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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange 16:04 - Aug 17 with 1498 viewsportmanking

That's the kind of reality check that League One provides.

We've been drifting badly on the exchanges all afternoon actually. I don't know if that suggests team news is going to be somewhat iffy?
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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:11 - Aug 17 with 1461 viewsMarshalls_Mullet

Not sure why any 'reality check' is needed.

To be fair, Cheltenham are at home, and we have had a poor start. I would probably expect them to be marginal fav's in the eyes of the bookies.

I suspect we are still in the mix in terms of promotion fav's though, and so we should be. That should be everyones expectations, but outside the club and inside the club.

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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:19 - Aug 17 with 1416 viewsitfcsuth

I don't think it will have anything to do with line-ups.

Cheltenham have had the same opening as us - drew game 1, lost game 2.

Home factor will probably be the tipping point for the bookies.

Expect a nitty gritty game, a somewhat difficult watch at times.
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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:52 - Aug 17 with 1309 viewsHerbivore

They've probably just taken a few punts on a home win, it doesn't mean much. It's a game we should be winning.

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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:55 - Aug 17 with 1298 viewsportmanking

Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:52 - Aug 17 by Herbivore

They've probably just taken a few punts on a home win, it doesn't mean much. It's a game we should be winning.


5/2 out to 2/1 is quite the drift pre-match. Especially when you consider we were pre-season title favourites and Cheltenham are minnows in this league. Exchange drifts are normally as a consequence of early team news, so it'll be interesting to see what we're going with.
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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:56 - Aug 17 with 1275 viewsHerbivore

Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:55 - Aug 17 by portmanking

5/2 out to 2/1 is quite the drift pre-match. Especially when you consider we were pre-season title favourites and Cheltenham are minnows in this league. Exchange drifts are normally as a consequence of early team news, so it'll be interesting to see what we're going with.


I think you might be reading too much into it.

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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:58 - Aug 17 with 1275 viewsThe_Romford_Blue

Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:55 - Aug 17 by portmanking

5/2 out to 2/1 is quite the drift pre-match. Especially when you consider we were pre-season title favourites and Cheltenham are minnows in this league. Exchange drifts are normally as a consequence of early team news, so it'll be interesting to see what we're going with.


5/2 to 2/1 isn’t a drift. That’s actually shortened if that’s right (though I’m doubtful we were 5/2)

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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:58 - Aug 17 with 1274 viewsportmanking

Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:56 - Aug 17 by Herbivore

I think you might be reading too much into it.


Considering I trade the sports markets semi-professionally, I'm not. It's a strong drift given the markets had initially priced us to be favourites.
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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:59 - Aug 17 with 1264 viewsportmanking

Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:58 - Aug 17 by The_Romford_Blue

5/2 to 2/1 isn’t a drift. That’s actually shortened if that’s right (though I’m doubtful we were 5/2)


Sorry, I meant 6/4 into 2s.
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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 17:11 - Aug 17 with 1195 viewsHighgateBlue

Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:56 - Aug 17 by Herbivore

I think you might be reading too much into it.


There has been a big shift, which suggests that someone /thinks/ they know something. Of course they might not. But there's certainly not been any public news in the last 24 hours or so to justify us lengthening so markedly.
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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 17:13 - Aug 17 with 1179 viewsBramidan

Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:59 - Aug 17 by portmanking

Sorry, I meant 6/4 into 2s.


I know we are talking about betting but is anybody, like me, mortified to see ITFC playing on what looks like a park ground?
I thought when I saw us playing at Accrington Stanley we had reached the low, obviously not.
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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 17:21 - Aug 17 with 1129 viewsHerbivore

Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:58 - Aug 17 by portmanking

Considering I trade the sports markets semi-professionally, I'm not. It's a strong drift given the markets had initially priced us to be favourites.


Unless we're playing our kids I can't see what would make Cheltenham's odds come in and ours go out other than a bit of money going on Cheltenham.

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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 17:47 - Aug 17 with 1016 viewsMarshalls_Mullet

Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:58 - Aug 17 by portmanking

Considering I trade the sports markets semi-professionally, I'm not. It's a strong drift given the markets had initially priced us to be favourites.


"Trade the sports markets" ...



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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 17:52 - Aug 17 with 974 viewsberkstractorboy

Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 17:21 - Aug 17 by Herbivore

Unless we're playing our kids I can't see what would make Cheltenham's odds come in and ours go out other than a bit of money going on Cheltenham.


Jackson is starting .....
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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 17:57 - Aug 17 with 943 viewsTrequartista

Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 16:55 - Aug 17 by portmanking

5/2 out to 2/1 is quite the drift pre-match. Especially when you consider we were pre-season title favourites and Cheltenham are minnows in this league. Exchange drifts are normally as a consequence of early team news, so it'll be interesting to see what we're going with.


If i understand it correctly, if one exchange is showing Cheltenham as favourite, then i'm pretty certain every other exchange or sportsbook will also be showing Cheltenham as favourite, with the odds only differing by two or three points at most, otherwise, if other markets were too different, punters would just bet against themselves on another market and guarantee profits.

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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 18:08 - Aug 17 with 894 viewsPinewoodblue

Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 17:47 - Aug 17 by Marshalls_Mullet

"Trade the sports markets" ...




Semi-professionally....

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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 18:21 - Aug 17 with 788 viewsBattersea_Blue

On the betting app I use Cheltenham are 6/4 to win, we're 7/4.
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Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange (n/t) on 18:25 - Aug 17 with 770 viewspennblue

Cheltenham now the pre-match favourites according to the Betfair Exchange on 17:11 - Aug 17 by HighgateBlue

There has been a big shift, which suggests that someone /thinks/ they know something. Of course they might not. But there's certainly not been any public news in the last 24 hours or so to justify us lengthening so markedly.


[Post edited 17 Aug 2021 19:05]

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