| Statistical comparison with last season 15:08 - Aug 6 with 41333 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
If we take each match as a comparison replacing the promoted and relegated teams with those directly replacing them ...
After 1 match we are +1 point, +3 GD and -1 GF.
Today's match Forest Green replace Gillingham who we beat 0-4 away so we that is our "par" score.
Of course, we won't improve/match every result all season but overall we need to be up something like 20 points by the end of the season.
I will try to keep tabs on this after each match. |  |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 19:22 - Apr 1 with 4083 views | BlueBoots |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:31 - Apr 1 by Nthsuffolkblue |
38 played.
+24 pts, GD +33, GF +25.
Par score for Wycombe on Good Friday 1-0 win. |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
38 matches: 94 Points, 90 Goals
...reinstating the 100 Points, 100 Goals countdown clock...8 games left, so 7 Wins and 1 Draw needed now for 100 points (but will need to dish out a few tonkings as up to 3.25 goals per game needed for 100 goals)
COYB |  |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 20:35 - Apr 1 with 3967 views | norfsufblue |
Was that an Albatross today? |  | | |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 20:44 - Apr 1 with 3950 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 20:35 - Apr 1 by norfsufblue |
Was that an Albatross today? |
I reckon so. Certainly felt like one too. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:14 - Apr 7 with 3733 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:31 - Apr 1 by Nthsuffolkblue |
38 played.
+24 pts, GD +33, GF +25.
Par score for Wycombe on Good Friday 1-0 win. |
Exceeded that one too.
39 gone.
+24 pts, GD +36, GF +28.
Par score for Monday 2-1 defeat. One we could do with bettering. Keep another clean sheet will serve us well. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 18:36 - Apr 7 with 3618 views | Dilithium85 |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:14 - Apr 7 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Exceeded that one too.
39 gone.
+24 pts, GD +36, GF +28.
Par score for Monday 2-1 defeat. One we could do with bettering. Keep another clean sheet will serve us well. |
This is my favourite thread on the forum. I wait impatiently after each match for an update. Especially recently |  | | |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 19:52 - Apr 7 with 3535 views | BlueBoots |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:14 - Apr 7 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Exceeded that one too.
39 gone.
+24 pts, GD +36, GF +28.
Par score for Monday 2-1 defeat. One we could do with bettering. Keep another clean sheet will serve us well. |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
39 matches: 96 Points, 92 Goals
...the 100 Points, 100 Goals countdown clock continues...7 games left, so 6 Wins and 1 Draw needed now for 100 points (3.14 goals per game needed for 100 goals, so pretty much a birdie today)
Officially 866 minutes without conceding a goal, but (to emphasise the achievement) 957 minutes on the pitch without conceding if you include injury time, which adds up to a whole extra match...
COYB | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 03:02 - Apr 8 with 3387 views | PioneerBlue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:14 - Apr 7 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Exceeded that one too.
39 gone.
+24 pts, GD +36, GF +28.
Par score for Monday 2-1 defeat. One we could do with bettering. Keep another clean sheet will serve us well. |
Love this keep going.
In your first post you used +- for the goals against. Am I correct to infer that we are actually -28 goals compared to the same set of games last year rather than +28? Ie we’ve conceded 28 less by comparison.
It really is some going to build performance in the way we have so far.
O.G.A.A.T | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:05 - Apr 10 with 3027 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 03:02 - Apr 8 by PioneerBlue |
Love this keep going.
In your first post you used +- for the goals against. Am I correct to infer that we are actually -28 goals compared to the same set of games last year rather than +28? Ie we’ve conceded 28 less by comparison.
It really is some going to build performance in the way we have so far.
O.G.A.A.T |
We have scored 28 more than we did in the equivalent fixtures (unless I have made a mistake somewhere). We have 36 better goal difference which means we have conceded 8 fewer (again unless I have made a mistake somewhere). | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:07 - Apr 10 with 3019 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:14 - Apr 7 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Exceeded that one too.
