| Forum Thread | This is very incisive on Israel-Gaza at 10:10 19 Mar 2024
As quoted in the Guardian: 'Amos Harel in Haaretz offers this analysis of the political calculations that Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu may be making around any possible hostage deal. Harel writes: Political sources still believe that what motivates the prime minister above all is his political survival and hold on power as his criminal trial progresses. To this end, Netanyahu needs more time, and therefore any delay in indirect negotiations with Hamas serves his interests, despite his declared commitment to rescuing the hostages. Netanyahu’s opposition to a possible hostage deal does not appear to be principled or sweeping. From his perspective, the major problem is a prolonged ceasefire that could herald the end of the war. The structure of the deal currently being discussed speaks of a six-week ceasefire, during which a first tranche of Israeli hostages will be returned in exchange for the release of hundreds of Palestinian prisoners, some of whom are considered high-profile. Even if talks run aground on a second phase of a deal – in which Israeli soldiers and younger men held by Hamas are expected to be released – it will probably be several more weeks before fighting resumes. In other words, if an agreement on a hostage deal is reached, Israel will be headed to a ceasefire of at least two months. This does not serve Netanyahu since in that event, increased pressure to dissolve the Knesset can be expected, along with calls for a new election.' |
| Forum Thread | How we're doing at the Bank of Promotion at 10:19 5 Mar 2024
I've always said that if a team can lose six or fewer, plus drawing no more than twice that number over the season, they'll be well in the mix for the top two. W28 D12 L6 is 96 points. I know this season is exceptional, but that would almost always see a team promoted automatically. As things stand, we still have two losses and three draws "in the bank". Incredibly, we only have to win just over half our games to "break even". As to our rivals, Leicester have already gone overdrawn on the losses account, but have a lot of leeway on the draws. Southampton similarly in the losses column and have used up over half their credit on draws. Leeds are on the limit for losses, but can still afford a few more draws. Obviously, going overdrawn on losses is 50% more damaging than on draws, so they're going to have to watch that closely. |
| Forum Thread | Guthrum's Estimated Final Table at 09:55 25 Feb 2024
After yesterday's games. We haven't moved (tho points total getting better), but have a close look at the top. |
| Forum Thread | Guthrum's Estimated Final Table at 22:08 22 Feb 2024
As requested by Keno. Not much change yet, the effect of that Winter Wobble still causing a draught. |
| Forum Thread | Rotherhan *are* a tougher opponent at 10:27 21 Feb 2024
than their League position might suggest. Especially against the better sides. They've drawn three of their games against the top six, won two and drawn two against teams in 7th to 12th place. Plus giving others significant trouble before eventually losing. As others have said, the physicality and the press are effective against teams wanting to play it out from the back in the current style. |
| Forum Thread | Why do people at 10:48 20 Jan 2024
want to put anybody and everybody but Jackson up top Monday*? A trained and designated striker. Who scored in the last game. Who has the energy and determination for the role. Why shoehorn somebody else in (especially a slightly out-of-form, finding-it-hard-to-hit-the-target Broadhead), when Jackson is available? * Edit - thanks Sitters. [Post edited 20 Jan 11:02]
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