| UK holidays in May half term 12:07 - Jan 26 with 2200 views | m14_blue |
What do we reckon the chances are? |  | | |  |
| UK holidays in May half term on 12:12 - Jan 26 with 2188 views | giant_stow |
I think it all depends on if that Brazillian variant takes root here or not.
My uneducated guess is that the govt will be using every track and trace resource to stop that happenning, so I make it 60/40 in favour of uk holidays being back on then.
Edit: in terms of whether to wait on booking or not, a small insight: my bro and mum have a holdiay cottage in norfolk that they let out. Bookings still scarce in April and May, but August almost full. [Post edited 26 Jan 2021 12:15]
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| UK holidays in May half term on 12:13 - Jan 26 with 2168 views | factual_blue |
At a guess, everywhere is already booked. |  |
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| UK holidays in May half term on 12:14 - Jan 26 with 2171 views | Swansea_Blue |
Slim to none I'd guess. I'm going to have one humongous holiday when this is all over though. |  |
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| UK holidays in May half term on 12:16 - Jan 26 with 2149 views | factual_blue |
| UK holidays in May half term on 12:14 - Jan 26 by Swansea_Blue |
Slim to none I'd guess. I'm going to have one humongous holiday when this is all over though. |
I'm trying not to think about the trip to the South Pacific we aren't going on next month... | |
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| UK holidays in May half term on 12:17 - Jan 26 with 2145 views | giant_stow |
| UK holidays in May half term on 12:16 - Jan 26 by factual_blue |
I'm trying not to think about the trip to the South Pacific we aren't going on next month... |
ouch. | |
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| UK holidays in May half term on 12:20 - Jan 26 with 2122 views | Swansea_Blue |
| UK holidays in May half term on 12:16 - Jan 26 by factual_blue |
I'm trying not to think about the trip to the South Pacific we aren't going on next month... |
Aren't we? You never told me. Where weren't we going?
(ouch indeed) | |
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| UK holidays in May half term on 12:24 - Jan 26 with 2096 views | factual_blue |
| UK holidays in May half term on 12:20 - Jan 26 by Swansea_Blue |
Aren't we? You never told me. Where weren't we going?
(ouch indeed) |
'We' meaning the Factual Household, you daft taffy. | |
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| UK holidays in May half term on 12:27 - Jan 26 with 2083 views | Swansea_Blue |
| UK holidays in May half term on 12:24 - Jan 26 by factual_blue |
'We' meaning the Factual Household, you daft taffy. |
You can go off people you know! | |
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| UK holidays in May half term on 12:30 - Jan 26 with 2075 views | bluelagos |
The figures in the Ipswich Star yesterday show new cases down over 25% week on week in Ipswich, East Suffolk and Babergh. But this is off very high rates obviously.
Ipswich went from 600 to 406 cases per 100k. So if (and "if" is a huge word) this reduction continues then we will get to a stage where the current cases are far lower than today. 10 weeks of similar drops would get us to a point of 20 cases per 100k.
So those saying "No chance" are perhaps being a bit pessimistic. If the rates of cases continue to drop at current rates we should definitely be seeing relaxations from the lockdown long before May. Whether that includes national holidays travel / holidays - who knows. But it is absolutely quite possible on current trajectories. |  |
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| UK holidays in May half term on 12:38 - Jan 26 with 2026 views | ipswich78 |
| UK holidays in May half term on 12:30 - Jan 26 by bluelagos |
The figures in the Ipswich Star yesterday show new cases down over 25% week on week in Ipswich, East Suffolk and Babergh. But this is off very high rates obviously.
Ipswich went from 600 to 406 cases per 100k. So if (and "if" is a huge word) this reduction continues then we will get to a stage where the current cases are far lower than today. 10 weeks of similar drops would get us to a point of 20 cases per 100k.