39 gone.
+24 pts, GD +36, GF +28.
Par score for Monday 2-1 defeat. One we could do with bettering. Keep another clean sheet will serve us well. |
As disappointing as the equaliser feels, a point there is a birdie.
40 played.
+25 points, GD +37, GF +28.
Par score for Saturday 4-0. Could do with a par from that. Or even just a 1-0 win! | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 08:20 - Apr 11 with 2946 views | BlueBoots |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:07 - Apr 10 by Nthsuffolkblue |
As disappointing as the equaliser feels, a point there is a birdie.
40 played.
+25 points, GD +37, GF +28.
Par score for Saturday 4-0. Could do with a par from that. Or even just a 1-0 win! |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
40 matches: 94 Points, 91 Goals
100 Points 100 Goals still just about on...win our remaining 6 games and score 21 goals in them; we've managed 4 against Charlton in our last 2 games against them, so hopefully make a start on Saturday.
30 matches: 86 Points, 86 Goals
Above were the projected totals when I did a breakdown of a few stats at the 30 match point (comparing the first and second thirds of the season), and a comparison with last season, so can see at a glance the improvement from the last 10 matches...
1) Scoring 1.98 GPG compared with 1.46 GPG last season. (30 Matches 1.87 - 1st 15 Matches 1.87 / 2nd 15 Matches 1.87) Last 10 Matches - 2.30 GPG
2) Conceding 0.80 GPG compared with 1.00 GPG last season. (30 Matches 1.03 - 1st 15 Matches 0.80 / 2nd 15 Matches 1.27) Last 10 Matches - 0.1 GPG
3) 2.05 PPG compared with 1.52 PPG last season. (30 Matches 1.87 - 1st 15 Matches 2.2 / 2nd 15 Matches 1.53) Last 10 Matches - 2.6 PPG
4) Effectively about 21 points "in hand" on our points total for last season (70 points from 46 games = 61 from 40...currently 82 from 40)
So to summarise, really can't complain about the position we find ourselves in for the run in to the end of the season - great run over the past 10 matches has put us in contention (Our run of clean sheets had to come to an end at some point - unfortunate that of the last 6 goals we've conceded, 2 of them have been scored by fog, and the last one by wind!)
This was my closing comment after 30 matches...
"Really hope we can turn this around, and still make a challenge for the automatics, but these numbers show it's a bit more than a "blip" or loss of form. Key priority seems to be a bit of back to basics tightening up the defence, as we're scoring consistently and have improved on last season in that area."
Congratulations to the team for achieving both of these, and hopefully go on to finish the job. Regardless of what happens this season, everything is heading in the right direction - we're managing 4 points for every 3 we obtained last season, scoring 4 goals for every 3 we scored last season, and conceding 4 goals for every 5 we conceded last season. And finally, an off the pitch stat...this is being watched at home games by the highest number of fans through the turnstiles for nearly 50 years 
COYB [Post edited 11 Apr 2023 8:20]
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:32 - Apr 15 with 2709 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:07 - Apr 10 by Nthsuffolkblue |
As disappointing as the equaliser feels, a point there is a birdie.
40 played.
+25 points, GD +37, GF +28.
Par score for Saturday 4-0. Could do with a par from that. Or even just a 1-0 win! |
What a pessimist I am ... even just a 1-0 win!
41 gone.
+25 pts, GD +39, GF +30.
Par score for Tuesday night, Port Vale replace Crewe so 2-1 win. COYB - 3 points a must. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 07:10 - Apr 16 with 2554 views | BlueBoots |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:32 - Apr 15 by Nthsuffolkblue |
What a pessimist I am ... even just a 1-0 win!
41 gone.
+25 pts, GD +39, GF +30.
