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R rate in Germany now 1.79 21:01 - Jun 20 with 885 viewsblueprint

Breakout in an abattoir apparently. Just shows how quickly things can change.
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R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:09 - Jun 20 with 842 viewsSwansea_Blue

Oops. Shame if that’s the case as it shows what we can expect here now we’re starting to lift restrictions.

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R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:11 - Jun 20 with 823 viewseastangliaisblue

R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:09 - Jun 20 by Swansea_Blue

Oops. Shame if that’s the case as it shows what we can expect here now we’re starting to lift restrictions.


Germany as a whole, or one state/area?
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R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:14 - Jun 20 with 813 viewsblueprint

R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:11 - Jun 20 by eastangliaisblue

Germany as a whole, or one state/area?


As a whole I believe. 1000 workers were tested and 667 came up positive.
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R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:17 - Jun 20 with 800 viewseastangliaisblue

R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:14 - Jun 20 by blueprint

As a whole I believe. 1000 workers were tested and 667 came up positive.


Without sounding like i'm trying to start an argument, surely an outbreak in one place of work doesn't raise the rate across the whole country?
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R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:19 - Jun 20 with 797 viewsjeera

"A public health institute confirmed the rate was now far above what is needed to contain the outbreak over the longer term."

Not now, but then too. Hence it hasn't gone far.

"More than 1,000 workers were tested and a total of 657 people tested positive for coronavirus, DW News reported."

That's horrendous.

Well it looks like a duck, it sounds like a duck. Nope, dunno what it is.
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R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:26 - Jun 20 with 746 viewsblueprint

R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:17 - Jun 20 by eastangliaisblue

Without sounding like i'm trying to start an argument, surely an outbreak in one place of work doesn't raise the rate across the whole country?


Just reporting what I’ve read.
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R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:40 - Jun 20 with 699 viewsElderGrizzly

R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:09 - Jun 20 by Swansea_Blue

Oops. Shame if that’s the case as it shows what we can expect here now we’re starting to lift restrictions.


Florida has just seen the biggest number of Covid cases so far. Over 4,000 a day, doubling in 7 days.

Almost like those sucking up to Trump are putting millions at risk
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R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:49 - Jun 20 with 675 viewsbluelagos

R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 21:40 - Jun 20 by ElderGrizzly

Florida has just seen the biggest number of Covid cases so far. Over 4,000 a day, doubling in 7 days.

Almost like those sucking up to Trump are putting millions at risk


Florida has a very elderly population too. That is not going to end well.

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R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 08:47 - Jun 21 with 465 viewsgordon

The R value isn't that useful when there is really low prevalence of the disease - in this instance this one outbreak has driven this increase in the rate for the whole country. It will also mean that after this outbreak is contained, the R value will go down to a very low level.

It's misleading because in the rest of Germany nothing has actually changed in terms of your risk of catching the virus from last week, to this week, to next week, but the R rate has fluctuated widely.
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R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 08:52 - Jun 21 with 449 viewsHerbivore

R rate in Germany now 1.79 on 08:47 - Jun 21 by gordon

The R value isn't that useful when there is really low prevalence of the disease - in this instance this one outbreak has driven this increase in the rate for the whole country. It will also mean that after this outbreak is contained, the R value will go down to a very low level.

It's misleading because in the rest of Germany nothing has actually changed in terms of your risk of catching the virus from last week, to this week, to next week, but the R rate has fluctuated widely.


Indeed. Localised spikes can skew the figures massively, however if such spikes are identified quickly and measures are put in to contain them then there's no reason why those spikes should lead to wider increases in infection rates. This is what things will look like until a vaccine is found, ongoing measures to try to reduce general spread through hygiene and social distancing and quick, effective responses to contain localised outbreaks. I'm not sure we have the savvy to make it work though.

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