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[Redacted] 06:42 - Feb 17 with 1491 viewsvictorywilhappen

[Redacted]
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Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 08:55 - Feb 17 with 1321 viewsSteve_M

Thread here suggesting the opposite:


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Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 09:15 - Feb 17 with 1298 viewsGuthrum

Reports like that (some of them true) fly back and forth on a regular basis between the Ukrainian and Rebel sides. The ceasefire has never been entirely effective.

This isn't even necessarily Russia creating the narrative. It could be the Separatists looking to keep the crisis warm for their own benefit (weapons, support, money). There are multiple agendas at play, right down to the level of rivalries between individual local commanders.

Good to hear that the thaw is arriving early. That will pretty much close this window of attack.

Good Lord! Whatever is it?
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[Redacted] on 10:35 - Feb 17 with 1177 viewsvictorywilhappen

Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 09:15 - Feb 17 by Guthrum

Reports like that (some of them true) fly back and forth on a regular basis between the Ukrainian and Rebel sides. The ceasefire has never been entirely effective.

This isn't even necessarily Russia creating the narrative. It could be the Separatists looking to keep the crisis warm for their own benefit (weapons, support, money). There are multiple agendas at play, right down to the level of rivalries between individual local commanders.

Good to hear that the thaw is arriving early. That will pretty much close this window of attack.


[Redacted]
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[Redacted] on 10:37 - Feb 17 with 1170 viewsvictorywilhappen

Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 08:55 - Feb 17 by Steve_M

Thread here suggesting the opposite:



[Redacted]
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[Redacted] on 10:45 - Feb 17 with 1130 viewsvictorywilhappen

Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 09:15 - Feb 17 by Guthrum

Reports like that (some of them true) fly back and forth on a regular basis between the Ukrainian and Rebel sides. The ceasefire has never been entirely effective.

This isn't even necessarily Russia creating the narrative. It could be the Separatists looking to keep the crisis warm for their own benefit (weapons, support, money). There are multiple agendas at play, right down to the level of rivalries between individual local commanders.

Good to hear that the thaw is arriving early. That will pretty much close this window of attack.


[Redacted]
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Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 12:32 - Feb 17 with 1038 viewsGuthrum

[Redacted] on 10:45 - Feb 17 by victorywilhappen

[Redacted]


Tho they are only attacks against websites (as far as is public knowlege), not actual infrastructure.

Hitting the front desk of the Ukrainian MoD has no real significance, other than making a statement. Even with the banks, it's more a temporary inconvenience for customers than an actual threat to the financial structure of the nation.

All of this is within the capabilities of "ordinary" hackers, as well as state operatives. It's not impossible this could have been done by a private individuals (or a group) inspired by Russian nationalism/hostility to Ukraine - even just a desire to cause trouble or for financial gain - and not under government direction or orders.

Good Lord! Whatever is it?
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Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 12:46 - Feb 17 with 998 viewsCafe_Newman

Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 09:15 - Feb 17 by Guthrum

Reports like that (some of them true) fly back and forth on a regular basis between the Ukrainian and Rebel sides. The ceasefire has never been entirely effective.

This isn't even necessarily Russia creating the narrative. It could be the Separatists looking to keep the crisis warm for their own benefit (weapons, support, money). There are multiple agendas at play, right down to the level of rivalries between individual local commanders.

Good to hear that the thaw is arriving early. That will pretty much close this window of attack.


We're in the 21st century, not the middle ages - Today's weapons manufacturers and modern military exercises must have worked out how to deal with mud by now, right?
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Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 12:54 - Feb 17 with 984 viewsGuthrum

Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 12:46 - Feb 17 by Cafe_Newman

We're in the 21st century, not the middle ages - Today's weapons manufacturers and modern military exercises must have worked out how to deal with mud by now, right?


No. If you're moving large numbers of armoured vehicles - and, more importantly, logistics - you need firm ground to be able to do so*. If you're confined to paved roads, that drastically limits lines of attack and prevents the outflanking of blocking positions.

Helicopters can help, but they can't transport heavy tanks.

The thaw mud on the steppe is notorious. It completely bogged down fighting for months of the year during World War II.


* Ever seen a wet festival car park while everyone's trying to leave?

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Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 12:59 - Feb 17 with 952 viewsPhilTWTD

Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 12:54 - Feb 17 by Guthrum

No. If you're moving large numbers of armoured vehicles - and, more importantly, logistics - you need firm ground to be able to do so*. If you're confined to paved roads, that drastically limits lines of attack and prevents the outflanking of blocking positions.

Helicopters can help, but they can't transport heavy tanks.

The thaw mud on the steppe is notorious. It completely bogged down fighting for months of the year during World War II.


* Ever seen a wet festival car park while everyone's trying to leave?


General Mud as it became known in WW2.
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[Redacted] on 13:46 - Feb 17 with 855 viewsvictorywilhappen

Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 12:59 - Feb 17 by PhilTWTD

General Mud as it became known in WW2.


[Redacted]
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Ukraine starts mortar shelling according to Russia on 18:08 - Feb 20 with 569 viewsPerublue

This invasion is really looking imminent ... It will be World changing.

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