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[Blog] Jewell's Set for Achievement
Written by AndrewPC on Monday, 4th Jul 2011 06:04

It is a high risk strategy to let the core members of your first team all leave, isn’t it? Yet this is precisely what Town management have allowed to happen since the end of the season: exit stage left David Norris, Gareth McAuley, Jimmy Bullard, Brian Murphy and Connor Wickham.

It is a high risk strategy – at least for clubs like Town on Championship-scale revenues and budgets - not to encourage actively home-grown talent by blooding, and then promoting, them into the senior squad. Yet this is precisely what Town management have allowed to happen since the end of the season: exit also stage left Tom Eastman, Troy Brown, Billy Clark and Reggie Lambe.

Or is it indeed high risk? Let’s take another look. First, what is the strategy? It is to get Town promoted into the Premiership, within the next two years under the managership of Paul Jewell. But the near-term goal for season 2011/12 is to be competitive enough also to have a realistic shot at the play-offs.

So how should the club go about this; evolving from 'as is' (13th position season 2010/11, 62 points) to 'to be' by May 2012 (third to sixth position, minimum 74 points) ?

The writing was on the wall in my view when Paul Jewell made the statement towards the end of last season (the core squad had by then already avoided relegation) that the first team squad simply was not good enough to be Championship play-off contenders. That meant, I think, that Jewell had already made up his mind that core players from the 2010/11 season squad could leave because they did not carry the 'DNA' that he knows the team needs to compete at this level.

Secondly, what about financing? Jewell took the Town management position having, amongst other things, assurances from the owner Marcus Evans that funds would be available to buy players. I think we can safely assume though that a condition was that the vast majority of such funds would be forthcoming only once relegation had been avoided.

Further, given that Evans is a canny private businessman who expects value for money, and Jewell is an astute and deeply knowledgeable operator in the world of dealings with professional footballers, it would be not unreasonable to conclude that they also put together a financing plan for re-building the team that would be both fully funded and capable of uplifting the overall squad quality by an order of magnitude.

Why else did they put into place a new contract until 2014 with Connor Wickham, other than to maximise his value to the club when a Premiership club would come calling (as inevitably they would, given Connor’s presence in the England U21 squad: the youngest player in the squad and the only one not already at a Premiership side)?

Thirdly, what is required in terms of players and team capability to enable a new-look Town side to hit the ground running and make a meaningful challenge for a top six place? This is where, in my view, Jewell’s previous management successes in gaining promotions from this league starts to count. He states that he wants more resilience right across the team and also a 20+ goal a season striker who will even knock his granny out of the way to score.

He is acting upon that understanding. It is teams playing as teams that get themselves promoted if even they may have within them one or two particularly outstanding players (QPR had Taraabt, but also a Shaun Derry). You cannot amass 75 points or more without consistency right across the park and over the full 90 minutes of every game. Jewell himself, together with his management team, have the experience and capability to quickly mould a set of individuals into a winning team. We know this from the way they quickly and effectively addressed the shortcomings of the Roy Keane era last season by identifying the best 11 players and five or six substitutes and sticking with them till season’s end. That is why, in my view, the 'high risk' mentioned above is not in fact the case given the abilities of those operationally in charge of team performances.

Now look at the acquisitions, which at the time of writing is a work in progress, with Jewell promising perhaps another three or four signings. So far, Town have for certain Michael Chopra, Ivar Ingimarsson, Nathan Ellington and Aaron Cresswell.

Jewell promised that new additions to the squad will be better additions. The combined goal-scoring track records of Chopra and Ellington are superior to those of Scotland and Priskin. Ingimarsson has at least as good a record in defence for Reading as McAuley. Cresswell cannot yet be compared with Kennedy, but his trajectory of development to date at 21 years old, plus his potential for rapid further improvement, indicate that he may quickly adapt to Championship level football; possibly taking the left back position if Jewell sees Kennedy as possibly sitting in front of the back four.

In the next few days we can expect a new midfielder to arrive. Without speculating on specific names, it is probable that this person will also bring a wealth of (Premiership?) experience with them and be closer to 30, rather than 20-years-old. Jewell knows that you can only mould an effective fighting force quickly if they have already 'worn the T-shirt'.

All of this has been achieved with the outlay of very little money indeed. Given the promise to the public by Simon Clegg that funds from the Wickham sale will be re-invested in the club, then Jewell has more options.

None of which guarantees success. The manager will be carefully calibrating the performance potential of his new squad against the opposition. The names that fill the frames of the three or four new arrivals hopefully before the season starts, will offer supporters a clear view of whether or not the promise of “improvements right across the team” are being realised or not.




