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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? 15:15 - Jun 24 with 3623 viewsGlasgowBlue

I've been out most the day. If not, at what time do we expect the announcement?

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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 15:18 - Jun 24 with 3591 viewsKeno

That made me think of George Formby

Leaning on the lamp post at the corner of street
until a certain mercenary comes by
oh me, on my
I dont think my chances are very high


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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 15:22 - Jun 24 with 3569 viewsLord_Lucan

I hope I’m wrong but I wouldn’t underestimate Putin and I wouldn’t be writing his obituary quite just yet.

I also would be careful about overestimating Wagner forces.

Edit - I would guess a lot of the above is dependent on the regular Russian army.
[Post edited 24 Jun 2023 15:24]

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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 15:25 - Jun 24 with 3546 viewsGlasgowBlue

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 15:22 - Jun 24 by Lord_Lucan

I hope I’m wrong but I wouldn’t underestimate Putin and I wouldn’t be writing his obituary quite just yet.

I also would be careful about overestimating Wagner forces.

Edit - I would guess a lot of the above is dependent on the regular Russian army.
[Post edited 24 Jun 2023 15:24]


Wagner are no match for the Russian army but this seriously weakens Putin in the eyes of his inner circle. His end will come from somebody inside.

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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 15:28 - Jun 24 with 3519 viewsLord_Lucan

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 15:25 - Jun 24 by GlasgowBlue

Wagner are no match for the Russian army but this seriously weakens Putin in the eyes of his inner circle. His end will come from somebody inside.


I was referring to whether a large proportion of the regular army revolt.

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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 15:32 - Jun 24 with 3496 viewsGlasgowBlue

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 15:28 - Jun 24 by Lord_Lucan

I was referring to whether a large proportion of the regular army revolt.


I've seen reports that some have. Also Wagner mercenaries in Syria and Africa coming home to join in. They've been vital in Putin having influence in those countries.

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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 17:46 - Jun 24 with 3200 viewsRegencyBlue

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 15:25 - Jun 24 by GlasgowBlue

Wagner are no match for the Russian army but this seriously weakens Putin in the eyes of his inner circle. His end will come from somebody inside.


I don’t know but logically Putins best troops, what’s left of them anyway, are presumably trying to contain the Ukrainian counter attack across a 1200 kilometre front in Ukraine.

In short, what’s he got on the ground in Russia that can get in Wagners way? I read the Russians are using air strikes and helicopter gunships against them but there doesn’t seem to be much else. If he pulls back troops from the front Ukraine are going to love that.

Interesting times.
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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 17:53 - Jun 24 with 3164 viewsCheltenham_Blue

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 17:46 - Jun 24 by RegencyBlue

I don’t know but logically Putins best troops, what’s left of them anyway, are presumably trying to contain the Ukrainian counter attack across a 1200 kilometre front in Ukraine.

In short, what’s he got on the ground in Russia that can get in Wagners way? I read the Russians are using air strikes and helicopter gunships against them but there doesn’t seem to be much else. If he pulls back troops from the front Ukraine are going to love that.

Interesting times.


Interesting, but also dangerous. Makes it more likely than before that he could turn to a tactical nuke to force a Ukrainian withdrawal, whilst he brings troops back from the front to deal with Wagner.

Also possible that, should he take the Nuclear option, he'll face a full scale coup.
[Post edited 24 Jun 2023 17:58]

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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 18:10 - Jun 24 with 3103 viewsgtsb1966

The title reminds me of the Iraq war. Someone I know who was in the army told me a few years ago that one of his jobs was to cut down people from lampposts, trees etc. They were hanged by the Ba'ath party for talking to the allied soldiers regardless of how innocent the conversation was. Some were juveniles.
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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 18:18 - Jun 24 with 3064 viewsStokieBlue

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 17:46 - Jun 24 by RegencyBlue

I don’t know but logically Putins best troops, what’s left of them anyway, are presumably trying to contain the Ukrainian counter attack across a 1200 kilometre front in Ukraine.

In short, what’s he got on the ground in Russia that can get in Wagners way? I read the Russians are using air strikes and helicopter gunships against them but there doesn’t seem to be much else. If he pulls back troops from the front Ukraine are going to love that.

Interesting times.


Wagner are "claiming" they have shot down 3 Russian aircraft attacking them.

They are clearly no match for the Russian army in a protracted struggle but they are a well armed and battle hardened force. Most the defence forces inside Russia will have never seen any combat.

No idea what's going to happen really. Could kick off or could fizzle out. Either way it's probably good for the Ukrainians.

It's gone so far now though that if he does stand down I can't imagine he will be alive much longer.

SB
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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 18:20 - Jun 24 with 3057 viewsChurchman

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 17:46 - Jun 24 by RegencyBlue

I don’t know but logically Putins best troops, what’s left of them anyway, are presumably trying to contain the Ukrainian counter attack across a 1200 kilometre front in Ukraine.

In short, what’s he got on the ground in Russia that can get in Wagners way? I read the Russians are using air strikes and helicopter gunships against them but there doesn’t seem to be much else. If he pulls back troops from the front Ukraine are going to love that.

Interesting times.


