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Betting variables
at 15:28 26 Aug 2019

My friends have developed quite a successful spreadsheet for building accumulators.

They have to input the results each week, but then the spreadsheet takes the previous few years results that they’ve been inputting and works out stuff like avg amount of goals that teams are scoring at home and conceding away, and if the home team that week is scoring more than avg over the past few games, and away team conceding more than the league avg they lump on a home win. It does a few other bits too along those lines that takes into account quality of the next opposition rather than just the previous. Bit nerdy, but they’re a few thousand pounds up so not the worst way to spend your time.

I’ve just quit my job and am whiling away a three month notice period in the office, so I’m going to try and put something together myself.

What would you suggest are the main factors to look out for?

- Amount of goals home team has been scoring more than the league average vs away team conceding
- How a team did against the team that came 1st, 2nd, 3rd etc last year. Some teams seem to unexpectedly do well against the top teams and lose against the bottom teams.
- How many points a team gained each week last season (0.4, 1.8, 2.3 etc) or has gained over the previous 10 games to give an idea of the relative quality of each team. If they’re within 0.5 of each other then it might be a draw, if not then a home/away win.

I’m happy to share the spreadsheet once (if) I’ve put it together with anyone who suggests a factor to include.
Forum
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Sears
at 21:49 20 Aug 2019

Is he injured or just not getting a look in?
Forum
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Team for U23s vs Maldon- anyone know it?
at 20:02 7 Aug 2019

My dad appears to be the only one there apart from staff and hadn’t got a clue who’s playing (the fact the shirts aren’t numbered at this level doesn’t help)
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A fairly reasonable review of where we're at
at 09:55 2 Jun 2017

http://swissramble.blogspot.co.uk/2017/01/ipswich-town-stuck-in-moment.html

I think the fact this was written by a outsider looking in helps. It doesn't address the hoofball issue...but it's still good to look at things in a wider context.
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backinbeige


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