| Something for a Friday - Predicting the final league table and other stats 08:57 - Mar 13 with 491 views | StokieBlue |
Given all the league predictions flying around I decided to vibe code a website to do this using Claude.
Functionality:
- Works for PL and Champ.
- League information and graphed comparative league positions by gameweek.
- Team information - metrics, results, next match etc.
- Predictions - predict all this weeks results or the entire season using 2 models (Monte Carlo and Poisson) and configurable options. I prefer the MC model.
- Fixtures - all fixtures for all teams.
- Methodology page for those who are interested.
Should work fine on desktops or mobiles, mobiles has a different UI setup:
https://footvibe-production.up
Obviously it's modelling and thus I wouldn't make any financial decisions based on it!
SB |  | | |  |
| Something for a Friday - Predicting the final league table and other stats on 09:07 - Mar 13 with 418 views | itfcjoe |
Best to run it on a nice random number.....like last 32 games! |  |
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| Something for a Friday - Predicting the final league table and other stats on 09:33 - Mar 13 with 360 views | StokieBlue |
| Something for a Friday - Predicting the final league table and other stats on 09:05 - Mar 13 by bsw72 |
Odd - ran it with a league season, matches to consider 37 and Monte Carlo.
Pumped out the following:
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 10 8 96 50 +47 94
2 Ipswich 46 24 13 9 82 48 +34 84
3 Middlesbrough 46 24 11 11 71 46 +25 83
Interesting that it fails on the basic maths rather than the analytics 
EDIT:
Looked further, same issue - looks like it is rounding points based on the calculations, rather than building the points based on matches calculations ie (Wx3) + (Dx1):
4 Millwall 46 23 10 13 62 54 +9 80
5 Hull 46 23 8 15 73 66 +7 76 [Post edited 13 Mar 9:08]
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You're right, it should work out the results with the averaging of the MC simulations and then calculate the league points rather than averaging, I'll fix it tonight.
I explained the methodology to Claude and how to average, obviously wasn't thinking straight at the time!
At least it puts us a further point ahead of Boro:).
Poisson shouldn't show that.
SB [Post edited 13 Mar 9:46]
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| Something for a Friday - Predicting the final league table and other stats on 20:55 - Mar 13 with 160 views | StokieBlue |
| Something for a Friday - Predicting the final league table and other stats on 09:33 - Mar 13 by StokieBlue |
You're right, it should work out the results with the averaging of the MC simulations and then calculate the league points rather than averaging, I'll fix it tonight.
I explained the methodology to Claude and how to average, obviously wasn't thinking straight at the time!
At least it puts us a further point ahead of Boro:).
Poisson shouldn't show that.
SB [Post edited 13 Mar 9:46]
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That's fixed now for anyone who wants to try it.
SB | | | |
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