| Unexpectedly high turn-out 17:11 - Jul 4 with 2299 views | Raffles |
Reports from across the country, and directly from polling stations in East Anglia, suggest there is a much higher turn-out than expected. And the last opinion poll, published yesterday, reported a slight movement towards the Tories. It's possible the two are linked. |  | | |  |
| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 17:14 - Jul 4 with 2225 views | blueasfook |
I did think there'd be a high turn out for this one. Much like the 2020 US election saw a record turnout when people mobilised to get Trump out. I think we are seeing the same effect in this election. People mobilising to get the tories out. |  |
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| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 17:15 - Jul 4 with 2195 views | wkj |
Waveny Valley is going to be a big turnout as we've got a neck and neck race with the Greens and Tories. Traditionally, this area is a safe tory seat, so, it will be clamour of people trying to vote to oust/save the tories here.
I should imagine this will be the case in a number of other constituencies too. |  |
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| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 17:18 - Jul 4 with 2130 views | Pinewoodblue |
| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 17:15 - Jul 4 by wkj |
Waveny Valley is going to be a big turnout as we've got a neck and neck race with the Greens and Tories. Traditionally, this area is a safe tory seat, so, it will be clamour of people trying to vote to oust/save the tories here.
I should imagine this will be the case in a number of other constituencies too. |
If you are right the polls have got it wrong. |  |
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| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 17:19 - Jul 4 with 2111 views | PassionNotAnger |
What are the sources for the turnout figures as it highly unusual to have any detail like that on a regional level.
I think there are a few “suspicious” accounts on social media trying to create a perception to motivate the Tory base but nothing you’d note as credible
Also suspect that those spreading the information will have a blue persuasion! | | | |
| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 17:33 - Jul 4 with 1981 views | PassionNotAnger |
| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 17:19 - Jul 4 by PassionNotAnger |
What are the sources for the turnout figures as it highly unusual to have any detail like that on a regional level.
I think there are a few “suspicious” accounts on social media trying to create a perception to motivate the Tory base but nothing you’d note as credible
Also suspect that those spreading the information will have a blue persuasion! |
Just trawled a few sites that are quite active politically (mix of all persuasions) and anecdotally most people report various poll stations are quiet.
One observation I found interesting is that (and I have no idea if it’s true or not) traditionally daytime votes are Tory with more Labour voters turning out after work into the evening. Only an opinion and anecdotal rather than statistical or corroborated but that might hint at Tory base not bothering which could make it a bigger swing that even some of those shocking predictions | | | |
| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 18:06 - Jul 4 with 1769 views | PassionNotAnger |
So no sources at all then!? | | | |
| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 18:10 - Jul 4 with 1728 views | Chondzoresk |
| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 17:15 - Jul 4 by wkj |
Waveny Valley is going to be a big turnout as we've got a neck and neck race with the Greens and Tories. Traditionally, this area is a safe tory seat, so, it will be clamour of people trying to vote to oust/save the tories here.
I should imagine this will be the case in a number of other constituencies too. |
Yes, I got to my village polling station In Waveney Valley at 7am, only to find I was number 6 in the queue…..I was surprised. I went past Mellis at about 7.45 and that was equally busy. |  | | |
| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 18:36 - Jul 4 with 1570 views | vinceg |
| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 18:10 - Jul 4 by Chondzoresk |
Yes, I got to my village polling station In Waveney Valley at 7am, only to find I was number 6 in the queue…..I was surprised. I went past Mellis at about 7.45 and that was equally busy. |
My polling station is the Belstead Arms. I was the only person in there,....same most nights to be honest |  | | |
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| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 18:41 - Jul 4 with 1528 views | You_Bloo_Right |
| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 18:06 - Jul 4 by PassionNotAnger |
So no sources at all then!? |
This from the Guardian earlier seems to support your own previous assumption:
2h ago
16.20 BST
Ben Quinn
The Conservatives have been attempting to spur on support for the party by sending out emails saying turnout is much higher than expected.
“We’re getting reports from our teams on the ground. And the more reports we get, the more it looks like turnout is higher than expected,” according to messages sent out from the ‘CCHQ data team’ to those signed up on the party’s mailing list.
“That means we could have a MUCH better chance than polls have suggested. So if you haven’t voted yet, now’s the time to get out.”
The claim by the Tories that a higher turnout would benefit the party would be contested at this point.
Turnout was 67.3% at the last election in 2019, down from 68.8% during the previous one.
When Labour won in 1997, turnout was relatively high at 71.4%, although lower than the previous poll – 77.7% in 1992 – which was won by the Conservatives in what was a relative surprise to some. |  |
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| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 18:51 - Jul 4 with 1452 views | PassionNotAnger |
| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 18:41 - Jul 4 by You_Bloo_Right |
This from the Guardian earlier seems to support your own previous assumption:
2h ago
16.20 BST
Ben Quinn
The Conservatives have been attempting to spur on support for the party by sending out emails saying turnout is much higher than expected.
“We’re getting reports from our teams on the ground. And the more reports we get, the more it looks like turnout is higher than expected,” according to messages sent out from the ‘CCHQ data team’ to those signed up on the party’s mailing list.
“That means we could have a MUCH better chance than polls have suggested. So if you haven’t voted yet, now’s the time to get out.”
The claim by the Tories that a higher turnout would benefit the party would be contested at this point.
Turnout was 67.3% at the last election in 2019, down from 68.8% during the previous one.
When Labour won in 1997, turnout was relatively high at 71.4%, although lower than the previous poll – 77.7% in 1992 – which was won by the Conservatives in what was a relative surprise to some. |
So predictable, still it’s useful to flush out the useful idiots they have on their database that share the story quite happily!
I actually think it will be at the bottom end of their expectations, the braverman article and effective concession yesterday will disengage the core vote and make it less likely they will be bothered to vote | | | |
| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 18:55 - Jul 4 with 1408 views | Scuzzer |
Wrong board. Please move to General. |  |
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| Unexpectedly high turn-out on 19:11 - Jul 4 with 1285 views | Leaky |
Strangely enough I have found the opposite, people seem to be fed up with all parties and not voting guess we will know tomorrow |  | | |
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