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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover 10:37 - Sep 5 with 18909 viewsAxeldalai_lama

Will be interesting to see how they're compared to environmental groups who did the same and who mainly showed their faces. Were anti terror laws used against them in the end? Weren't there calls by certain sections on the right to run them over?

Let's wait and see.
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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 10:19 - Sep 9 with 861 viewsDubtractor

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 10:09 - Sep 9 by balcombeblue

Is it? Based on what?!


Well, two things.

1) it doesn't pass the sniff test, it's such a wildly low number that it feels wrong.
2) this is the important one, there are actual published statistics available on the actual number of applicants accepted.

That 62% of applicants are not accepted is a bad enough number IMO.

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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 10:29 - Sep 9 with 827 viewspositivity

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 10:08 - Sep 9 by balcombeblue

True! A lot of people say they won’t respond and then do though. It’s not really a lie, the emotion of needing to reply just takes over!


it's still a lie on the 2nd one, but you're right in benter's emotional response!

however, if you they "the un stated x" and they hadn't stated anything of the kind then it's a lie, it's misinformation, it needs an edit (and an apology if they're so concerned not to be seen as a liar!)

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2
These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 10:46 - Sep 9 with 773 viewsbalcombeblue

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 10:19 - Sep 9 by Dubtractor

Well, two things.

1) it doesn't pass the sniff test, it's such a wildly low number that it feels wrong.
2) this is the important one, there are actual published statistics available on the actual number of applicants accepted.

That 62% of applicants are not accepted is a bad enough number IMO.


The “right number” is clearly dependent on the application?

I know people on the left like equality of outcome, but surely it’s dependant on the merits of the claimant?

(That was just a joke about lefties by the way….)
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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 10:57 - Sep 9 with 737 viewsDJR

Interestingly, I came across this.

"The grant rate at initial decision was 42% in 2025 — down sharply from 73% in 2022 — a fall that reflects a deliberate policy of ramping up refusals to clear the backlog, but which has simultaneously fed an appeals backlog that nearly doubled in 2025 to a record 80,000 cases. The UK ranked 15th highest in Europe for asylum applications per head of population in 2025."

https://theworlddata.com/asylu

I also came across this.

"In 2022, the share of asylum applications (main applicants) receiving a grant at the initial decision rose to a record high of 76%, which was much higher than in previous years. In 2018, the initial decision grant rate was 33% (Figure 5). Many factors could have driven the change. One contributing factor, but not the only explanation, was an increase in the number of nationalities whose asylum application grant rate is typically higher than average, such as Iranians, Syrians and Eritreans"


"The decline in overall grant rates may be linked to changes introduced by the Nationality and Borders Act 2022 (NABA), which raised the standard of proof in asylum claims. Applicants are now required to demonstrate, “on the balance of probabilities”, that they would face persecution if returned to their country of origin – a higher threshold than the previous “reasonable degree of likelihood” standard see ‘Understanding the Policy’ above). Among the top 10 nationalities of asylum seekers in 2025, all experienced rising grant rates between 2018 and 2022, followed by a decline from 2023, except for Sudanese nationals."

https://migrationobservatory.o
[Post edited 9 Sep 11:09]
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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 11:04 - Sep 9 with 703 viewsbalcombeblue

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 10:57 - Sep 9 by DJR

Interestingly, I came across this.

"The grant rate at initial decision was 42% in 2025 — down sharply from 73% in 2022 — a fall that reflects a deliberate policy of ramping up refusals to clear the backlog, but which has simultaneously fed an appeals backlog that nearly doubled in 2025 to a record 80,000 cases. The UK ranked 15th highest in Europe for asylum applications per head of population in 2025."

https://theworlddata.com/asylu

I also came across this.

"In 2022, the share of asylum applications (main applicants) receiving a grant at the initial decision rose to a record high of 76%, which was much higher than in previous years. In 2018, the initial decision grant rate was 33% (Figure 5). Many factors could have driven the change. One contributing factor, but not the only explanation, was an increase in the number of nationalities whose asylum application grant rate is typically higher than average, such as Iranians, Syrians and Eritreans"


"The decline in overall grant rates may be linked to changes introduced by the Nationality and Borders Act 2022 (NABA), which raised the standard of proof in asylum claims. Applicants are now required to demonstrate, “on the balance of probabilities”, that they would face persecution if returned to their country of origin – a higher threshold than the previous “reasonable degree of likelihood” standard see ‘Understanding the Policy’ above). Among the top 10 nationalities of asylum seekers in 2025, all experienced rising grant rates between 2018 and 2022, followed by a decline from 2023, except for Sudanese nationals."

https://migrationobservatory.o
[Post edited 9 Sep 11:09]


I would like to know the process behind acceptance? Surely it’s pretty arbitrary?

