| Statistical comparison with last season 15:08 - Aug 6 with 41052 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
If we take each match as a comparison replacing the promoted and relegated teams with those directly replacing them ...
After 1 match we are +1 point, +3 GD and -1 GF.
Today's match Forest Green replace Gillingham who we beat 0-4 away so we that is our "par" score.
Of course, we won't improve/match every result all season but overall we need to be up something like 20 points by the end of the season.
I will try to keep tabs on this after each match. |  |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 06:27 - Feb 5 with 4325 views | BlueBoots |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:05 - Feb 4 by Nthsuffolkblue |
29 down
+18 points. GD +20. GF +16.
Par score for Saturday 1-1. Desperately need to win that one and cut the gap to 3 points. |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
29 matches: 87 Points, 86 Goals
Might turn out to be an important point come the end of the season, but the Sheff Wed game is looking like a must win now to have any chance of the automatics, particularly with the run that Derby have put together.
COYB |  |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 08:04 - Feb 5 with 4224 views | Chrisd |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 06:27 - Feb 5 by BlueBoots |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
29 matches: 87 Points, 86 Goals
Might turn out to be an important point come the end of the season, but the Sheff Wed game is looking like a must win now to have any chance of the automatics, particularly with the run that Derby have put together.
COYB |
Stats are all well and good, but when you live in the moment and look at our current form that tells you all you need to know. Wednesday - like Derby - are in the ascendency, us at the moment are struggling to show any level of consistency and seem incapable of winning two consecutive games. Based on the last 10 matches, we sit 9th in the form table and haven’t won any away games during that period. Comparisons to last season are fine, but we can all see we are nowhere near the team we were in November. Play Offs look the most likely outcome for us, the battle for the automatic places will be between: Wednesday, Plymouth and Derby in my opinion. [Post edited 5 Feb 2023 8:35]
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:41 - Feb 11 with 4086 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:05 - Feb 4 by Nthsuffolkblue |
29 down
+18 points. GD +20. GF +16.
Par score for Saturday 1-1. Desperately need to win that one and cut the gap to 3 points. |
Another par when we need a birdie.
30 played.
+18 points. GD +20. GF +17.
Par score for Valentines Day 2-0 win.
If we get a par from here to the end of the season, we would have 88 points, +41 GD. Last season that would have put us 4th. We need to improve on par over the last 16. COYB! | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 14:48 - Feb 12 with 3959 views | BlueBoots |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
30 matches: 86 Points, 86 Goals
Bit of work to do now to get to 100/100...after 15 matches, projected totals were 101 Points and 86 Goals, which I suppose highlights the end of the pitch where our problems lie...
About two thirds of the season gone, so a few stats, and comparisons between the first and second thirds, and with last season...
1) Scoring 1.87 GPG compared with 1.46 GPG last season. (1st Third 1.87 / 2nd Third 1.87)
2) Conceding 1.03 GPG compared with 1.00 GPG last season. (1st Third 0.80 / 2nd Third 1.27)
3) 1.87 PPG compared with 1.52 PPG last season. (1st Third 2.2 / 2nd Third 1.53)
4) Effectively about 10 points "in hand" on our points total for last season (70 points from 46 games = 46 from 30...currently 56 from 30)
So to summarise, although we had a very good start to the season (and we've continued to score goals at a consistent rate all season), in the second half of the season so far, we've only picked up points at the rate we did last season (just over 1.5 points per game), and our defence is actually worse, conceding 5 goals for every 4 goals we would have conceded last season.
Really hope we can turn this around, and still make a challenge for the automatics, but these numbers show it's a bit more than a "blip" or loss of form. Key priority seems to be a bit of back to basics tightening up the defence, as we're scoring consistently and have improved on last season in that area.
COYB | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 15:08 - Feb 12 with 3903 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 14:48 - Feb 12 by BlueBoots |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
30 matches: 86 Points, 86 Goals
Bit of work to do now to get to 100/100...after 15 matches, projected totals were 101 Points and 86 Goals, which I suppose highlights the end of the pitch where our problems lie...
About two thirds of the season gone, so a few stats, and comparisons between the first and second thirds, and with last season...
1) Scoring 1.87 GPG compared with 1.46 GPG last season. (1st Third 1.87 / 2nd Third 1.87)
2) Conceding 1.03 GPG compared with 1.00 GPG last season. (1st Third 0.80 / 2nd Third 1.27)
3) 1.87 PPG compared with 1.52 PPG last season. (1st Third 2.2 / 2nd Third 1.53)
4) Effectively about 10 points "in hand" on our points total for last season (70 points from 46 games = 46 from 30...currently 56 from 30)
So to summarise, although we had a very good start to the season (and we've continued to score goals at a consistent rate all season), in the second half of the season so far, we've only picked up points at the rate we did last season (just over 1.5 points per game), and our defence is actually worse, conceding 5 goals for every 4 goals we would have conceded last season.
