| Points required to achieve Promotion 21:27 - Mar 18 with 2873 views | King_of_Portman_Rd |
Back in the 23/24 season run in I crunched the numbers of points totals finishing in the top 3 in the championship (starting from 08/09 season)
Back then to finish 2nd the average points tally was 87.. obviously with ourselves in 24 and Burnley last season that has risen slightly. The average points tally to finish 2nd over the past 16 seasons is now 89.25
The lowest points total for finishing 2nd is 83 points. This has happened twice in the past 16 seasons 08/09 and more recently in 19/20 (every season since then however has seen the team in 2nd achieving 90 points, except 21/22 where 88points was enough)
Given that Boro, Millwall & Ourselves still have to play each other and no one is really gripping this it looks set to be a close run in where 88 points should be enough (though probably going to be a bit lower and I’d suggest 86 might do it this year)
That would mean 20 points from our remaining 9 games to get 88…
to get 86 points would require 2ppg, certainly achievable.
The average to win the league is 94.5 (however 6 of the past 8 seasons have been higher than 94 points) I also can’t see us getting 90+ this season from where we are and how we’ve performed to this point.
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| Points required to achieve Promotion on 14:54 - Mar 20 with 196 views | WestSussexBlue |
| Points required to achieve Promotion on 10:15 - Mar 19 by SaleAway |
If you do it off 6 game form, we finish comfortably second... so really none of this matters. We just need to do the business. |
Exactly that. All the number crunching and guesswork is hypothetical.
Ten days ago it finished Boro 0-1 Charlton, even the most optimistic Adducks fan wouldn’t have predicted that.
One game at a time and concentrate solely on our job. |  | | |
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