If benters had a job in the home office, the rate would drop!
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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 11:18 - Sep 9 with 666 viewsredrickstuhaart

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 11:04 - Sep 9 by balcombeblue

I would like to know the process behind acceptance? Surely it’s pretty arbitrary?

If benters had a job in the home office, the rate would drop!


Why on earth would you think it is arbitrary?

Baffling.

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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 11:28 - Sep 9 with 635 viewsbalcombeblue

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 11:18 - Sep 9 by redrickstuhaart

Why on earth would you think it is arbitrary?

Baffling.


You baffle me.

How detailed can it be?
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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 11:37 - Sep 9 with 615 viewsredrickstuhaart

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 11:28 - Sep 9 by balcombeblue

You baffle me.

How detailed can it be?


Do you think there might be some clear rules and guidelines? Or just some bloke doing what he reckons?

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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 11:49 - Sep 9 with 594 viewsbalcombeblue

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 11:37 - Sep 9 by redrickstuhaart

Do you think there might be some clear rules and guidelines? Or just some bloke doing what he reckons?


I imagine it would be:

a: highly dependant on the quality of the information presented by the applicant
b: not totally independent from other decisions made on similar applicants.
c: highly subjective on the opinions of who is deciding.

So yes, a fair amount of arbitrary consideration. Somewhat backed up by the number that go to appeal.

Much like in a jury trial, where I always say the only reason you would ever want a jury is if you are guilty.
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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 12:24 - Sep 9 with 542 viewsredrickstuhaart

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 11:49 - Sep 9 by balcombeblue

I imagine it would be:

a: highly dependant on the quality of the information presented by the applicant
b: not totally independent from other decisions made on similar applicants.
c: highly subjective on the opinions of who is deciding.

So yes, a fair amount of arbitrary consideration. Somewhat backed up by the number that go to appeal.

Much like in a jury trial, where I always say the only reason you would ever want a jury is if you are guilty.


I really don't know what else to say at this point. Wow.

The most cursory of Googles will show you lengthy detailed criteria and guidance. As anyone who knows anything about anything would fully expect.
[Post edited 9 Sep 12:27]

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2
These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 12:35 - Sep 9 with 516 viewsRyorry

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 11:49 - Sep 9 by balcombeblue

I imagine it would be:

a: highly dependant on the quality of the information presented by the applicant
b: not totally independent from other decisions made on similar applicants.
c: highly subjective on the opinions of who is deciding.

So yes, a fair amount of arbitrary consideration. Somewhat backed up by the number that go to appeal.

Much like in a jury trial, where I always say the only reason you would ever want a jury is if you are guilty.


"Much like in a jury trial, where I always say the only reason you would ever want a jury is if you are guilty."

Err, what? Really got to pick you up on that. If I were innocent, I'd 100% want a jury trial* every time, not be dependent on the whims & possible prejudices of a lone judge (or even a 3).

*Which is now, disgracefully, under threat.

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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 12:59 - Sep 9 with 459 viewsBenters

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 08:21 - Sep 9 by The_Flashing_Smile

That's it? You just say it is, and therefore it's a fact?


Yes.

Gentlybentley
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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:01 - Sep 9 with 455 viewsBenters

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 09:27 - Sep 9 by SWLondonBlue93

Jeremy Kyle is a clot, who cares what he says


Clot or not he said it.

Gentlybentley
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-3
These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:04 - Sep 9 with 444 viewsBenters

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 10:29 - Sep 9 by positivity

it's still a lie on the 2nd one, but you're right in benter's emotional response!

however, if you they "the un stated x" and they hadn't stated anything of the kind then it's a lie, it's misinformation, it needs an edit (and an apology if they're so concerned not to be seen as a liar!)


I’m not apologising for something I saw.

Am I the only person to watch TalkTv?

Gentlybentley
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-2
These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:07 - Sep 9 with 448 viewsBlueschev

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:04 - Sep 9 by Benters

I’m not apologising for something I saw.

Am I the only person to watch TalkTv?


Unfortunately not.
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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:15 - Sep 9 with 420 viewsbalcombeblue

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 12:24 - Sep 9 by redrickstuhaart

I really don't know what else to say at this point. Wow.

The most cursory of Googles will show you lengthy detailed criteria and guidance. As anyone who knows anything about anything would fully expect.
[Post edited 9 Sep 12:27]


Have you ever worked in an industry that requires the collation of data followed by processing that data against selected criteria?

