Please log in or register. Registered visitors get fewer ads.
Forum index | Previous Thread | Next thread
The electoralcalculus prediction system has gone batsh!t crazy. 16:10 - Jun 27 with 1073 viewsNthQldITFC

(I believe that's the phrase)

95% chance Green win in Waveney Valley - wahey!
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/calcwork23.py?seat=Waveney%20Valley

44% chance Ref*rm win in Suffolk South - Boo!
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/calcwork23.py?seat=Suffolk+South

⚔ Long live the Duke of Punuar ⚔
Poll: What Olympic sport/group are you most 'into'?

1
The electoralcalculus prediction system has gone batsh!t crazy. on 16:11 - Jun 27 with 1050 viewsGeoffSentence

You may have to pinch your nose and regretfully put your Green vote aside for Labour to avoid a reform or Tory MP in South Suffolk

Don't boil a kettle on a boat.
Poll: The best Williams to play for Town

2
The electoralcalculus prediction system has gone batsh!t crazy. (n/t) on 16:12 - Jun 27 with 1047 viewsNthYorkshireBlue

[Post edited 2 Jul 2024 12:07]
1
The electoralcalculus prediction system has gone batsh!t crazy. on 16:14 - Jun 27 with 1028 viewsNthQldITFC

The electoralcalculus prediction system has gone batsh!t crazy. on 16:11 - Jun 27 by GeoffSentence

You may have to pinch your nose and regretfully put your Green vote aside for Labour to avoid a reform or Tory MP in South Suffolk


Yes, that's what I'll almost certainly do. The uncertainties are too much of a worry.

⚔ Long live the Duke of Punuar ⚔
Poll: What Olympic sport/group are you most 'into'?

0
The electoralcalculus prediction system has gone batsh!t crazy. on 16:15 - Jun 27 with 1020 viewsMookamoo

Predicted turnout of 78% in Waveney Valley seems very high.

This is where I am and there is a lot of Green posters and leaflets, but unless they have promised to taser any dog owners that allow their dogs to crap on the pavement, I can't see 78% giving that much of a toss.
0
The electoralcalculus prediction system has gone batsh!t crazy. on 16:20 - Jun 27 with 981 viewsNthQldITFC

The electoralcalculus prediction system has gone batsh!t crazy. (n/t) on 16:12 - Jun 27 by NthYorkshireBlue

[Post edited 2 Jul 2024 12:07]


Hopefully they can pull it off, 10 points or so down in the latest(!) YouGov poll but intense local campaigning and profile of the candidate could be enough maybe.

2nd YouGov MRP poll:
https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/49809-second-yougov-2024-election-mrp-sho

Green and Ref*rm making ground on Labour and T*ries respectively between the first two YouGov MRP polls, which seem a lot more sensible than the EC ones!

1st YouGov MRP poll:
https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/49606-first-yougov-mrp-of-2024-general-el
[Post edited 27 Jun 2024 16:21]

⚔ Long live the Duke of Punuar ⚔
Poll: What Olympic sport/group are you most 'into'?

0
The electoralcalculus prediction system has gone batsh!t crazy. on 16:32 - Jun 27 with 951 viewsbluelagos

The electoralcalculus prediction system has gone batsh!t crazy. on 16:11 - Jun 27 by GeoffSentence

You may have to pinch your nose and regretfully put your Green vote aside for Labour to avoid a reform or Tory MP in South Suffolk


Went to Shotley today - couple of Labour posters and a Liberal there.

Still not seen one Tory or Reform anywhere other than Mersea Island (which I think is the Harwich constituency which looks like a Labour win.)

So few posters around compared to previous elections, does suggest a lot of apathy, and I think if there was a "They're all sh1t" party they could poll quite highly.

Poll: This new lockdown poll - what you reckon?

0
The electoralcalculus prediction system has gone batsh!t crazy. on 16:36 - Jun 27 with 942 viewsjaykay

The electoralcalculus prediction system has gone batsh!t crazy. on 16:32 - Jun 27 by bluelagos

Went to Shotley today - couple of Labour posters and a Liberal there.

Still not seen one Tory or Reform anywhere other than Mersea Island (which I think is the Harwich constituency which looks like a Labour win.)

So few posters around compared to previous elections, does suggest a lot of apathy, and I think if there was a "They're all sh1t" party they could poll quite highly.


no tory posters in their heartland of adeburgh a few libs posters some lab and green also
don't think for one minute they have deserted the tories, just ashamed to show their support

forensic experts say footers and spruces fingerprints were not found at the scene after the weekends rows

1




About Us Contact Us Terms & Conditions Privacy Cookies Advertising
© TWTD 1995-2025