Really hope we can turn this around, and still make a challenge for the automatics, but these numbers show it's a bit more than a "blip" or loss of form. Key priority seems to be a bit of back to basics tightening up the defence, as we're scoring consistently and have improved on last season in that area.
COYB |
I think a couple of other factors to consider include: we played a lot of lower teams in that early part of this season; we have just played most of the top sides in the second third. We have 5 matches against top 10 sides (none of them the top 3) and the other 11 are against lower sides. We have also had a bit of an illness and injury run.
We need to return to our early season form but there are some reasons why it might be possible for us to do so. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 14:27 - Feb 15 with 3693 views | BlueBoots |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
31 matches: 85 Points, 83 Goals
COYB | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:19 - Feb 15 with 3599 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:41 - Feb 11 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Another par when we need a birdie.
30 played.
+18 points. GD +20. GF +17.
Par score for Valentines Day 2-0 win.
If we get a par from here to the end of the season, we would have 88 points, +41 GD. Last season that would have put us 4th. We need to improve on par over the last 16. COYB! |
Wasn't that disappointing! Sorry for being knocked off my stride in terms of updating this. It feels much less positive now as the numbers begin to drop.
31 gone.
+16 points, GD +18, GF +15.
Par score for Saturday 1-0 win.
We are still significantly ahead of what we did last season but it is starting to become a scramble to find the positives. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:12 - Feb 18 with 3389 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:19 - Feb 15 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Wasn't that disappointing! Sorry for being knocked off my stride in terms of updating this. It feels much less positive now as the numbers begin to drop.
31 gone.
+16 points, GD +18, GF +15.
Par score for Saturday 1-0 win.
We are still significantly ahead of what we did last season but it is starting to become a scramble to find the positives. |
32 down.
+16 pts, GD +21, GF +18.
Par score for MK Dons 25th 0-0. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 07:03 - Feb 19 with 3265 views | BlueBoots |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:12 - Feb 18 by Nthsuffolkblue |
32 down.
+16 pts, GD +21, GF +18.
Par score for MK Dons 25th 0-0. |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
32 matches: 86 Points, 86 Goals
100 Points, 100 Goals? 14 games left, so just the 13 Wins and 1 Draw (and 3 goals per game) required! 
COYB | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 07:13 - Feb 19 with 3254 views | PioneerBlue |
Keep it up. Significant progress this season over last. It may still prove to be short of the automatics but important that playoffs is considered a viable route to achieve the same season goals of promotion. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 16:59 - Feb 25 with 3016 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:12 - Feb 18 by Nthsuffolkblue |
32 down.
+16 pts, GD +21, GF +18.
Par score for MK Dons 25th 0-0. |
Excellent! A birdie!
33 played.
+18 pts, GD +22, GF +19.
Par score for Burton next Saturday 3-0 win. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 08:16 - Feb 26 with 2863 views | PioneerBlue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 16:59 - Feb 25 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Excellent! A birdie!
33 played.
+18 pts, GD +22, GF +19.
Par score for Burton next Saturday 3-0 win. |
Love this. However the season goes it’s interesting to see how this plays out on paper. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:04 - Feb 26 with 2733 views | BlueBoots |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 16:59 - Feb 25 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Excellent! A birdie!
33 played.
+18 pts, GD +22, GF +19.
Par score for Burton next Saturday 3-0 win. |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
33 matches: 88 Points, 85 Goals
Ticked the first one off...13 games left, so just 12 Wins and 1 Draw (and 3 goals per game) needed for 100 Points, 100 Goals
COYB | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:34 - Feb 26 with 2705 views | JohnTy |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:04 - Feb 26 by BlueBoots |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
33 matches: 88 Points, 85 Goals
Ticked the first one off...13 games left, so just 12 Wins and 1 Draw (and 3 goals per game) needed for 100 Points, 100 Goals
COYB |
McKenna's PPG in League 1 is 1.85.
Based on that 87 points ate end of season. |  | | |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 20:01 - Mar 4 with 2418 views | BlueBoots |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
34 matches: 89 Points, 88 Goals
...and ticked another one off in the quest for 100 Points, 100 Goals...12 games left, so just the 11 Wins and 1 Draw needed now (and 3 goals per game)
COYB | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 20:11 - Mar 4 with 2363 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 16:59 - Feb 25 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Excellent! A birdie!
33 played.
+18 pts, GD +22, GF +19.
Par score for Burton next Saturday 3-0 win. |
34 gone.
+18 pts, GD +23, GF +20.
