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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. 17:42 - Apr 25 with 519419 viewsEireannach_gorm

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/25/evidence-ukraine-women-raped-befor





https://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-turned-a-bucha-building-into-an-execution-si
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 08:57 - Jul 10 with 3750 viewsDJR

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 22:12 - Jul 9 by WeWereZombies

Ahem flawed democracy:

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/3/21/modis-india-plans-its-own-democracy-ind


Interestingly, the United States is also a flawed democracy in the Economist's Democracy Index.
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 11:04 - Jul 10 with 3665 viewsSuperKieranMcKenna

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 08:57 - Jul 10 by DJR

Interestingly, the United States is also a flawed democracy in the Economist's Democracy Index.


As are over half of the EU’s 27 countries, including several in Western Europe, whom a majority of posters wanted to be in a political union with.
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 13:04 - Jul 10 with 3630 viewsEireannach_gorm

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 11:04 - Jul 10 by SuperKieranMcKenna

As are over half of the EU’s 27 countries, including several in Western Europe, whom a majority of posters wanted to be in a political union with.


Difficulty with the EU is that the individual sovereign states have quite different ratings.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/democracy-index-eiu?tab=chart&country=IRL
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 13:51 - Jul 10 with 3602 viewsSuperKieranMcKenna

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 13:04 - Jul 10 by Eireannach_gorm

Difficulty with the EU is that the individual sovereign states have quite different ratings.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/democracy-index-eiu?tab=chart&country=IRL


Indeed but even Belgium as Western European peer, and at the heart of the EU is rated as a ‘flawed democracy. It’s not a metric I see used when assessing political risk, because it’s such a blunt rating - for instance India would have a far greater risk than Belgium or the US, and Israel despite ranking higher than Portugal would be considered a more risky jurisdiction.

14 out of the 27 EU states are considered flawed, so if we are eager to be in a political union with them, we can’t then really use it as a stick to beat others in my opinion.

As for India, interestingly they were big buyers of Russian arms pre-Ukraine but have subsequently cancelled some and reduced orders on other contracts. It was speculated that the poor performance of Russia and its equipment in Ukraine may have been the driver.
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 13:56 - Jul 10 with 3594 viewsDJR

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 11:04 - Jul 10 by SuperKieranMcKenna

As are over half of the EU’s 27 countries, including several in Western Europe, whom a majority of posters wanted to be in a political union with.


That's certainly true. As it is, I always preferred the political aspects of the EU to the economic, but the EU is no longer the beacon (to use an oft misused word) that it was even at the time of Brexit.
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 15:13 - Jul 10 with 3554 viewsEireannach_gorm

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 13:51 - Jul 10 by SuperKieranMcKenna

Indeed but even Belgium as Western European peer, and at the heart of the EU is rated as a ‘flawed democracy. It’s not a metric I see used when assessing political risk, because it’s such a blunt rating - for instance India would have a far greater risk than Belgium or the US, and Israel despite ranking higher than Portugal would be considered a more risky jurisdiction.

14 out of the 27 EU states are considered flawed, so if we are eager to be in a political union with them, we can’t then really use it as a stick to beat others in my opinion.

As for India, interestingly they were big buyers of Russian arms pre-Ukraine but have subsequently cancelled some and reduced orders on other contracts. It was speculated that the poor performance of Russia and its equipment in Ukraine may have been the driver.


Regarding the reticence to deal with flawed democracies, I would just like to show the list of countries that the UK does have trade deals with. Switzerland seems to stand out considerably from the rest.

https://www.gov.uk/guidance/uk-trade-agreements-in-effect

Plus.......

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-launches-ambitious-trade-deal-with-gulf-na
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 15:32 - Jul 10 with 3541 viewsSuperKieranMcKenna

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 15:13 - Jul 10 by Eireannach_gorm

Regarding the reticence to deal with flawed democracies, I would just like to show the list of countries that the UK does have trade deals with. Switzerland seems to stand out considerably from the rest.

https://www.gov.uk/guidance/uk-trade-agreements-in-effect

Plus.......

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-launches-ambitious-trade-deal-with-gulf-na


Yes that’s very much through a lens of the state. For financing and facilitation of trade from a commercial perspective, political risk is given a lot more credence. The private sector is the one assuming all the risk, not the government. And the point was not that there is a reluctance to deal with ‘flawed’ democracies, rather that they are not all equal when determining political risk so it’s not a particularly useful measure by itself.
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 15:54 - Jul 10 with 3536 viewsEireannach_gorm

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 13:56 - Jul 10 by DJR

That's certainly true. As it is, I always preferred the political aspects of the EU to the economic, but the EU is no longer the beacon (to use an oft misused word) that it was even at the time of Brexit.


