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....there will be a lot of questions to answer! Not least from me. Furthermore is there even the time to assess any increase in 'R' rates before the next round of restriction easing?
"They break our legs and tell us to be grateful when they offer us crutches."
Pronouns: He/Him/His.
"Imagine being a heterosexual white male in Britain at this moment. How bad is that. Everything you say is racist, everything you say is homophobic. The Woke community have really f****d this country."
If there isn't a second wave... on 21:22 - May 13 by pointofblue
Just about - the two week mark will be between 25th and 27th May with the next ease due on 1st June.
I was listening to R4 today while eating my lunch and the expert they were talking to suggested that R was more like a weather forecast than the actual weather. I fully expect the forecast to be for sunlit uplands!
"They break our legs and tell us to be grateful when they offer us crutches."
If there isn't a second wave... on 21:33 - May 13 by jeera
We're back to the suggestion it's not real again.
Except if you say that, Bankster will say he does think it's real, but it won't harm you.
Or him. Or something.
It is real but you can't catch it, and if you do catch it you'll be fine, unless you die.
Then it will hurt you.
Seriously Jeera.. how do you jump to that conclusion....my Mother had it for 3 weeks...I appreciate that Spruce had jumped to the same conclusion too but that just makes you both wrong. Furthermore, because of the work I do and helping clients with shopping and collecting prescriptions I am having to manage risk as best I can! All down to choices I suppose. I fully expect a second wave...if there is claimed not to be one I will definitely be asking how and why not.
Edit...add Badger to the list! Edit 2... You have also reminded me why when I did my BSc I was drawn towards Phenomenology which accepts that our judgement is clouded by our perceptions!
[Post edited 13 May 2020 21:58]
"They break our legs and tell us to be grateful when they offer us crutches."
If there isn't a second wave... on 21:53 - May 13 by BanksterDebtSlave
Seriously Jeera.. how do you jump to that conclusion....my Mother had it for 3 weeks...I appreciate that Spruce had jumped to the same conclusion too but that just makes you both wrong. Furthermore, because of the work I do and helping clients with shopping and collecting prescriptions I am having to manage risk as best I can! All down to choices I suppose. I fully expect a second wave...if there is claimed not to be one I will definitely be asking how and why not.
Edit...add Badger to the list! Edit 2... You have also reminded me why when I did my BSc I was drawn towards Phenomenology which accepts that our judgement is clouded by our perceptions!
[Post edited 13 May 2020 21:58]
Whut? I just asked you what your questions were!
Pronouns: He/Him/His.
"Imagine being a heterosexual white male in Britain at this moment. How bad is that. Everything you say is racist, everything you say is homophobic. The Woke community have really f****d this country."
If there isn't a second wave... on 21:53 - May 13 by BanksterDebtSlave
Seriously Jeera.. how do you jump to that conclusion....my Mother had it for 3 weeks...I appreciate that Spruce had jumped to the same conclusion too but that just makes you both wrong. Furthermore, because of the work I do and helping clients with shopping and collecting prescriptions I am having to manage risk as best I can! All down to choices I suppose. I fully expect a second wave...if there is claimed not to be one I will definitely be asking how and why not.
Edit...add Badger to the list! Edit 2... You have also reminded me why when I did my BSc I was drawn towards Phenomenology which accepts that our judgement is clouded by our perceptions!
If there isn't a second wave... on 21:53 - May 13 by BanksterDebtSlave
Seriously Jeera.. how do you jump to that conclusion....my Mother had it for 3 weeks...I appreciate that Spruce had jumped to the same conclusion too but that just makes you both wrong. Furthermore, because of the work I do and helping clients with shopping and collecting prescriptions I am having to manage risk as best I can! All down to choices I suppose. I fully expect a second wave...if there is claimed not to be one I will definitely be asking how and why not.
Edit...add Badger to the list! Edit 2... You have also reminded me why when I did my BSc I was drawn towards Phenomenology which accepts that our judgement is clouded by our perceptions!
Well at last....now we are getting there and I can feel my line of questioning evolving, we do after all have a special breed of governing politicians! Also why I mentioned the imprecise science behind R numbers and the forecasting of them.
[Post edited 13 May 2020 22:12]
"They break our legs and tell us to be grateful when they offer us crutches."
It takes 5 to 7 days for a severe infection to show enough for hospitalisation and thus testing. So any upturn will trail release of quarantine by about a week. Given we haven't really made significant changes to our lockdown - social distancing to be maintained (even at work), no gatherings - I'm not expecting anything dramatic at this stage.
If there isn't a second wave... on 22:10 - May 13 by BanksterDebtSlave
Well at last....now we are getting there and I can feel my line of questioning evolving, we do after all have a special breed of governing politicians! Also why I mentioned the imprecise science behind R numbers and the forecasting of them.
[Post edited 13 May 2020 22:12]
R is not that imprecise, neither is it a forecast, as such (I would assume he meant it is a representation of the overall environment, rather than saying this person is likely to be infected and this person not). It's just a function of how much the disease is spreading, a comparison of existing, known cases to new ones. An R of 1 means each host passes the disease on to one other person, thus the number of cases doubles. At 0.5 the rate of increase in infections is flat, below that, declining.
There will be unknown cases in the community, but a similar proportion of new cases will also never develop to the stage of hospitalisation and testing. So they pretty much cancel each other out.
If there isn't a second wave... on 08:47 - May 14 by Guthrum
R is not that imprecise, neither is it a forecast, as such (I would assume he meant it is a representation of the overall environment, rather than saying this person is likely to be infected and this person not). It's just a function of how much the disease is spreading, a comparison of existing, known cases to new ones. An R of 1 means each host passes the disease on to one other person, thus the number of cases doubles. At 0.5 the rate of increase in infections is flat, below that, declining.
There will be unknown cases in the community, but a similar proportion of new cases will also never develop to the stage of hospitalisation and testing. So they pretty much cancel each other out.
If there isn't a second wave... on 18:44 - May 14 by Pecker
So you would rather there was a second wave, killing thousands more, rather than the Government being wrong? Strange logic that.
Not what he actually said Pickles.
Pronouns: He/Him/His.
"Imagine being a heterosexual white male in Britain at this moment. How bad is that. Everything you say is racist, everything you say is homophobic. The Woke community have really f****d this country."
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