on. To get 8th.

1.7 pts per game over an entire season would get you 79 pts which is borderline automatic promotion form as the average 2nd place is 86.7, Peterborough were 2nd with 87 last year.

So applying a little logic and realism, our most likely finish if we have a very good season from Tuesday onwards is 8th. Probably 9th if we dip at all. Where we finished last year.

Is that acceptable for us?