| Recent promoted sides after 7 games 10:59 - Oct 3 with 1912 views | DazBoGangles |
Thought it might be interesting to see where recently promoted teams were after 7 games to see the chances of automatic promotion from where we are now versus recent history.
I only looked back to 2020/21 but since then, no side has got automatic promotion with fewer than 12 points from their opening 7 matches. Encouragingly, we're in an equal or better position than every playoff winner, with the exception of Sunderland last year.
Ipswich 2025/26 = 10 points from opening 7
20/21
Watford 14 points
Norwich 13 points
Brentford 10 points (playoff winners)
21/22
Fulham 16 points
Bournemouth 15 points
N Forest 1 point (playoff winners)
22/23
Sheff Utd 14 points
Burnley 12 points
Luton 9 points (playoff winners)
23/24
Leicester 18 points
Ipswich 18 points
Southampton 10 points (playoff winners)
24/25
Sunderland 15 points (playoff winners)
Burnley 14 points
Leeds 14 points
Going further, after 12 games - the automatic promotion teams had the following points tallies;
20/21
Watford 22
Norwich 24
21/22
Fulham 23
Bournemouth 28
22/23
Burnley 21
Sheff Utd 24
23/24
Leicester 33
Ipswich 29
24/25
Leeds 23
Burnley 23
Therefore we need a minimum of 11 points from the next 5 matches to get back on track with Burnley in the 22/23 season - that's W3 D2 L0 from the following;
Norwich H
Boro A
Charlton H
West Brom H
QPR A
Doable?
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| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 11:05 - Oct 3 with 1839 views | EuanTown |
The old 2 points per game as always. We are just a bit behind at the moment. |  | | |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 11:06 - Oct 3 with 1826 views | J2BLUE |
We just need to get more points than third.
It looks like a league where anyone could beat anyone at the moment. If Town or Southampton click or someone like Boro keeps going then they/we could pull away by mid season. |  |
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| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 11:11 - Oct 3 with 1792 views | SuffolkPunchFC |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 11:05 - Oct 3 by EuanTown |
The old 2 points per game as always. We are just a bit behind at the moment. |
Last 4 games, 2ppg
Win tomorrow and we're 2.2ppg
We had a stuttering start, but we're far from off the pace yet. | | | |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 12:17 - Oct 3 with 1586 views | Guthrum |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 11:06 - Oct 3 by J2BLUE |
We just need to get more points than third.
It looks like a league where anyone could beat anyone at the moment. If Town or Southampton click or someone like Boro keeps going then they/we could pull away by mid season. |
Seems to be a lot of draws in the Champ so far this season. Haven't yet had a chance to analyse it statistically to see if it really is a higher proportion than usual. |  |
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| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 12:34 - Oct 3 with 1498 views | positivity |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 12:17 - Oct 3 by Guthrum |
Seems to be a lot of draws in the Champ so far this season. Haven't yet had a chance to analyse it statistically to see if it really is a higher proportion than usual. |
just had a quick look at the last 2 seasons (which had very high promotion points totals)
2023-24 25 draws after 8 games
2024-25 25 draws after 8 games
this year 34 draws after 8 games (assuming we beat blackburn in the abandoned game!)
so on that small sample size, it's fairly high... | |
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| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 12:38 - Oct 3 with 1451 views | billlm |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 11:11 - Oct 3 by SuffolkPunchFC |
Last 4 games, 2ppg
Win tomorrow and we're 2.2ppg
We had a stuttering start, but we're far from off the pace yet. |
Or sunday |  | | |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 12:55 - Oct 3 with 1384 views | EuanTown |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 12:38 - Oct 3 by billlm |
Or sunday |
Nah don't tell.em but it is Saturday, it's all a ruse to win by default. | | | |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 14:13 - Oct 3 with 1176 views | ronnyd |
Have i missed something but we were relegated last year, not promoted?  | | | |
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| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 14:16 - Oct 3 with 1165 views | SomethingBlue |
That little set of games has an eight points feel to me, let's see.
I don't sense we will be in for a particularly high top-two points threshold by recent standards this season, although anything could yet happen. | |
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| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 14:18 - Oct 3 with 1148 views | positivity |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 14:13 - Oct 3 by ronnyd |
Have i missed something but we were relegated last year, not promoted? |
teams who went on to be promoted that year | |
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| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 14:21 - Oct 3 with 1129 views | Radlett_blue |
Pretty clear that we need to start wining more games. Boro have had a great start, but have still drawn 3 of their last 4 & I'm not seeing anyone with the kind of consistence that recent automatic promotion winners have had. Missing out on Hackney was probably a double whammy but unfortunately PL clubs are looking to sing him in January. If we can find some slightly better form now that our starting XI looked more settled, we can get up there. Winning on Sunday would be a great boost - another draw against a poor Budgie side is not what we need. |  |
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| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 16:54 - Oct 3 with 971 views | ronnyd |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 14:18 - Oct 3 by positivity |
teams who went on to be promoted that year |
Ah,gotcha.  | | | |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 18:51 - Oct 3 with 848 views | billlm |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 12:55 - Oct 3 by EuanTown |
Nah don't tell.em but it is Saturday, it's all a ruse to win by default. |
Probably be abandoned and lose the replay shsss | | | |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 19:17 - Oct 3 with 802 views | Denny32 |
Only 6 points away from autos and 117 points still to play for..enough said. | | | |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 22:33 - Oct 3 with 655 views | Guthrum |
| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 12:34 - Oct 3 by positivity |
just had a quick look at the last 2 seasons (which had very high promotion points totals)
2023-24 25 draws after 8 games
2024-25 25 draws after 8 games
this year 34 draws after 8 games (assuming we beat blackburn in the abandoned game!)
so on that small sample size, it's fairly high... |
Good work! So my gut feeling is correct, there have been a lot more draws than usual (at least recently). | |
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| Recent promoted sides after 7 games on 23:21 - Oct 3 with 582 views | Everydayblue |
Ridiculous pace set by us and Leicester.... 23/24 | | | |
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