Par score for Tuesday night, Port Vale replace Crewe so 2-1 win. COYB - 3 points a must. |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
41 matches: 95 Points, 95 Goals
...pretty simple sums for the 100 Points, 100 Goals countdown clock... currently on 85 Points, 85 Goals with 5 matches remaining so need 3 points and 3 goals per game 
Great win yesterday, and hopefully more of the same on Tuesday night; Port Vale are tasked with being the first team other than Plymouth and Sheffield Wednesday to score against us in the league at Portman Road since Christmas.
COYB | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 23:31 - Apr 18 with 2302 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:32 - Apr 15 by Nthsuffolkblue |
What a pessimist I am ... even just a 1-0 win!
41 gone.
+25 pts, GD +39, GF +30.
Par score for Tuesday night, Port Vale replace Crewe so 2-1 win. COYB - 3 points a must. |
A par ... thankfully. That looked like a banana skin for so long but we got over the line.
42 played.
+25 pts, GD +39, GF +30.
Par score for Saturday 1-1 as Peterborough replace Wigan. Need to get a bogey side off our backs. I will take the par but a win would be immense in getting us closer to the final goal.
COYB! | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 07:51 - Apr 19 with 2149 views | BlueBoots |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 23:31 - Apr 18 by Nthsuffolkblue |
A par ... thankfully. That looked like a banana skin for so long but we got over the line.
42 played.
+25 pts, GD +39, GF +30.
Par score for Saturday 1-1 as Peterborough replace Wigan. Need to get a bogey side off our backs. I will take the par but a win would be immense in getting us closer to the final goal.
COYB! |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
42 matches: 96 Points, 95 Goals
...100 Points, 100 Goals countdown clock continues... currently on 88 Points, 87 Goals with 4 matches remaining, so need 4 wins and 13 goals.
Promotion still very much in our hands - if we win just 2 of our remaining final games, Barnsley will be unable to catch us, and Sheffield Wednesday would need to win their 3 remaining games to overtake us due to our superior goal difference.
Hard fought win yesterday, and hopefully come up with a perfomance on Saturday that continues our unbeaten run.
COYB | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 08:49 - Apr 19 with 2071 views | Cheltenham_Blue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 07:51 - Apr 19 by BlueBoots |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
42 matches: 96 Points, 95 Goals
...100 Points, 100 Goals countdown clock continues... currently on 88 Points, 87 Goals with 4 matches remaining, so need 4 wins and 13 goals.
Promotion still very much in our hands - if we win just 2 of our remaining final games, Barnsley will be unable to catch us, and Sheffield Wednesday would need to win their 3 remaining games to overtake us due to our superior goal difference.
Hard fought win yesterday, and hopefully come up with a perfomance on Saturday that continues our unbeaten run.
COYB |
Wednesday will still drop more points. They weren't great last night, Rovers with over 60% possession.
Wednesday 5 points from 9 I think. Wednesday three tough games against Exeter, Shrewsbury and Derby. Both Exeter and Derby games at home in front of a crowd that are anxious and will turn on them at the first mis-placed pass or missed tackle.
Barnsley will take 7 points from 12 I think. They are showing signs of having a bit of a wobble, and for us, in our current form, are there for the taking. They will try to go toe to toe with us, which plays right into out hands, 0-2 Town. Peterborough on the final day will have a say too, at which point Barnsley will be playing in a dead rubber. 1-1.
If I'm right, and I hope I am, that leaves us needing four points from the next four. Nine would be better.
Plymouth have 3 home games on the trot now. The Championship, will go to the final game I think. |  |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 00:38 - Apr 20 with 1955 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 08:49 - Apr 19 by Cheltenham_Blue |
Wednesday will still drop more points. They weren't great last night, Rovers with over 60% possession.
Wednesday 5 points from 9 I think. Wednesday three tough games against Exeter, Shrewsbury and Derby. Both Exeter and Derby games at home in front of a crowd that are anxious and will turn on them at the first mis-placed pass or missed tackle.
Barnsley will take 7 points from 12 I think. They are showing signs of having a bit of a wobble, and for us, in our current form, are there for the taking. They will try to go toe to toe with us, which plays right into out hands, 0-2 Town. Peterborough on the final day will have a say too, at which point Barnsley will be playing in a dead rubber. 1-1.
