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Opta analytics - Auto promotion chance for Ipswich now >50% 12:08 - Apr 3 with 1769 viewsEsherBlueStu

For those that like a supercomputer model…

https://theanalyst.com/eu/2024/04/championship-predictions-promotion-relegation/
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Opta analytics - Auto promotion chance for Ipswich now >50% on 12:14 - Apr 3 with 1692 viewsEwan_Oozami

Wonder what the odds were at this point in the season last year?

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Opta analytics - Auto promotion chance for Ipswich now >50% on 12:15 - Apr 3 with 1687 viewsSteve_M

It flips so much by last result which I guess is to be expected but had you looked after Cardiff it was more like 18% automatic.

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Opta analytics - Auto promotion chance for Ipswich now >50% on 12:19 - Apr 3 with 1637 viewsBasingstokeBlue

What a load of tosh.

We're only going to pick up 10 points from the remaining 6 fixtures?

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Opta analytics - Auto promotion chance for Ipswich now >50% on 13:23 - Apr 3 with 1467 viewsElderGrizzly

Opta analytics - Auto promotion chance for Ipswich now >50% on 12:19 - Apr 3 by BasingstokeBlue

What a load of tosh.

We're only going to pick up 10 points from the remaining 6 fixtures?


That does look low I agree.

And if it does play out as the Opta predictions say, it's us vs 'that lot' in the playoff semis.

And us beating Coventry (and we'll need to), probably confirms Norwich's playoff spot too.
[Post edited 3 Apr 2024 13:24]
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Opta analytics - Auto promotion chance for Ipswich now >50% on 13:39 - Apr 3 with 1363 viewsHighgateBlue

Opta analytics - Auto promotion chance for Ipswich now >50% on 13:23 - Apr 3 by ElderGrizzly

That does look low I agree.

And if it does play out as the Opta predictions say, it's us vs 'that lot' in the playoff semis.

And us beating Coventry (and we'll need to), probably confirms Norwich's playoff spot too.
[Post edited 3 Apr 2024 13:24]


There's no single way of interpreting what the Opta predictions say will happen, because all the Opta predictions do is calculate a percentage chance of each outcome.

So, as Opta says that we're more than 50% likely to be in the top two, it follows that being in the playoffs at all is less than 50% likely to occur, and specifically facing Norwich in the playoffs is less likely still.

I'm clutching at straws. I really don't want to face that lot in the playoffs!
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Opta analytics - Auto promotion chance for Ipswich now >50% on 14:31 - Apr 3 with 1235 viewsbluefunk

A reminder of the accuracy of their predictions

This was at the start of the season

https://theanalyst.com/eu/2023/07/championship-2023-24-season-predictions-opta/
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