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The gap between the Premier league and the Championship
at 08:44 12 May 2025

We've seen it with our eyes, it's huge

I thought I would make a statistical comparison between the leagues, and have used 6 teams - Leeds, Burnley, Sheffield United, Leicester, Southampton and us.

I looked at the difference between the goals for per game, and goals against per game and how these compare when teams were in the Premier league against the Championship.

Leeds - on relegation in 2022/23, they had a negative goals per game difference (GPGD) of -0.79, last season in the championship they had a positive GPGD of 0.82 so a difference of 1.62, this season their GPGD improved to 1.41

Leicester - on relegation in 2022/23, they had a negative GPGD of -0.44, in the Championship last season it was 1.04, a difference of 1.48. This year in the premier league it is -1.31, a huge drop off of -2.35.

Southampton - on relegation in 2022/23, they had a negative GPGD of -0.97, last season it was 0.52, and this year back in the premier league it is -1.58, so they improved by 1.48, but have then regressed by 2.11

Ipswich - In last seasons championship, our GPGD was 0.76, which has deteriorated to -1.17 in the Premier league, a difference of 1.92

Burnley - On promotion in 2022/23 their GPGD was 1.13, which fell to -0.97 in the Premier league, a difference of 2.1, they registered a GPGD this season of 1.15, an almost idential swing back

Sheffield United - In their promotion in 2022/23 they had a GPGD of 0.74, last season it was -1.82 (comfortably the worst of anyone) a drop of 2.56 ! This year they have a GPGD of 0.59, a recovery of 2.41.

These show the gap is enormous, teams are at least 1.5 goals per game worse off in the Premier league than in the Championship.

Clearly I am not comparing apples with apples, players will be bought and sold etc

To survive in the premier league you need to probably have a GPGD of no worse than -0.6 and some luck. If GPGD continues to deteriorate by between 1.5 and 2.5 you are going to need to record one on promotion of at least 1, if not 1.5.

Leeds perhaps then have a chance, a drop off of 2 from their 2024/25 figure of 1.41 would give -0.59. They have excellent goals for and against ratios (2.06 and 0.65)

Burnley would have to have a lot go for them, their GPGD of 1.15 is built almost entirely on their crazy defensive record.

Sheffield United (if they win the play offs), only have a GPGD of 0.59, the minimum drop off of 1.5 leaves them close to our performance, so very little chance.

For the 3 relegated sides in the championship, to better the best of the rest (Sunderland) who recorded a GPGD of 0.3 this season they will have to improve as follows :

Ipswich + 1.46
Leicester + 1.61
Southampton + 1.88

The average gap between the divisions has been 2.08, therefore statistically, these should be the top 3 in the championship next season (although there is the wildcard of Birmingham (GPGD of 1.15 this season) - for reference our GPGD fell by 0.67 between league one and the championship.
Forum
Thread
Cardinal park - parking changes
at 18:22 29 Oct 2024

I noticed this season that the car park has changed to pay on exit, rather than paying when you park. Has anyone forgotten to pay and got a fine ? I did after the Everton game and although I remembered within 24 hours and contacted them to try and pay they refused. Seems like a huge racket to me especially given there are no exit barriers
Forum
Thread
West stand seat moves
at 08:50 11 Jun 2024

My Mum and her friends have to move, I am conscious that there are restricted views towards the back of that tier of the stand, does anyone know what row you start getting restricted views in please ?
Forum
Thread
Nodge tickets
at 10:59 18 Mar 2024

Just bought tickets (35 points), and it was weird

According to Phil we had an allocation of 2,022 tickets, yet when I joined the queue I was number 2,019, so thought I was toast, got to the front of the queue and there was plenty left, very strange !
Blog
Yellow Cards and Why They Bug Me
at 10:42 3 Dec 2023

Yellow cards really bug me for multiple reasons.
Forum
Thread
The banter era
at 13:01 17 Nov 2023

Probably me being dense, but why do some fans refer to the Marcus Evans era as the banter era ?
Forum
Thread
What’s happened to Mark Murphy ?
at 07:13 9 Oct 2023

Does anyone know why he hasnt been doing the PA job for the last few games ? Is he ok ?
Forum
Thread
Massimo Voulez-vous chant
at 09:40 28 Sep 2023

I was just wondering what the rest of the words are please ?
Forum
Thread
Joe Gelhardt
at 10:53 31 Aug 2023

Phil - anything in these rumours ?
Forum
Thread
Timewasting
at 10:13 15 Aug 2023

This is something that certainly needs tackling, and it seems referees are booking players pretty fast without any prior warning.

Yellow cards have little effect though really, and in fact can end up benefitting one of your rivals when the player is suspended against them later in the season, and it gives you nothing in the game.

How about instead of cards, reversing the decision ? Goal kick becomes a corner, throw changes hands, free kick goes the other way ?

This would seem to be fairer and would really make teams think about wasting time over a restart.
Forum
Thread
Help please, Ideas needed
at 19:16 8 May 2023

Hello, I would like to buy some gifts for some people I am visiting on a trip, and would like to take them something 'Suffolk'

As I'm flying with a cabin bag only it can't be drink or jam, and needs to be something smallish

Are there any suggestions for shops in the south of the county (Sudbury, Hadleigh, Ipswich area) please that sell locally made gifts please ?

Thanks
Forum
Thread
Portsmouth
at 14:33 21 Nov 2022

Does anyone know when they play their 2 games in hand on us, and who they are against ?
Forum
Thread
Yesterdays attendance
at 16:57 7 Aug 2022

Has this been published anywhere ?

I suspect it will be close to their record for a league game which is around 3,800 I believe
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