Please log in or register. Registered visitors get fewer ads.
Forum index | Previous Thread | Next thread
Excess mortality study 12:20 - Apr 12 with 1157 viewsStokieBlue

A number of people have made posts around the true scale of C19 and whether it is really causing excess mortality above the normal baseline rate.

I was listening to a podcast earlier and a report came up dealing with this issue.

Caveats:

- It's NYC only
- It's not peered reviewed
- The cause of death at home isn't confirmed as C19 as they aren't tested

Essentially the daily "at home" mortality rate in NYC in normal times is about 20 people but it's currently running at over 200 people per day. No C19 tests are performed on these deaths so it's unknown if they are direct C19 cases or cases where C19 has been a mitigating factor (being inside, no access to healthcare etc).

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/the-true-scale-of-excess-mortality-in-nyc

Only preliminary findings so one can't draw firm conclusions but it's interesting and would seem to show that it's possible when the data is analysed in the future the deaths could be significantly above the baseline.

SB
0
Excess mortality study on 15:38 - Apr 12 with 1038 viewsTractorWood

This seemingly corroborates some of the findings.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/10/upshot/coronavirus-deaths-new-yor

Not sure if it's the same underlying data/source.
[Post edited 12 Apr 2020 15:40]

I know that was then, but it could be again..
Poll: At present who do you think you'll vote for?

0
Excess mortality study on 19:06 - Apr 12 with 951 viewsBasuco

on average, each year around 660,000 pass away, therefore around 1808 people per day would normally be expected to die. So anything above this will be Covid19 related.
0
Excess mortality study on 19:17 - Apr 12 with 931 viewsNthsuffolkblue

Excess mortality study on 19:06 - Apr 12 by Basuco

on average, each year around 660,000 pass away, therefore around 1808 people per day would normally be expected to die. So anything above this will be Covid19 related.


Death rate per thousand in population would be a better data to compare. This would also very considerably seasonally so your simple division to give a death rate per day is not accurate. In winter more people die. Not sure what the rate would be for this time of year.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/281478/death-rate-united-kingdom-uk/

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/lif

Poll: How do you feel about the re-election of Trump?
Blog: [Blog] Ghostbusters

0




About Us Contact Us Terms & Conditions Privacy Cookies Online Safety Advertising
© TWTD 1995-2025