If I'm right, and I hope I am, that leaves us needing four points from the next four. Nine would be better.
Plymouth have 3 home games on the trot now. The Championship, will go to the final game I think. |
I think the League 1 title is Plymouth's to lose. If we win 3 or 4 of ours we might pip them. The important thing is what is in our own hands and to keep ahead of Wednesday and Barnsley. 2 wins will probably do that for us. Add in at least 1 draw should be enough. Problem is the next two will be the most difficult. If we do win on Saturday it keeps the pressure off us. If we lose or draw it puts it on the last 3 matches. It being Peterborough of all clubs and especially on the form they are in, I can't begin to think what the result will be. COYB - put a bogey side away and win it! | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:46 - Apr 22 with 1661 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 23:31 - Apr 18 by Nthsuffolkblue |
A par ... thankfully. That looked like a banana skin for so long but we got over the line.
42 played.
+25 pts, GD +39, GF +30.
Par score for Saturday 1-1 as Peterborough replace Wigan. Need to get a bogey side off our backs. I will take the par but a win would be immense in getting us closer to the final goal.
COYB! |
What a result! I really feel like the Town are going up ... yet we still can't quite shake Wednesday and Plymouth are keeping their noses ahead.
43 gone.
+27 pts, GD +42, GF +32.
Par score for Tuesday night 2-0 defeat as Barnsley replace Sunderland. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 19:20 - Apr 22 with 1570 views | BlueBoots |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:46 - Apr 22 by Nthsuffolkblue |
What a result! I really feel like the Town are going up ... yet we still can't quite shake Wednesday and Plymouth are keeping their noses ahead.
43 gone.
+27 pts, GD +42, GF +32.
Par score for Tuesday night 2-0 defeat as Barnsley replace Sunderland. |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
43 matches: 97 Points, 96 Goals
...100 Points, 100 Goals countdown clock... currently on 91 Points, 90 Goals with 3 matches remaining, so need 3 wins and 10 goals.
Despite the Top 4 all winning today, find ourselves in an improved position with games now running out. Before today, promotion guaranteed by winning 2 of our remaining final games if Sheffield Wednesday and Barnsley failed to win all their remaining games; now if we win 2 of our remaining games, Sheffield Wednesday and Barnsley still can't catch us (can even afford a win and 2 draws due to our superior goal difference) Obviously if either team drops points, our task then becomes easier too.
https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/verein-statistik/formtabelle/statistik/stat/plus
Hopefully continue this incredible 3 month run (P16 W12 D4 L0) on Tuesday night!
COYB [Post edited 22 Apr 2023 19:23]
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 22:06 - Apr 25 with 1295 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 17:46 - Apr 22 by Nthsuffolkblue |
What a result! I really feel like the Town are going up ... yet we still can't quite shake Wednesday and Plymouth are keeping their noses ahead.
43 gone.
+27 pts, GD +42, GF +32.
Par score for Tuesday night 2-0 defeat as Barnsley replace Sunderland. |
Another albatross!
44 down and on the brink.
+30 pts, GD +47, GF +35.
Par score for Saturday 6-0 win. Need 7 for the 100 goals. But since we need 2 wins for the 100 points, I will take a 6-0! Honestly, just need a win. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 07:18 - Apr 26 with 1190 views | BlueBoots |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 22:06 - Apr 25 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Another albatross!
44 down and on the brink.
+30 pts, GD +47, GF +35.
Par score for Saturday 6-0 win. Need 7 for the 100 goals. But since we need 2 wins for the 100 points, I will take a 6-0! Honestly, just need a win. |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
44 matches: 98 Points, 97 Goals
...100 Points, 100 Goals countdown clock... currently on 94 Points, 93 Goals with 2 matches remaining, so need 2 wins and 7 goals.
