| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% 00:12 - Jun 6 with 2700 views | Kievthegreat |
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| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 00:13 - Jun 6 with 2696 views | StokieBlue |
Do they attempt to break it into constituencies?
SB |  |
| Avatar - IC410 - Tadpoles Nebula |
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| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 00:20 - Jun 6 with 2678 views | HARRY10 |
| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 00:13 - Jun 6 by StokieBlue |
Do they attempt to break it into constituencies?
SB |
That's not the latest, it is days old
However at 50,000 voters it certainly is far more comprehensive |  | | |
| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 00:23 - Jun 6 with 2672 views | Kievthegreat |
| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 00:13 - Jun 6 by StokieBlue |
Do they attempt to break it into constituencies?
SB |
I don't believe so although I can't find much more details on it, even the number of respondents and the weighted/unweighted results. Although there is a greater split of results here.
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| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 00:24 - Jun 6 with 2662 views | Kievthegreat |
| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 00:20 - Jun 6 by HARRY10 |
That's not the latest, it is days old
However at 50,000 voters it certainly is far more comprehensive |
It's not days old, it's 24 mins old. Literally released at midnight. | | | |
| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 07:32 - Jun 6 with 2538 views | Kievthegreat |
Because I'm posting things I find interesting and not providing a free and impartial public service.
Although some companies are clearly going to end up with egg in their face. | | | |
| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 07:37 - Jun 6 with 2532 views | taximan |
| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 07:32 - Jun 6 by Kievthegreat |
Because I'm posting things I find interesting and not providing a free and impartial public service.
Although some companies are clearly going to end up with egg in their face. |
interesting ? | | | |
| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 07:45 - Jun 6 with 2522 views | Yaffle |
Ok, looking at all the polls rather than being selective there is, across the board, very considerable swing away from the Tory party over the last month. Thursday will be very interesting for sure. |  | | |
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| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 07:57 - Jun 6 with 2506 views | MJallday |
if you walked into portman road on a saturday afternoon, and asked the SBR stand who they supported, what do you think the result would be?
this poll is exactly the same without knowing what the base is
how do you know theyve not phoned everyone up in a strong labour, or conservative area. |  |
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| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 08:04 - Jun 6 with 2495 views | Kievthegreat |
| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 07:37 - Jun 6 by taximan |
interesting ? |
The lead has gone from around 20% to less than 10% on average. And a big issue is new young voters.
In 2015 the polling companies underestimated shy Tories and have looked to correct it, hence the ICM poll GB mentioned actually had more people say Labour than Tory. The unknown commodity is the million+ mostkt young people who registered in the last few weeks. Will older models of turnout still apply or are they more politically motivated and ergo more likely to vote? | | | |
| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 08:06 - Jun 6 with 2492 views | Kievthegreat |
| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 07:57 - Jun 6 by MJallday |
if you walked into portman road on a saturday afternoon, and asked the SBR stand who they supported, what do you think the result would be?
this poll is exactly the same without knowing what the base is
how do you know theyve not phoned everyone up in a strong labour, or conservative area. |
Because they are trying to sell a service. If a polling company keeps getting rubbish data through bad methodology, are you likely to trust them to run your consumer surveys? | | | |
| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 00:26 - Jun 7 with 2416 views | HARRY10 |
| Latest Phone Poll by Survation - Lead down to 1% on 07:57 - Jun 6 by MJallday |
if you walked into portman road on a saturday afternoon, and asked the SBR stand who they supported, what do you think the result would be?
this poll is exactly the same without knowing what the base is
how do you know theyve not phoned everyone up in a strong labour, or conservative area. |
No it is not so stop talking rubbish.
Where differences lie is the methodology being used.
Most are sticking with what they have used before with adjustments for level of support per age group that normally turns out.
One or two have readjusted their weighting based on the research that there will be a greater turn out of young voters than previously. Similarly the latest poll in Scotland is now showing greater support for Labour than the SNP among youngsters.
The great unknown is how many younger voters will turn out, how many folk will be voting tactically and how mant ex pats will vote that were unable to in the referendum.
The unknown here is how much further will the Tories fall and how far will Labour rise. Assuming that is everything remains as it is over the next couple of days. | | | |
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