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OPTA Stats for Relegation 13:25 - Dec 16 with 2477 viewsIP9

https://theanalyst.com/eu/2024/08/opta-football-predictions

Interesting to see we are still predicted to be relegated to 2nd bottom at 34%, even after the weekend's victory, rather than 3rd bottom or even survival given only a 17% chance!

I find it hard to believe we would be able to grind out a 0-0 at Arsenal like Everton managed, for example. New manager bounces for Wolves and Southampton also worry me!
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OPTA Stats for Relegation on 13:27 - Dec 16 with 2410 viewsgiant_stow

2% chance of Southampton staying up.... wow.

Has anyone ever looked at their own postings for last day or so? Oh my... so sorry. Was Ullaa
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OPTA Stats for Relegation on 14:14 - Dec 16 with 2151 viewsgainsboroughblue

Comforting that we have more chance of staying up than Man City have of getting in the top two.

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OPTA Stats for Relegation on 14:18 - Dec 16 with 2124 viewsGavTWTD

We have a 25.4% chance of staying up. That's ok, but its worse than Wolves. It says at the bottom that the calculations take into account the betting markets which I'm not sure should be in their equations.

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OPTA Stats for Relegation on 15:00 - Dec 16 with 1870 viewsSuperKieranMcKenna

Sir Bobby couldn’t save Southampton at this point. If I was a Saints fan I’d just be hoping for damage limitation now, and not beating Derby’s record.

Not really surprising bookies prefer Wolves - based on squad value, and ‘established’ status. However, our leveller is the best manager by a long shot, and owners that will back him on Jan.
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OPTA Stats for Relegation on 15:39 - Dec 16 with 1738 viewsitfcjoe

OPTA Stats for Relegation on 14:18 - Dec 16 by GavTWTD

We have a 25.4% chance of staying up. That's ok, but its worse than Wolves. It says at the bottom that the calculations take into account the betting markets which I'm not sure should be in their equations.


The betting markets are likely more accurate than their super computer, these are the places that actually have to put their money where their mouth is

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OPTA Stats for Relegation on 16:35 - Dec 16 with 1469 viewsIllinoisblue

Wolves worry me more than Soton as they have better players. Hopefully the diving cheat in charge at Leicester comes unstuck and struggles.
[Post edited 16 Dec 2024 16:41]

62 - 78 - 81
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OPTA Stats for Relegation on 17:55 - Dec 16 with 1235 viewsle2blue

OPTA Stats for Relegation on 15:00 - Dec 16 by SuperKieranMcKenna

Sir Bobby couldn’t save Southampton at this point. If I was a Saints fan I’d just be hoping for damage limitation now, and not beating Derby’s record.

Not really surprising bookies prefer Wolves - based on squad value, and ‘established’ status. However, our leveller is the best manager by a long shot, and owners that will back him on Jan.


Suspect they may be without their best player for a few games, Matheus Cunha will surely be banned for an extended period. They're also hiring a coach that's never worked in the Premier League.
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OPTA Stats for Relegation on 18:05 - Dec 16 with 1182 viewsWinchBlue

OPTA Stats for Relegation on 15:00 - Dec 16 by SuperKieranMcKenna

Sir Bobby couldn’t save Southampton at this point. If I was a Saints fan I’d just be hoping for damage limitation now, and not beating Derby’s record.

Not really surprising bookies prefer Wolves - based on squad value, and ‘established’ status. However, our leveller is the best manager by a long shot, and owners that will back him on Jan.


My thoughts as well. With the perceived value of our squad & the fact that hardly any of them have prem experience, compared to the rest of the division we should be below Southampton. It’s a credit to the whole club that we still have a chance to stay up, albeit a slim one.
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OPTA Stats for Relegation on 18:13 - Dec 16 with 1144 viewscymroglas

I may be wrong and perhaps these stats will fairly reflect where teams will end up. But I am optimistic. The stats don’t reflect that we are in most games, players are gelling more and more and adjusting to the PL.
There will be a bounce back with Wolves and Soton having new managers….but I would still rather
be where we are….with a Manager who knows his squad and has shown his adaptability. Wolves have disciplinary problems.
Season may well turn on who Soton, Wolves, us, Everton Leicester etc sign
in the window …..
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