So those saying "No chance" are perhaps being a bit pessimistic. If the rates of cases continue to drop at current rates we should definitely be seeing relaxations from the lockdown long before May. Whether that includes national holidays travel / holidays - who knows. But it is absolutely quite possible on current trajectories. |
In the current climate I would rather be pessimistic and be wrong, it'll be a nice surprise then! |  |
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| UK holidays in May half term on 13:46 - Jan 26 with 1959 views | factual_blue |
| UK holidays in May half term on 12:27 - Jan 26 by Swansea_Blue |
You can go off people you know! |
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| UK holidays in May half term on 18:44 - Jan 26 with 1862 views | mrshallisfit |
| UK holidays in May half term on 12:12 - Jan 26 by giant_stow |
I think it all depends on if that Brazillian variant takes root here or not.
My uneducated guess is that the govt will be using every track and trace resource to stop that happenning, so I make it 60/40 in favour of uk holidays being back on then.
Edit: in terms of whether to wait on booking or not, a small insight: my bro and mum have a holdiay cottage in norfolk that they let out. Bookings still scarce in April and May, but August almost full. [Post edited 26 Jan 2021 12:15]
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Using every track and trace resource available? Phew. That's put my mind at rest. | | | |
| UK holidays in May half term on 09:44 - Jan 27 with 1740 views | MonkeyAlan |
I'm sure the people who live wherever you are thinking of going don't want you. Stay at home. Do the right thing. |  | | |
| UK holidays in May half term on 10:00 - Jan 27 with 1715 views | giant_stow |
| UK holidays in May half term on 09:44 - Jan 27 by MonkeyAlan |
I'm sure the people who live wherever you are thinking of going don't want you. Stay at home. Do the right thing. |
I take it you're not in the tourism industry? | |
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| UK holidays in May half term on 10:02 - Jan 27 with 1707 views | stantheman |
If you think you need to get on a plane and queue up in foreign airports you need your head felt. |  | | |
| UK holidays in May half term on 10:03 - Jan 27 with 1705 views | hype313 |
| UK holidays in May half term on 09:44 - Jan 27 by MonkeyAlan |
I'm sure the people who live wherever you are thinking of going don't want you. Stay at home. Do the right thing. |
Everyone over 50 will be vaccinated by the end of March, hospitals will be back to normal, why should we stay at home if the IFR is extremely low and the vunerable have been vaccinated? |  |
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| UK holidays in May half term on 11:06 - Jan 27 with 1634 views | m14_blue |
| UK holidays in May half term on 10:02 - Jan 27 by stantheman |
If you think you need to get on a plane and queue up in foreign airports you need your head felt. |
Huh? | | | |
| UK holidays in May half term on 11:31 - Jan 27 with 1575 views | BlueNomad |
| UK holidays in May half term on 10:03 - Jan 27 by hype313 |
Everyone over 50 will be vaccinated by the end of March, hospitals will be back to normal, why should we stay at home if the IFR is extremely low and the vunerable have been vaccinated? |
Hospitals won't be "back to normal" for years.
a) Massive backlog of people awaiting surgery
b) Fewer staff (lack of recruitment, Brexit, PTSD, sickness, leave etc)
c) New variants will emerge
d) No sign that China (and others) will change their animal welfare, markets etc) |  | | |
| UK holidays in May half term on 11:47 - Jan 27 with 1540 views | stantheman |
| UK holidays in May half term on 11:06 - Jan 27 by m14_blue |
Huh? |
Fair point. The heading said UK hols not flying somewhere. | | | |
| UK holidays in May half term on 11:50 - Jan 27 with 1534 views | unbelievablue |
I just booked a hotel for the Edinburgh Marathon (30th May) more in hope than expectation. |  |
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| UK holidays in May half term on 12:11 - Jan 27 with 1499 views | GlasgowBlue |
| UK holidays in May half term on 11:50 - Jan 27 by unbelievablue |
I just booked a hotel for the Edinburgh Marathon (30th May) more in hope than expectation. |
I think you'll be ok for the hotel on 30 May but I can't see the marathon going ahead.
Big events need a lot of planning and organising. Event organisers are reluctant to undertake a commitment with so much uncertainty whereas hotels can open the minute Nicola Sturgeon gives the go ahead. |  |
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