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BathBlue2 added 09:20 - Jul 4
A thoughtful and well measured commentary... At this stage, with the season still a few weeks away, I absolutely agree and think that we can all feel a good deal more confident about our prospects under Paul Jewell and his team. It may well be that "Team" is the operative word and the key to our success this season.
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HolbrookBlue added 11:36 - Jul 4
A well written article setting out the current position, better than certain newspapers offer. Good to see as I was beginning to believe that some of the supporters who contribute to this site cannot write in english.

We have not had a "team" for several seasons. Let us hope that this season will see a major step forward.
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Ryorry added 11:58 - Jul 4
Thoughtful article with good analysis, excellent.
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Marshalls_Mullet added 12:37 - Jul 4
Eastmman, Lambe and Clark all not good enough.

Troy Brown isnt home grown and was offered another contract.

Brian Murphy never has been a first team regular.

They havent let Jimmy go, they have tried their best to put a deal together.
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Vic added 15:19 - Jul 4
Decent blog spoilt by the assumption that PJ is working to the same time scale as Keane was (promotion within two seasons). No one from the club has ever said that - in fact PJ has always called it a long term aim.

And rfegarding the use/non use of home grown playes I thinbk that the release of such players as Lambe & Eastman etc hardly indicates this is the case. Brown came from Fulham and wan't a product of our youth system and the others had either failed to take their chances or were just not cutting the mustard. In addition, if you think back to the end of last season and often playing 3 teenagers with others on the bench (and these rarely included thos who've been released!)

So while I completely agree with the general thrust of the blog, and really like what PJ is ding here, some basic facts are wrong.
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terry_butchers_twin added 18:06 - Jul 4
A well put together case with particular reference to the 'team'. Team has been sadly lacking for a number of years, you don't need superstars you need people who will run into brickwalls for one another and go in where it hurts for the greater good. As to QPR, you are looking at a club who had tremendous spending power and a reasonable starting point. Hate to say it but I think those 40 miles north of PR have achieved more with little spend and back to back promotions simply because their manager, another product of the Cochester academy, knows how to build a team in a similar way to George Burley.
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LancsBlue added 20:30 - Jul 4
Thoughtful and interesting blog. Nice to see rational and well measured argument being used rather than some of the kneejerk nonsense that we get from some posters to this site. Football is a team game and it is amazing how far you can go with the right blend of players, playing to a system and pulling together. Its not names on paper that make it all come together, but astute management and hard work. I think Jewell knows exactly what he is doing and is gradually acquiring the pieces that he needs for his particular jigsaw. People should not get too bogged down with assessing the merits of the individual pieces of that jigsaw, but rather, take a look at the whole picture.
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Lightningboy added 22:56 - Jul 4
Murphy won't be missed in the slightest.

Jewell is doing a cracking job..keep it up PJ.
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CobboldNeal added 22:09 - Jul 5
Good article well worth the read, I guess the 2 years for promotion is based on PJ's contract term? I think sticking to more or less the same team (as compared to RK) did help last season under PJ but where would we have been without Bullard?
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blue_em_away added 13:00 - Jul 8
Good work and thanks for taking the time.
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jas0999 added 15:34 - Jul 8
A decent blog, but the fact remains that we have as yet failed to replace Wickham, Bullard and Norris, whilst the CB position is still very very weak. You rightly point out that argubaly our 4 best players from last season have gone, but with 75% of them not replaced and just 4 weeks until our first game this has to be a real worry. Further more, PJ's current strategy appears to be signing 33 year old injury prone players - a high risk. Against teams with pace and skill, we may well struggle. Currently we are not equipped to compete at this level. Much will depend on PJ's tactics as well. The 4-5-1 with just an isolated striker has already cost ITFC a number of season ticket sales. Let's just hope PJ has learnt from this mistake.
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blues1 added 08:52 - Jul 17
jas0999 pj stated quite clearly that he wants to play a 4-4-2 formation, but clearly felt he hadnt got the players here good enough to play that way so used a 4-5-1. could hardly be called a mistake as he saved us from relegation. as to the original blog, agree a well balanced argument, but with some incorrect facts it has to be said. we didnt LET any of these top players go, they were all offered new contracts, other than bullard who not our player to start off with. regardless of what the offers were they rejected those contracts so we had no control over them leaving. & as we now know norris never had any intention of signing his contract so what else could we have done. of course, now we have signed bowyer, who is a much better player than him neway so its worked out well
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