Par score for Accrington, 2-1 win. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 06:51 - Mar 8 with 2096 views | BlueBoots |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
35 matches: 91 Points, 89 Goals
...still in the hunt for 100 Points, 100 Goals...11 games left, so 10 Wins and 1 Draw needed now (and 3 goals per game) A win on Saturday would have us on exactly 2 PPG for the season 
COYB | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:36 - Mar 8 with 1926 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 20:11 - Mar 4 by Nthsuffolkblue |
34 gone.
+18 pts, GD +23, GF +20.
Par score for Accrington, 2-1 win. |
Oops, forgot to update this last night!
35 played.
+18 pts, GD +25, GF +21.
Par score for Bolton (A) 2-0 defeat.
COYB! | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:06 - Mar 11 with 1751 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:36 - Mar 8 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Oops, forgot to update this last night!
35 played.
+18 pts, GD +25, GF +21.
Par score for Bolton (A) 2-0 defeat.
COYB! |
Superb Eagle there (or should it be an albatross?)! It really feels like it too with Plymouth losing. COYB!
36 down.
+21 pts, GD +29, GF +23.
That was a big win. Walton's penalty save a big turning point.
Par score for Shrewsbury 2-1 win. They are 8th and won comfortably today. Need to be on top of our game again for that one. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 18:26 - Mar 11 with 1640 views | BlueBoots |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:06 - Mar 11 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Superb Eagle there (or should it be an albatross?)! It really feels like it too with Plymouth losing. COYB!
36 down.
+21 pts, GD +29, GF +23.
That was a big win. Walton's penalty save a big turning point.
Par score for Shrewsbury 2-1 win. They are 8th and won comfortably today. Need to be on top of our game again for that one. |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
36 matches: 92 Points, 89 Goals
I started the 100 Points, 100 Goals countdown clock (jokingly) after the FGR game...since then we've gone from needing to W14 D1 L0, to 10 games remaining, so 9 Wins and 1 Draw needed now (and 3 goals per game) We're up to exactly 2 PPG for the season - they always say win your home games and draw your away games (which equates to that) to succeed, so frustrating that there are a couple of teams currently doing better than that.
COYB | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:10 - Mar 18 with 1357 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:06 - Mar 11 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Superb Eagle there (or should it be an albatross?)! It really feels like it too with Plymouth losing. COYB!
36 down.
+21 pts, GD +29, GF +23.
That was a big win. Walton's penalty save a big turning point.
Par score for Shrewsbury 2-1 win. They are 8th and won comfortably today. Need to be on top of our game again for that one. |
Another great result. Putting the pressure on Plymouth.
37 played.
+21 pts, GD +30, GF +23.
Par score for Derby on April Fools' Day 1-0 defeat as they replace Rotherham. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 18:50 - Mar 18 with 1207 views | BlueBoots |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:10 - Mar 18 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Another great result. Putting the pressure on Plymouth.
37 played.
+21 pts, GD +30, GF +23.
Par score for Derby on April Fools' Day 1-0 defeat as they replace Rotherham. |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
37 matches: 93 Points, 90 Goals
93 Points has been enough for automatic promotion from League One in 18 of the last 20 seasons...10 seasons as Champions, and 8 seasons as Runners-Up. 2 seasons (13/14 season Wolves & Brentford, 17/18 season Wigan & Blackburn) where the top 2 teams ended on more than 93 points.
COYB | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 18:57 - Mar 18 with 1192 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 18:50 - Mar 18 by BlueBoots |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
37 matches: 93 Points, 90 Goals
93 Points has been enough for automatic promotion from League One in 18 of the last 20 seasons...10 seasons as Champions, and 8 seasons as Runners-Up. 2 seasons (13/14 season Wolves & Brentford, 17/18 season Wigan & Blackburn) where the top 2 teams ended on more than 93 points.
COYB |
Whilst 2nd place got 93+ in those two seasons, 87 and 88 points would have been enough for them to finish ahead of 3rd place.
It would be a truly extraordinary season if a team obtained 93 points and were not automatically promoted. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:31 - Apr 1 with 961 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:10 - Mar 18 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Another great result. Putting the pressure on Plymouth.
37 played.
+21 pts, GD +30, GF +23.
Par score for Derby on April Fools' Day 1-0 defeat as they replace Rotherham. |
38 played.
+24 pts, GD +33, GF +25.
Par score for Wycombe on Good Friday 1-0 win. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:40 - Apr 1 with 911 views | Ryorry |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:31 - Apr 1 by Nthsuffolkblue |
38 played.
+24 pts, GD +33, GF +25.
Par score for Wycombe on Good Friday 1-0 win. |
The difference in GD & GF is almost shocking in its amazingness - just shows what we were missing & why we're all buzzing now :) |  |
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