Don’t start me on the bs that is xg. It is not a proper stat.
xG models are based on averages, not taking into account the specific skill of the player taking the shot, meaning a great finisher might consistently outperform their xG while a poor finisher might underperform. It also doesn't fully consider factors like game state, defensive positioning, or the pressure applied during a chance, which can significantly impact the likelihood of scoring.
Different xG models exist, so xg varies in itself, so don’t misinterpret xG as a definitive prediction of how many goals a team should score vs the inherent randomness in football. |  |
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