Not seeing much change in the graph for the EU.
The deal with the sheik's however doesn't pull up too many trees in the democracy department.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/democracy-index-eiu?tab=chart&country=OWI
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 17:34 - Jul 10 with 3497 viewsEireannach_gorm

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 15:32 - Jul 10 by SuperKieranMcKenna

Yes that’s very much through a lens of the state. For financing and facilitation of trade from a commercial perspective, political risk is given a lot more credence. The private sector is the one assuming all the risk, not the government. And the point was not that there is a reluctance to deal with ‘flawed’ democracies, rather that they are not all equal when determining political risk so it’s not a particularly useful measure by itself.


My point is that all democracies are flawed ( no 10's ) but some are very flawed, verging on the undemocratic. It is a bit disingenuous to lump in the US and Europe with the likes of Russia for instance. What would be a better gauge of what country to trade with? I assume the private sector is only interested in return.
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. (n/t) on 17:37 - Jul 10 with 3493 viewsEireannach_gorm

I see the ( paid ) trolls are out regarding the Children's hospital bombing.
Apparently Ukraine is bombing itself again.

American Russian propagandists.




Irish Russian propagandist.


Response they deserve.
[Post edited 10 Jul 2024 18:05]
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 18:01 - Jul 10 with 3468 viewsSuperKieranMcKenna

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 17:34 - Jul 10 by Eireannach_gorm

My point is that all democracies are flawed ( no 10's ) but some are very flawed, verging on the undemocratic. It is a bit disingenuous to lump in the US and Europe with the likes of Russia for instance. What would be a better gauge of what country to trade with? I assume the private sector is only interested in return.


I think you may be barking up the wrong tree here, since you appear to be making the same argument I did. Which is why this isn’t a useful metric, since not all ‘flawed democracy’s are equal’. There was an inference that the US was flawed in the same way as India. I was making the case that whilst they have the same index category they do not present the same level of political or financial risk.
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 22:06 - Jul 10 with 3398 viewsDJR

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 15:54 - Jul 10 by Eireannach_gorm

Not seeing much change in the graph for the EU.
The deal with the sheik's however doesn't pull up too many trees in the democracy department.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/democracy-index-eiu?tab=chart&country=OWI


Sorry, I was using the term "flawed democracy" in a sense that its meaning may not strictly have or take into account, namely, an increase in populism etc which seems to me to be happening in the US, India and certain countries in the EU.

The UK has also experienced this, and the sentiment appears to be re-emerging despite Brexit.
[Post edited 10 Jul 2024 22:26]
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 22:08 - Jul 10 with 3388 viewsDJR

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 18:01 - Jul 10 by SuperKieranMcKenna

I think you may be barking up the wrong tree here, since you appear to be making the same argument I did. Which is why this isn’t a useful metric, since not all ‘flawed democracy’s are equal’. There was an inference that the US was flawed in the same way as India. I was making the case that whilst they have the same index category they do not present the same level of political or financial risk.


With Trump waiting in the wings, your last sentence is perhaps a bold one, at least on the political front.
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 08:57 - Jul 12 with 3224 viewsSuperKieranMcKenna

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 22:08 - Jul 10 by DJR

With Trump waiting in the wings, your last sentence is perhaps a bold one, at least on the political front.


As well as trade barriers, I fear Trump would interfere with the judicial system which are currently largely free of political influence unlike many jurisdictions. There’s a Trump Risk index report published by the Economist Intelligence Report you might find interesting to read (I won’t share on here to avoid any problems for Phil).

Sadly a Trump presidency is looking more likely by the day - Biden with another cringe inducing moment at NATO summit:-

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/politics/2024/07/12/joe-biden-gaffe-putin-zelensk
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 09:11 - Jul 12 with 3211 viewsSuperKieranMcKenna

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2024/07/05/how-many-russian-soldiers-ha

The scale of (estimated) Russian casualties is staggering. It’s WW1-like attrition, currently up to 2,000 casualties a week to ‘win’ tiny areas of territory. The lowest estimate is over 100,000 Russian soldiers dead, around 500,000 casualties in total.