It’s not really the maths. Putin can crush Wagner like a cockroach and probably will. But dictators make enemies. Lots of them. Many have died and been injured for what? Defeating Nazis? Very few of the people serving will believe that or will know what a Nazi is. To defend Russia? They’re in Ukraine so not defending anything.

Given he’s trawled soldiers from god knows where, not only are they untrained most will have no idea why they’re there.

If territory opens up while Russia reorganises itself, take it, but for Ukraine it’s a watch, observe, probe, wait game at the moment - in my totally ignorant view.

As you rightly say, interesting times.
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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 23:31 - Jun 24 with 2788 viewsHARRY10

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 18:18 - Jun 24 by StokieBlue

Wagner are "claiming" they have shot down 3 Russian aircraft attacking them.

They are clearly no match for the Russian army in a protracted struggle but they are a well armed and battle hardened force. Most the defence forces inside Russia will have never seen any combat.

No idea what's going to happen really. Could kick off or could fizzle out. Either way it's probably good for the Ukrainians.

It's gone so far now though that if he does stand down I can't imagine he will be alive much longer.

SB


Au cont raise (as the say in Wales). Many of those fighting in Ukraine have been, still are, raw recruits. Much of the best is still in Russia,

thw Wagner bloke seems to be upset that his lot are being used much the same as the Russians - cannon fodder. Even done to using them to attack so as to be able to spot Ukranian artillery.

The hard core of Wagners soldiers are mostly in Syria, Libya, Mali and elsewhere where the 'purloining' of assets/raw materials need protecting. And those hard core, made up of ex special service types, are diminishing.

The thought now is has Putin removed the Wagner leader and will Russia try to absorb many of Wagners forces into the Russian army, as after the SA leadership was shot after the Night of the Long Knives ?
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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 23:43 - Jun 24 with 2769 viewsredrickstuhaart

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 23:31 - Jun 24 by HARRY10

Au cont raise (as the say in Wales). Many of those fighting in Ukraine have been, still are, raw recruits. Much of the best is still in Russia,

thw Wagner bloke seems to be upset that his lot are being used much the same as the Russians - cannon fodder. Even done to using them to attack so as to be able to spot Ukranian artillery.

The hard core of Wagners soldiers are mostly in Syria, Libya, Mali and elsewhere where the 'purloining' of assets/raw materials need protecting. And those hard core, made up of ex special service types, are diminishing.

The thought now is has Putin removed the Wagner leader and will Russia try to absorb many of Wagners forces into the Russian army, as after the SA leadership was shot after the Night of the Long Knives ?


Not accurate by all accounts. Vast majority of forces are committed.
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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 00:42 - Jun 25 with 2661 viewsHARRY10

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 23:43 - Jun 24 by redrickstuhaart

Not accurate by all accounts. Vast majority of forces are committed.


eh ?

The Russian Army is put at 1.125m, with around 2,000,000 reservists* ......and

"some three hundred thousand Russian soldiers are now reportedly in and around Ukraine"

so around 10%1/7th is a "Vast majority of forces " ? It is not even 10% of what is available.

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_Armed_Forces
[Post edited 25 Jun 2023 17:55]
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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 17:53 - Jun 25 with 2374 viewsHARRY10

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 23:43 - Jun 24 by redrickstuhaart

Not accurate by all accounts. Vast majority of forces are committed.


"all accounts"

perhaps just the one account will do

though do feel free to post up others
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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 20:43 - Jun 25 with 2272 viewsStokieBlue

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 00:42 - Jun 25 by HARRY10

eh ?

The Russian Army is put at 1.125m, with around 2,000,000 reservists* ......and

"some three hundred thousand Russian soldiers are now reportedly in and around Ukraine"

so around 10%1/7th is a "Vast majority of forces " ? It is not even 10% of what is available.

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_Armed_Forces
[Post edited 25 Jun 2023 17:55]


If they have such a large standing force then why are they using conscription?

SB
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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 21:26 - Jun 25 with 2203 viewslongtimefan

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 20:43 - Jun 25 by StokieBlue

If they have such a large standing force then why are they using conscription?

SB


Or have any forces capable of stopping Wagner driving hundreds of miles towards Moscow?
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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 21:35 - Jun 25 with 2180 viewsredrickstuhaart

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 20:43 - Jun 25 by StokieBlue

If they have such a large standing force then why are they using conscription?

SB


Precisely.
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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 22:18 - Jun 25 with 2141 viewsBloomBlue

Has there actually been any sightings of Putin since he did a runner from Moscow yesterday?
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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 22:50 - Jun 25 with 2102 viewsYou_Bloo_Right

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 22:18 - Jun 25 by BloomBlue

Has there actually been any sightings of Putin since he did a runner from Moscow yesterday?


Mate says he's just seen him at Copdock Tescos.

Apparently Alina has an interview at Ipswich hospital tomorrow.

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Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 22:55 - Jun 25 with 2075 viewsMach_foreignBlue

Is Putin hanging from a lamppost yet? on 22:18 - Jun 25 by BloomBlue

Has there actually been any sightings of Putin since he did a runner from Moscow yesterday?


Probably not. But that's media for you and whatever they say.
[Post edited 25 Jun 2023 22:56]
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