| The path ahead, post-Swansea 11:42 - Nov 12 with 2174 views | JimInGreensboro |
Post-Swansea, based on ten-year averages in the Championship, here’s what we would need to do the rest of the way to reach the play-offs or earn automatic promotion:
Play-offs: 1.167 points per match from the remaining 30 matches.
• That's 35 more points for a total of 74 (ten-year playoff average)
• Example: win 9, draw 8, lose 15 (worst case scenario)
Automatics: 1.7 ppm.
• That's 51 more points from 30 matches for a total of 90 (ten-year automatic promotion average)
• Ex: win 14, draw 9, lose 9
Goal differentials notwithstanding.
We are presently on a 2.4375 point per match pace and have 15 home matches and 15 away matches remaining.
|  | | |  |
| The path ahead, post-Swansea on 11:45 - Nov 12 with 2121 views | _clive_baker_ |
How does it look using this seasons run-rates? |  | | |
| The path ahead, post-Swansea on 13:02 - Nov 12 with 1972 views | Basuco |
But, remember last season, Wednesday got 96 points and only made the playoffs. Leicester, Leeds and Southampton will set a relentless pace winning many games, averages are not very reliable as an indicator of what is required. I also feel that many or our current squad have not reached their individual performance ceiling, and the all round team performance is getting better and better. We will lose a few games at some point but I like the current mantra, "one game at a time" I am really enjoying each game as it comes along. |  | | |
| The path ahead, post-Swansea on 13:03 - Nov 12 with 1967 views | JimInGreensboro |
| The path ahead, post-Swansea on 11:45 - Nov 12 by _clive_baker_ |
How does it look using this seasons run-rates? |
Almost spot-on for averages, Clive. We would still need 90 for autos, and 75 (rather than 74, goal diff notwithstanding) for play-offs.
At present rates, here are the points the top clubs would amass:
Leicester 112
ITFC 112
Leeds 89
Southhampton 86
Preston 80
Sunderland/West Brom/Hull 75 | | | |
| The path ahead, post-Swansea on 13:07 - Nov 12 with 1927 views | ParisBlue |
From West brom to Stoke on New Years Day, there's 10 games in 38 days, just under a quarter of the season.
I'd settle for being 8 points clear in 2nd on evening of 1st Jan. |  |
| |
| The path ahead, post-Swansea on 17:51 - Nov 12 with 1625 views | _clive_baker_ |
| The path ahead, post-Swansea on 13:03 - Nov 12 by JimInGreensboro |
Almost spot-on for averages, Clive. We would still need 90 for autos, and 75 (rather than 74, goal diff notwithstanding) for play-offs.
At present rates, here are the points the top clubs would amass:
Leicester 112
ITFC 112
Leeds 89
Southhampton 86
Preston 80
Sunderland/West Brom/Hull 75 |
Interesting. Thanks Jim | | | |
| The path ahead, post-Swansea on 18:05 - Nov 12 with 1558 views | Swansea_Blue |
“Post-Swansea”. I don’t like the sound of that  |  |
| |
| The path ahead, post-Swansea on 23:08 - Nov 12 with 1273 views | JimInGreensboro |
| The path ahead, post-Swansea on 18:05 - Nov 12 by Swansea_Blue |
“Post-Swansea”. I don’t like the sound of that |
Cheers, mate! No disrespect intended and all the best the rest of the way. | | | |
| The path ahead, post-Swansea on 07:26 - Nov 13 with 1017 views | pennblue |
Looks very doable at this stage but we could easily eat into those 9
Losses in the next 10 games and then it very quickly looks a lot harder (for automatic at least) | |
| |
| |
By continuing to use the site, you agree to our use of cookies and to abide by our Terms and Conditions.
