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The path ahead, post-Coventry 17:27 - Dec 2 with 852 viewsJimInGreensboro

Granted, this is not shaping up to be an average season, but, post-Coventry, based on ten-year averages in the Championship, here’s what we would need to do the rest of the way to reach the play-offs or earn automatic promotion:

Play-offs:
• 29 more points from our remaining 27 matches for a total of 74 (10-year play-offs average)
o That’s an average of 1.074 points per match
o Example: win 7 draw 8 lose 12

Automatics:

• 45 more points from 27 matches for a total of 90 (ten-year automatic promotion average)
o That’s an average of 1.667 points per match
o Ex: win 12, draw 9, lose 6

Goal differentials notwithstanding.

We are presently on a 2.368 point per match pace and have 13 home matches and 14 away matches remaining.
[Post edited 2 Dec 2023 18:05]
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The path ahead, post-Coventry on 17:35 - Dec 2 with 777 viewsitfc_bucks

Suspect you're right, this won't be an "average" season, but I reckon we could pretty much implode our way to the playoffs now.

I can't see Leeds and Leicester (or us) maintaining this run, and, frankly, I see more prospect for division in their ranks than ours.
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The path ahead, post-Coventry on 17:38 - Dec 2 with 746 viewsJohnTy

Only 27 matches.

win 7 draw 8 lose 12

and

win 12 draw 9 lose 6
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The path ahead, post-Coventry on 18:01 - Dec 2 with 639 viewsBloomBlue

Could be tight come the end of season as all of the top 3 is currently averaging 2 points per game and S'pton 1 point off that average.

Get to mid Jan and still top 2, it's going to take something amazing from another team to stop us finishing up 2
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The path ahead, post-Coventry on 18:04 - Dec 2 with 616 viewsJimInGreensboro

The path ahead, post-Coventry on 17:38 - Dec 2 by JohnTy

Only 27 matches.

win 7 draw 8 lose 12

and

win 12 draw 9 lose 6


Thanks, mate! Corrected that.
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