I jokingly started the countdown clock on Feb 19th with 14 matches remaining, which shows just how well the team have done: Statistical comparison with last season by BlueBoots 19 Feb 2023 7:03Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
32 matches: 86 Points, 86 Goals
100 Points, 100 Goals? 14 games left, so just the 13 Wins and 1 Draw (and 3 goals per game) required! [grin]
COYB
Before today, promotion guaranteed by winning 2 of our remaining final games (or a win and 2 draws); now pretty simple...we're up unless Sheffield Wednesday win their last 2 games and we fail to take more than a point from ours.
Fantastic run of results (P17 W13 D4 L0) as seen here:
https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/verein-statistik/formtabelle/statistik/stat/plus
Conceded 5 goals in those 17 matches (the same as Barcelona, who can only dream about scoring the number of goals we do  )
COYB | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 19:43 - Apr 29 with 926 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 22:06 - Apr 25 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Another albatross!
44 down and on the brink.
+30 pts, GD +47, GF +35.
Par score for Saturday 6-0 win. Need 7 for the 100 goals. But since we need 2 wins for the 100 points, I will take a 6-0! Honestly, just need a win. |
We've done it! We've done it! We've only gone and done it! And so convincingly! But only a par! Ha!
And this is how:
45 played.
+30 pts, GD +47, GF +35. That's how much better we are this season.
Par score for the last game 2-0. 1-0 will do the 100 points and 100 goals. The title is out of our hands. If Plymouth pip us, they well and truly deserve it. Well done them and Schumacher. | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 19:50 - Apr 29 with 915 views | Ryorry |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 19:43 - Apr 29 by Nthsuffolkblue |
We've done it! We've done it! We've only gone and done it! And so convincingly! But only a par! Ha!
And this is how:
45 played.
+30 pts, GD +47, GF +35. That's how much better we are this season.
Par score for the last game 2-0. 1-0 will do the 100 points and 100 goals. The title is out of our hands. If Plymouth pip us, they well and truly deserve it. Well done them and Schumacher. |
Brilliant thread NSB, thanks for the ride, and congrats on your amazing correct score prediction  |  |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 20:05 - Apr 29 with 884 views | BlueBoots |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 19:43 - Apr 29 by Nthsuffolkblue |
We've done it! We've done it! We've only gone and done it! And so convincingly! But only a par! Ha!
And this is how:
45 played.
+30 pts, GD +47, GF +35. That's how much better we are this season.
Par score for the last game 2-0. 1-0 will do the 100 points and 100 goals. The title is out of our hands. If Plymouth pip us, they well and truly deserve it. Well done them and Schumacher. |
Projected total based on current PPG / GPG...
45 matches: 99 Points, 101 Goals
As it's now impossible for us to get 99 points, and the projected total is 99.15, rounded up to 100 points rather than down to 98
Doctored European form table (we're top from the last 19 matches but not 20 matches...yet ) https://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/verein-statistik/formtabelle/statistik/stat/plus
COYChampionshipB | |
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| Statistical comparison with last season on 15:22 - May 7 with 649 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Statistical comparison with last season on 19:43 - Apr 29 by Nthsuffolkblue |
We've done it! We've done it! We've only gone and done it! And so convincingly! But only a par! Ha!
And this is how:
45 played.
+30 pts, GD +47, GF +35. That's how much better we are this season.
Par score for the last game 2-0. 1-0 will do the 100 points and 100 goals. The title is out of our hands. If Plymouth pip us, they well and truly deserve it. Well done them and Schumacher. |
Just for completeness:
46 matches
+29 pts, GD +46, GF +36.
Enough for promotion and that's what really matters. Not quite enough for 100 points nor the title. Congratulations to Plymouth - a phenomenal effort. The Mariner dream ticket.
Only these questions left. Do I repeat this next season? And if I do, what would be most appropriate? A comparison with the teams that finished in equivalent places last season? A comparison with the most recent time we played the same opposition regardless of how long ago? Or not to bother. | |
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