All for Putin’s ego - Madness.
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 10:42 - Jul 12 with 3166 viewsKievthegreat

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 09:11 - Jul 12 by SuperKieranMcKenna

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2024/07/05/how-many-russian-soldiers-ha

The scale of (estimated) Russian casualties is staggering. It’s WW1-like attrition, currently up to 2,000 casualties a week to ‘win’ tiny areas of territory. The lowest estimate is over 100,000 Russian soldiers dead, around 500,000 casualties in total.

All for Putin’s ego - Madness.


For comparison that's more deaths than the USA in all conflicts since WW2 and America was pretty busy in that timeframe!
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 13:10 - Jul 20 with 2913 viewsWeWereZombies

I'm not sure if the threat of missile attack would put me off going to a festival or more determined to join in the spirit of 'can't stop the music':

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c4ng4pj43ndo

'Atlas has just been pushed back a week after a series of deadly missile attacks, including one that hit a children's hospital...Since it began in 2015 Atlas, held in Ukrainian capital Kyiv, has hosted huge names such as Kasabian, The Chemical Brothers and Liam Gallagher...Atlas is expecting about 25,000 fans, crew and artists to be on site...a potential air attack is a huge concern. Vlad says the solution has been the brand new venue - two stages erected in the car park of a Kyiv shopping centre...It gives us a shelter which can fit more than 100,000 people...more than enough space to get everyone evacuated quickly -- and we're talking minutes...it can be challenging to convince people - who are so used to hearing air-raid sirens - to head for a shelter when the alarm is raised...there's a plan for that too - take the festival underground.'

Poll: What was in Wes Burns' imaginary cup of tea ?

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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 14:39 - Jul 24 with 2704 viewsbluejacko

Here’s a little indicator things are not going well at the ‘front’
https://defence-blog.com/russian-military-faces-potential-smartphone-ban/
Why would you want to stop the ‘good’ news from your soldiers🤔
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 02:08 - Aug 22 with 2355 viewsWeWereZombies

I wonder how much time was wasted and how much sooner the fire would have been tackled without this nonsense ?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c9qgyenzwzyo

'The [priests] spoke with the firefighters and blessed all the fire equipment," the local Volgodonsk eparchy - the Russian Orthodox Church equivalent of a diocese - told Reuters news agency...air defences shot down the Ukrainian drone on 18 August, but its debris caused diesel fuel to ignite on the territory of the facility.'

Poll: What was in Wes Burns' imaginary cup of tea ?

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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 19:12 - Aug 22 with 2162 viewsEireannach_gorm

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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 10:39 - Aug 30 with 1965 viewsEireannach_gorm

This is what happens when you restrict long range missiles. Give with one hand and take with the other.

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukrainian-f-16-jet-destroyed-crash-monday-w

Not sure what the logic is now that Ukrainians are on Russian territory.

Also Ukraine would not need so much air defence if they could proactively attack Russian airfields with missiles. Drones really don't do the business.

https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-strikes-russian-airfields-with-homemade-weap
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 01:01 - Sep 11 with 1762 viewsKropotkin123

RIP David Knowles, Creator of Ukraine the Latest.

Submit your 1-24 league prediction here -https://www.twtd.co.uk/forum/514096/page:1 - for the opportunity to get a free Ipswich top.
Poll: Would you rather
Blog: Round Four: Eagle

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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 14:13 - Sep 18 with 1517 viewsKievthegreat

Ukrainian Drone operations continue to get more sophisticated:

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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 16:25 - Sep 18 with 1454 viewsDJR

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 14:13 - Sep 18 by Kievthegreat

Ukrainian Drone operations continue to get more sophisticated:



Before the summer my son did an essay at university on the use by both sides of drones in the war.

It looks like the technology and effectiveness have moved on from the contemporary articles on the issue that he used at the time to write the essay.
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The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 16:31 - Sep 18 with 1438 viewsKievthegreat

The 'special military operation' continues to reach new lows. on 16:25 - Sep 18 by DJR

Before the summer my son did an essay at university on the use by both sides of drones in the war.

It looks like the technology and effectiveness have moved on from the contemporary articles on the issue that he used at the time to write the essay.


I remember studying drones at Uni back around 2010 (Aerospace Engineering). At that point very crude and simple. Just glorified remote control planes using modified lawnmower engines.

In some ways there are 2 drone development paths going on. The first is these highly sophisticated stuff which is making in effect jet powered miniature cruise missiles or very nimble and capable recon drones with anti-electronic warfare capability built in.

The other path is still following the 2010 route. Making missiles out of stuff you'd buy at B&Q and lawnmower engines to make drones designed to attack en masse and overwhelm defences.

Playing both sides in the cost Vs capability paradigm!
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