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Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then 10:06 - Jul 5 with 1428 viewsTrequartista

Opinion poll average stuck between 19 and 21% lead. They won by 12%. Every single poll was wrong.

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Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 10:11 - Jul 5 with 1365 viewsPinewoodblue

Just shows how clever Labour campaign, vote for change, was.

It was those who voted for change, by voting LibDem or Reform, that gave Labour the victory.

2023 year of destiny
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Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 10:39 - Jul 5 with 1230 viewsTrequartista

Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 10:11 - Jul 5 by Pinewoodblue

Just shows how clever Labour campaign, vote for change, was.

It was those who voted for change, by voting LibDem or Reform, that gave Labour the victory.


Either Pep or Kieran was managing their campaign it seems. The tactics to get 410+ seats from 35% of a low turnout is incredible.

Poll: Who do you blame for our failure to progress?

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Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 10:58 - Jul 5 with 1177 viewslowhouseblue

opinion polls (particularly extreme ones and ones that are stable over a long period) affect voter behaviour and in particular turnout. labour got the votes where it needed them.

And so as the loose-bowelled pigeon of time swoops low over the unsuspecting tourist of destiny, and the flatulent skunk of fate wanders into the air-conditioning system of eternity, I notice it's the end of the show

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Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 10:58 - Jul 5 with 1170 viewsWD19

Eh? From what I can see the polling was bang on. Again.
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Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 11:00 - Jul 5 with 1157 viewsTrequartista

Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 10:58 - Jul 5 by lowhouseblue

opinion polls (particularly extreme ones and ones that are stable over a long period) affect voter behaviour and in particular turnout. labour got the votes where it needed them.


Never been truer that they don’t measure your vote, they influence it.

Poll: Who do you blame for our failure to progress?

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Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 11:01 - Jul 5 with 1146 viewsbaxterbasics

I think one thing they didn't price in was the collapse of the terrorist-sympathy vote, which came out in force for Corbyn in 2019, now abandoning Labour over some trouble in a different corner of the world.

zip
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Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 12:13 - Jul 5 with 951 viewsTrequartista

Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 10:58 - Jul 5 by WD19

Eh? From what I can see the polling was bang on. Again.


The MRPs were not far wrong, I'm talking about the relentless vote share opinion polls. Look at the right hand column and try to find a red square with 10% written on it.

Find an opinion poll with Labour on 34%

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_United_Kingdom_genera
[Post edited 5 Jul 2024 12:14]

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Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 12:16 - Jul 5 with 929 viewsTrequartista

*won by 10%

Poll: Who do you blame for our failure to progress?

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Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 12:29 - Jul 5 with 881 viewsWD19

Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 12:13 - Jul 5 by Trequartista

The MRPs were not far wrong, I'm talking about the relentless vote share opinion polls. Look at the right hand column and try to find a red square with 10% written on it.

Find an opinion poll with Labour on 34%

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2024_United_Kingdom_genera
[Post edited 5 Jul 2024 12:14]


The last polls before the election had Labour on 37%, so 34% would be within the margin of error.
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Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 12:33 - Jul 5 with 859 viewsTrequartista

Every single opinion poll was hopelessly wrong then on 12:29 - Jul 5 by WD19

The last polls before the election had Labour on 37%, so 34% would be within the margin of error.


I think you're clutching at straws there. 2 out of 9 last day polls have them at 37, and one of those has the conservatives on 19, well outside the margin of error. The rest are all 38-41.

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