A cursory glance at google, colliding with the real world. But then, those on the left always trust the system
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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:42 - Sep 9 with 360 viewsredrickstuhaart

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:15 - Sep 9 by balcombeblue

Have you ever worked in an industry that requires the collation of data followed by processing that data against selected criteria?

A cursory glance at google, colliding with the real world. But then, those on the left always trust the system


What?

Its case by case not data analysis.

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1
These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:50 - Sep 9 with 330 viewsnoggin

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:01 - Sep 9 by Benters

Clot or not he said it.


No he didn't. A quick search is all it took.

No, Jeremy Kyle did not report that the United Nations (UN) stated 1 in 100 asylum cases are genuine.The segment broadcast on Talk (formerly TalkTV) in September 2026 involved Jeremy Kyle discussing a widely reported investigation from The Times.

FFS, I wish I hadn't looked at this rubbish. No surprise that you watch TalkTV benters. I'm guessing you'll say you were genuinely mistaken now?

[Post edited 9 Sep 14:00]

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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:56 - Sep 9 with 298 viewsbalcombeblue

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:42 - Sep 9 by redrickstuhaart

What?

Its case by case not data analysis.


I'll take that as a 'no'. You are very dismissive of my view, which is odd given what you have written.

Here's my cursory check on google for you: https://journals.sagepub.com/d

Of course you collect data....

Who are you
How old are you
Where have you come from
What brought you here
Medical data
Biometric data

Assess answers against criteria
Check for consistency

Make a decision

Consistency check again
Deal with appeal

Human rights watchers, lawyers, politicians....Many believe the subjectivity leads to a highly arbitrary process.
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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:58 - Sep 9 with 288 viewsbalcombeblue

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 12:35 - Sep 9 by Ryorry

"Much like in a jury trial, where I always say the only reason you would ever want a jury is if you are guilty."

Err, what? Really got to pick you up on that. If I were innocent, I'd 100% want a jury trial* every time, not be dependent on the whims & possible prejudices of a lone judge (or even a 3).

*Which is now, disgracefully, under threat.


The reason I say that, is because if you are guilty and that's objectionably provable (say by an AI algorithm), then isn't it best to plump for the luck of the jry?

I am sort of with you on the jury process being an important tenant of our legal system, but it hasn't done much for Lucy Letby! I bet she would have been happy with objective trial by AI.
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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 14:15 - Sep 9 with 253 viewsBlueBoots

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:50 - Sep 9 by noggin

No he didn't. A quick search is all it took.

No, Jeremy Kyle did not report that the United Nations (UN) stated 1 in 100 asylum cases are genuine.The segment broadcast on Talk (formerly TalkTV) in September 2026 involved Jeremy Kyle discussing a widely reported investigation from The Times.

FFS, I wish I hadn't looked at this rubbish. No surprise that you watch TalkTV benters. I'm guessing you'll say you were genuinely mistaken now?

[Post edited 9 Sep 14:00]


Jeremy Kyle doesn't even get it right either; claims it was a whistleblower "in the Home Office" - widely reported that it's a former Home Office worker.

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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 14:16 - Sep 9 with 249 viewspositivity

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:04 - Sep 9 by Benters

I’m not apologising for something I saw.

Am I the only person to watch TalkTv?


but the un didn't state it as you equivocally posted.

so you lied, and now you can't even bring yourself to apologise or correct your lie.

very typical of you on here, unfortunately

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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 14:19 - Sep 9 with 241 viewspositivity

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:58 - Sep 9 by balcombeblue

The reason I say that, is because if you are guilty and that's objectionably provable (say by an AI algorithm), then isn't it best to plump for the luck of the jry?

I am sort of with you on the jury process being an important tenant of our legal system, but it hasn't done much for Lucy Letby! I bet she would have been happy with objective trial by AI.


ai makes far more mistakes than a jury.

in the uk, you are innocent until proved guilty, which is a high bar, so more people are acquitted than on a balance of evidence basis.

i'd stick with proof being necessary, thanks

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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 14:23 - Sep 9 with 229 viewsbalcombeblue

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 14:19 - Sep 9 by positivity

ai makes far more mistakes than a jury.

in the uk, you are innocent until proved guilty, which is a high bar, so more people are acquitted than on a balance of evidence basis.

i'd stick with proof being necessary, thanks


A hugely interesting debate this one! can't do justice in written form (no pun....)
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These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 14:58 - Sep 9 with 181 viewsyesjohn99

These balaclava wearing chaps in Dover on 13:15 - Sep 9 by balcombeblue

Have you ever worked in an industry that requires the collation of data followed by processing that data against selected criteria?

A cursory glance at google, colliding with the real world. But then, those on the left always trust the system


Stop talking all this sense Balcombe. It’s blowing the minds of a few on here!
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